NDSN · Industrials(general industrial machinery & equipment, nec) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-10-31
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Nordson Corp reported revenue of $2.8 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 4.9% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 21.5% in 2016 to 25.5%, and it earned 11.4% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $5.1 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 68.0% went to acquisitions and 21.3% to dividends. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 4.99 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20252.8B+4.9% a year over 9 years
Operating margin25.5%gross margin 55.2%
Return on invested capital11.4%13.8% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay642.2M23.0% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.4×net debt 1.9B
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2016Revenue 1.8BOperating income 388.4M
2017Revenue 2.1BOperating income 466.4M
2018Revenue 2.3BOperating income 502.6M
2019Revenue 2.2BOperating income 483.1M
2020Revenue 2.1BOperating income 349.5M
2021Revenue 2.4BOperating income 615.1M
2022Revenue 2.6BOperating income 702.4M
2023Revenue 2.6BOperating income 672.8M
2024Revenue 2.7BOperating income 674.0M
2025Revenue 2.8BOperating income 711.7M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+2.5%
+5.6%
+4.9%
Operating income
+0.4%
+15.3%
+7.0%
Net income
-1.9%
+14.2%
+6.6%
Earnings per share
-1.1%
+14.8%
+6.8%
Free cash flow per share
+13.6%
+8.5%
+10.4%
Dividend per share
+13.3%
+15.8%
+13.8%
Shares
-0.8%
-0.5%
-0.1%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.8%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2016Return on invested capital 15.6%
2017Return on invested capital 12.0%
2018Return on invested capital 15.3%
2019Return on invested capital 13.4%
2020Return on invested capital 10.1%
2021Return on invested capital 16.4%
2022Return on invested capital 18.3%
2023Return on invested capital 12.3%
2024Return on invested capital 10.5%
2025Return on invested capital 11.4%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
0100.0M200.0M300.0M400.0M
2016Economic profit 143.3M
2017Economic profit 114.2M
2018Economic profit 206.7M
2019Economic profit 156.9M
2020Economic profit 65.4M
2021Economic profit 254.2M
2022Economic profit 318.0M
2023Economic profit 194.1M
2024Economic profit 136.3M
2025Economic profit 183.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
15.9%
Return on assets
8.2%
Asset turnover
0.47×
Research & development
2.4% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
29.2% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Net income 271.8MFree cash flow 273.8MAfter stock-based pay 255.6M
2017Net income 295.8MFree cash flow 285.2MAfter stock-based pay 265.0M
2018Net income 377.4MFree cash flow 414.8MAfter stock-based pay 393.3M
2019Net income 337.1MFree cash flow 318.6MAfter stock-based pay 300.6M
2020Net income 249.5MFree cash flow 451.9MAfter stock-based pay 439.0M
2021Net income 454.4MFree cash flow 507.6MAfter stock-based pay 484.9M
2022Net income 513.1MFree cash flow 461.7MAfter stock-based pay 431.0M
2023Net income 487.5MFree cash flow 606.7MAfter stock-based pay 584.0M
2024Net income 467.3MFree cash flow 491.8MAfter stock-based pay 472.8M
2025Net income 484.5MFree cash flow 661.1MAfter stock-based pay 642.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
5.1B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 12%583.8M
Acquisitions 68%3.4B
Dividends 21%1.1B
Share buybacks 20%987.0M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -20%-1.0B
Over the same years it paid 205.0M in stock. The share count fell 1.1%. 782.0M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00
2016Earnings per share $4.73Free cash flow per share $4.76Dividend per share $0.98
2017Earnings per share $5.08Free cash flow per share $4.90Dividend per share $1.10
2018Earnings per share $6.40Free cash flow per share $7.04Dividend per share $1.23
2019Earnings per share $5.79Free cash flow per share $5.47Dividend per share $1.41
2020Earnings per share $4.27Free cash flow per share $7.73Dividend per share $1.51
2021Earnings per share $7.74Free cash flow per share $8.64Dividend per share $1.66
2022Earnings per share $8.81Free cash flow per share $7.93Dividend per share $2.16
2023Earnings per share $8.46Free cash flow per share $10.53Dividend per share $2.61
2024Earnings per share $8.11Free cash flow per share $8.54Dividend per share $2.80
2025Earnings per share $8.51Free cash flow per share $11.62Dividend per share $3.15
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
56.0M57.0M58.0M59.0M
2016Diluted shares 57.5M
2017Diluted shares 58.2M
2018Diluted shares 58.9M
2019Diluted shares 58.2M
2020Diluted shares 58.5M
2021Diluted shares 58.7M
2022Diluted shares 58.2M
2023Diluted shares 57.6M
2024Diluted shares 57.6M
2025Diluted shares 56.9M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2016Net debt 913.6M
2017Net debt 1.5B
2018Net debt 1.2B
2019Net debt 1.1B
2020Net debt 897.7M
2021Net debt 515.9M
2022Net debt 574.4M
2023Net debt 1.6B
2024Net debt 2.1B
2025Net debt 1.9B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.4×
Interest coverage
7× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.64 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
171 days collects in 77d, stock 130d, pays in 35d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
4.99safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.08 × 6.56+0.54
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.78 × 3.26+2.53
Operating income ÷ assets 0.12 × 6.72+0.81
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.06 × 1.05+1.11
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.65below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.95+0.88
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 1.01+0.41
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 0.93+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.97-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.04-0.19
Leverage rising 0.94-0.31
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$172.98discounted at 7.8% a year · 61% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
20.3×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
14.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
4.2×
Free cash flow yield
6.5%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today4.5B
Everything after, today7.2B
The whole business11.7B
Minus net debt-1.9B
What belongs to shareholders9.8B
Divided among 56.9M shares: <strong>$172.98</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Reported 255.6M
2017Reported 265.0M
2018Reported 393.3M
2019Reported 300.6M
2020Reported 439.0M
2021Reported 484.9M
2022Reported 431.0M
2023Reported 584.0M
2024Reported 472.8M
2025Reported 642.2M
2026Projected 565.0M
2027Projected 594.2M
2028Projected 623.0M
2029Projected 651.0M
2030Projected 678.1M
2031Projected 704.1M
2032Projected 728.8M
2033Projected 751.8M
2034Projected 773.1M
2035Projected 792.5M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
2.9B
3.1B
3.2B
3.4B
3.5B
3.7B
3.8B
3.9B
4.0B
4.1B
Growth
5.5%
5.2%
4.8%
4.5%
4.2%
3.8%
3.5%
3.2%
2.8%
2.5%
Cash margin
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
Free cash flow
565.0M
594.2M
623.0M
651.0M
678.1M
704.1M
728.8M
751.8M
773.1M
792.5M
Worth today
524.1M
511.2M
497.0M
481.8M
465.4M
448.2M
430.3M
411.7M
392.7M
373.3M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.8%
180
198
221
250
287
7.3%
161
176
195
217
245
7.8%
146
158
173
191
213
8.3%
132
143
155
169
187
8.8%
121
130
140
152
166
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
1.5%
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
15.3%
113
126
139
154
170
17.3%
127
141
156
173
191
19.2%
141
156
173
191
211
21.1%
155
171
190
209
231
23.0%
168
187
207
228
251
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.9%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$116.79
Median$173.30
90th percentile$269.37
$100.00$200.00$300.00$400.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$140.67</b> and <b>$216.34</b>; one in ten below $116.79, one in ten above $269.37.
Does the long run make sense?
13.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 13.1 times that year's EBITDA.
35%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 7% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 35% on the new capital — it has earned 14% on average over the last five years.
61%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$792,6424 sale(s) by 4 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.