LNN · Industrials(farm machinery & equipment) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-08-31
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Lindsay Corp reported revenue of $659.1 million in fiscal 2025, after growing 2.7% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 6.7% in 2016 to 13.4%, and it earned 10.6% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $551.7 million its operations generated over 10 years, 37.8% went back into the business and 25.3% to dividends. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 8.45 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2025659.1M+2.7% a year over 9 years
Operating margin13.4%gross margin 29.4%
Return on invested capital10.6%11.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay82.4M12.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash135.5M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Revenue 516.4MOperating income 34.4M
2017Revenue 518.0MOperating income 40.6M
2018Revenue 547.7MOperating income 39.0M
2019Revenue 436.3MOperating income 6.1M
2020Revenue 463.2MOperating income 54.2M
2021Revenue 551.3MOperating income 54.1M
2022Revenue 760.3MOperating income 94.6M
2023Revenue 661.9MOperating income 102.2M
2024Revenue 584.3MOperating income 76.6M
2025Revenue 659.1MOperating income 88.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-4.6%
+7.3%
+2.7%
Operating income
-2.4%
+10.2%
+11.0%
Net income
+4.2%
+13.9%
+15.5%
Earnings per share
+4.6%
+13.8%
+15.5%
Free cash flow per share
—
+29.6%
+17.2%
Dividend per share
+2.9%
+2.8%
+2.8%
Shares
-0.3%
+0.1%
-0.0%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.1%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%
2016Return on invested capital 6.5%
2017Return on invested capital 6.8%
2018Return on invested capital 5.9%
2019Return on invested capital 1.5%
2020Return on invested capital 10.3%
2021Return on invested capital 10.1%
2022Return on invested capital 13.9%
2023Return on invested capital 12.9%
2024Return on invested capital 10.8%
2025Return on invested capital 10.6%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-40.0M-20.0M020.0M40.0M
2016Economic profit -9.7M
2017Economic profit -8.8M
2018Economic profit -12.3M
2019Economic profit -29.0M
2020Economic profit 5.2M
2021Economic profit 4.5M
2022Economic profit 24.3M
2023Economic profit 21.8M
2024Economic profit 10.1M
2025Economic profit 10.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
13.9%
Return on assets
8.8%
Asset turnover
0.78×
Research & development
2.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
9.6% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Net income 20.3MFree cash flow 21.6MAfter stock-based pay 18.6M
2017Net income 23.2MFree cash flow 30.6MAfter stock-based pay 27.0M
2018Net income 20.3MFree cash flow 22.9MAfter stock-based pay 19.0M
2019Net income 2.2MFree cash flow -19.4MAfter stock-based pay -23.6M
2020Net income 38.6MFree cash flow 24.6MAfter stock-based pay 19.0M
2021Net income 42.6MFree cash flow 17.5MAfter stock-based pay 11.3M
2022Net income 65.5MFree cash flow -12.5MAfter stock-based pay -18.0M
2023Net income 72.4MFree cash flow 100.9MAfter stock-based pay 94.4M
2024Net income 66.3MFree cash flow 66.8MAfter stock-based pay 60.4M
2025Net income 74.1MFree cash flow 90.4MAfter stock-based pay 82.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
551.7M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 38%208.4M
Acquisitions 6%33.9M
Dividends 25%139.8M
Share buybacks 15%82.3M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 16%87.3M
Over the same years it paid 53.0M in stock. The share count barely moved. 29.3M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-5.00$0.00$5.00$10.00
2016Earnings per share $1.85Free cash flow per share $1.98Dividend per share $1.12
2017Earnings per share $2.17Free cash flow per share $2.86Dividend per share $1.17
2018Earnings per share $1.88Free cash flow per share $2.12Dividend per share $1.21
2019Earnings per share $0.20Free cash flow per share $-1.80Dividend per share $1.24
2020Earnings per share $3.56Free cash flow per share $2.26Dividend per share $1.26
2021Earnings per share $3.88Free cash flow per share $1.59Dividend per share $1.29
2022Earnings per share $5.94Free cash flow per share $-1.14Dividend per share $1.32
2023Earnings per share $6.54Free cash flow per share $9.12Dividend per share $1.36
2024Earnings per share $6.01Free cash flow per share $6.06Dividend per share $1.40
2025Earnings per share $6.78Free cash flow per share $8.28Dividend per share $1.44
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
10.6M10.7M10.8M10.9M11.0M11.1M
2016Diluted shares 10.9M
2017Diluted shares 10.7M
2018Diluted shares 10.8M
2019Diluted shares 10.8M
2020Diluted shares 10.9M
2021Diluted shares 11.0M
2022Diluted shares 11.0M
2023Diluted shares 11.1M
2024Diluted shares 11.0M
2025Diluted shares 10.9M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-150.0M-100.0M-50.0M050.0M
2016Net debt 15.9M
2017Net debt -4.6M
2018Net debt -44.5M
2019Net debt -11.1M
2020Net debt -5.5M
2021Net debt -11.4M
2022Net debt 10.5M
2023Net debt -45.4M
2024Net debt -75.7M
2025Net debt -135.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-1.2×
Interest coverage
48× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.71 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
132 days collects in 63d, stock 107d, pays in 38d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
8.45safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.46 × 6.56+3.04
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.89 × 3.26+2.89
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.70
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.73 × 1.05+1.82
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.80below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.86+0.79
Gross margin slipping 0.98+0.52
Soft assets 0.97+0.39
Sales growth 1.13+1.01
Slower depreciation 1.24+0.14
Overheads vs sales 0.97-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.07-0.33
Leverage rising 0.97-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$150.56discounted at 9.1% a year · 55% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
22.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
13.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.3×
Free cash flow yield
5.0%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today671.5M
Everything after, today836.7M
The whole business1.5B
Plus net cash135.5M
What belongs to shareholders1.6B
Divided among 10.9M shares: <strong>$150.56</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Reported 18.6M
2017Reported 27.0M
2018Reported 19.0M
2019Reported -23.6M
2020Reported 19.0M
2021Reported 11.3M
2022Reported -18.0M
2023Reported 94.4M
2024Reported 60.4M
2025Reported 82.4M
2026Projected 84.7M
2027Projected 90.6M
2028Projected 96.4M
2029Projected 102.0M
2030Projected 107.4M
2031Projected 112.4M
2032Projected 117.1M
2033Projected 121.4M
2034Projected 125.1M
2035Projected 128.2M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
708.5M
757.7M
806.1M
853.1M
898.2M
940.6M
979.8M
1.0B
1.0B
1.1B
Growth
7.5%
6.9%
6.4%
5.8%
5.3%
4.7%
4.2%
3.6%
3.1%
2.5%
Cash margin
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
12.0%
Free cash flow
84.7M
90.6M
96.4M
102.0M
107.4M
112.4M
117.1M
121.4M
125.1M
128.2M
Worth today
77.6M
76.1M
74.2M
72.0M
69.5M
66.7M
63.7M
60.5M
57.2M
53.7M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.1%
155
165
176
190
206
8.6%
145
153
162
173
187
9.1%
136
143
151
160
171
9.6%
128
134
141
148
157
10.1%
121
126
132
139
146
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
9.6%
111
120
129
139
149
10.8%
121
130
140
150
162
12.0%
130
140
151
162
175
13.2%
139
150
161
174
188
14.3%
148
160
172
186
201
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$114.72
Median$150.67
90th percentile$205.19
$100.00$150.00$200.00$250.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$129.99</b> and <b>$175.92</b>; one in ten below $114.72, one in ten above $205.19.
Does the long run make sense?
11.3×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 11.3 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
55%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.