OHI · Real estate(real estate investment trusts) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Omega Healthcare Investors Inc reported revenue of $1.2 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 3.1% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 62.2% in 2016 to 70.5%, and it earned 8.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $6.6 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 92.1% went to dividends and 6.7% back into the business; the share count rose 51.2%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 7 Piotroski tests; 3 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20251.2B+3.1% a year over 9 years
Operating margin70.5%gross margin —
Return on invested capital8.7%7.1% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay753.5M63.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA3.6×net debt 4.2B
Piotroski F-score6/7tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Revenue 900.8MOperating income 560.0M
2017Revenue 908.4MOperating income 315.2M
2018Revenue 881.7MOperating income 497.6M
2019Revenue 928.8MOperating income 551.7M
2020Revenue 892.4MOperating income 385.7M
2021Revenue 1.1BOperating income 650.7M
2022Revenue 878.2MOperating income 669.4M
2023Revenue 949.7MOperating income 490.6M
2024Revenue 1.1BOperating income 650.4M
2025Revenue 1.2BOperating income 839.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+10.7%
+5.9%
+3.1%
Operating income
+7.8%
+16.8%
+4.6%
Net income
+10.4%
+29.3%
+4.9%
Earnings per share
+2.5%
+22.7%
+0.2%
Free cash flow per share
+3.4%
-1.9%
-1.1%
Dividend per share
-0.4%
-0.4%
+1.5%
Shares
+7.7%
+5.3%
+4.7%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%
2016Operating 62.2%Net 42.6%Free cash flow 64.9%
2017Operating 34.7%Net 11.5%Free cash flow 59.5%
2018Operating 56.4%Net 33.3%Free cash flow 53.3%
2019Operating 59.4%Net 37.9%Free cash flow 53.9%
2020Operating 43.2%Net 18.3%Free cash flow 75.9%
2021Operating 61.2%Net 40.3%Free cash flow 63.7%
2022Operating 76.2%Net 50.0%Free cash flow 65.9%
2023Operating 51.7%Net 25.5%Free cash flow 61.0%
2024Operating 61.9%Net 38.6%Free cash flow 67.7%
2025Operating 70.5%Net 49.6%Free cash flow 67.0%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Return on invested capital
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.9%
0.0%2.5%5.0%7.5%10.0%
2016Return on invested capital 6.8%
2017Return on invested capital 3.8%
2018Return on invested capital 6.2%
2019Return on invested capital 5.9%
2020Return on invested capital 4.2%
2021Return on invested capital 7.0%
2022Return on invested capital 7.4%
2023Return on invested capital 5.5%
2024Return on invested capital 6.8%
2025Return on invested capital 8.7%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-400.0M-200.0M0200.0M
2016Economic profit -88.6M
2017Economic profit -333.3M
2018Economic profit -135.1M
2019Economic profit -181.6M
2020Economic profit -334.3M
2021Economic profit -75.3M
2022Economic profit -36.9M
2023Economic profit -200.7M
2024Economic profit -103.0M
2025Economic profit 77.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
11.4%
Return on assets
5.9%
Asset turnover
0.12×
Overheads (SG&A)
8.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Net income 383.4MFree cash flow 584.3MAfter stock-based pay 570.5M
2017Net income 104.9MFree cash flow 540.1MAfter stock-based pay 524.9M
2018Net income 293.9MFree cash flow 469.5MAfter stock-based pay 453.6M
2019Net income 351.9MFree cash flow 500.9MAfter stock-based pay 485.5M
2020Net income 163.5MFree cash flow 677.2MAfter stock-based pay 658.4M
2021Net income 428.3MFree cash flow 677.2MAfter stock-based pay 655.8M
2022Net income 438.8MFree cash flow 578.5MAfter stock-based pay 551.2M
2023Net income 242.2MFree cash flow 579.7MAfter stock-based pay 544.7M
2024Net income 406.3MFree cash flow 711.7MAfter stock-based pay 675.0M
2025Net income 590.2MFree cash flow 797.7MAfter stock-based pay 753.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
6.6B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 7%440.8M
Acquisitions 1%64.7M
Dividends 92%6.0B
Share buybacks 2%142.3M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -2%-131.3M
Over the same years it paid 243.8M in stock. The share count rose 51.2%. The buybacks did not even cover what was handed out in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00
2016Earnings per share $1.90Free cash flow per share $2.90Dividend per share $2.25
2017Earnings per share $0.51Free cash flow per share $2.61Dividend per share $2.43
2018Earnings per share $1.40Free cash flow per share $2.24Dividend per share $2.52
2019Earnings per share $1.58Free cash flow per share $2.25Dividend per share $2.54
2020Earnings per share $0.70Free cash flow per share $2.88Dividend per share $2.60
2021Earnings per share $1.75Free cash flow per share $2.77Dividend per share $2.61
2022Earnings per share $1.80Free cash flow per share $2.37Dividend per share $2.59
2023Earnings per share $0.97Free cash flow per share $2.31Dividend per share $2.57
2024Earnings per share $1.50Free cash flow per share $2.63Dividend per share $2.53
2025Earnings per share $1.94Free cash flow per share $2.62Dividend per share $2.56
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
200.0M250.0M300.0M350.0M
2016Diluted shares 201.6M
2017Diluted shares 206.8M
2018Diluted shares 209.7M
2019Diluted shares 222.1M
2020Diluted shares 235.1M
2021Diluted shares 244.3M
2022Diluted shares 244.3M
2023Diluted shares 250.5M
2024Diluted shares 270.4M
2025Diluted shares 305.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Net debt 4.3B
2017Net debt 4.5B
2018Net debt 4.5B
2019Net debt 5.1B
2020Net debt 5.0B
2021Net debt 5.2B
2022Net debt 5.0B
2023Net debt 4.6B
2024Net debt 4.3B
2025Net debt 4.2B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.6×
Interest coverage
4× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
— current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 7 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
–More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
The accounts lack a line it needs (retained earnings, current assets or liabilities).
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (81M) is well below depreciation (325M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
The effective tax rate is 2.4%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
Net debt is 3.6 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$56.94discounted at 7.9% a year · 61% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
29.4×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
18.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
18.1×
Free cash flow yield
4.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today8.4B
Everything after, today13.2B
The whole business21.6B
Minus net debt-4.2B
What belongs to shareholders17.4B
Divided among 305.0M shares: <strong>$56.94</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Reported 570.5M
2017Reported 524.9M
2018Reported 453.6M
2019Reported 485.5M
2020Reported 658.4M
2021Reported 655.8M
2022Reported 551.2M
2023Reported 544.7M
2024Reported 675.0M
2025Reported 753.5M
2026Projected 1.0B
2027Projected 1.1B
2028Projected 1.1B
2029Projected 1.2B
2030Projected 1.3B
2031Projected 1.3B
2032Projected 1.4B
2033Projected 1.4B
2034Projected 1.4B
2035Projected 1.5B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
1.3B
1.3B
1.4B
1.5B
1.5B
1.6B
1.7B
1.7B
1.8B
1.8B
Growth
6.0%
5.6%
5.2%
4.8%
4.4%
4.1%
3.7%
3.3%
2.9%
2.5%
Cash margin
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
81.8%
Free cash flow
1.0B
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.4B
1.4B
1.4B
1.5B
Worth today
956.1M
936.2M
913.3M
887.7M
859.6M
829.3M
797.0M
763.2M
728.0M
691.8M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.9%
59
66
73
83
96
7.4%
53
58
64
72
82
7.9%
48
52
57
63
71
8.4%
43
47
51
56
62
8.9%
39
42
46
50
55
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
65.4%
36
41
45
51
56
73.6%
41
46
51
57
63
81.8%
46
51
57
63
70
89.9%
51
56
63
69
77
98.1%
55
62
68
76
84
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 12.3%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$36.33
Median$53.37
90th percentile$81.10
$50.00$100.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$43.66</b> and <b>$66.11</b>; one in ten below $36.33, one in ten above $81.10.
Does the long run make sense?
16.0×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 16.0 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
61%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.