CTAS · Consumer discretionary(men's & boys' furnishgs, work clothg, & allied garments) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-05-31
Cintas Corp reported revenue of $11.3 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 6.3% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 14.7% in 2018 to 23.1%, and it earned 27.5% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $14.3 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 46.6% went to buybacks and 26.4% to dividends; the share count fell 7.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 7.44 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 202611.3B+6.3% a year over 9 years
Operating margin23.1%gross margin 50.7%
Return on invested capital27.5%24.5% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.8B15.6% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.7×net debt 2.1B
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
4-for-1 before fiscal 2023.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
05.0B10.0B15.0B
2018Revenue 6.5BOperating income 949.8M
2018
2019Revenue 6.9BOperating income 1.1B
2020Revenue 7.1BOperating income 1.2B
2021Revenue 7.1BOperating income 1.4B
2022Revenue 7.9BOperating income 1.6B
2023Revenue 8.8BOperating income 1.8B
2024Revenue 9.6BOperating income 2.1B
2025Revenue 10.3BOperating income 2.4B
2026Revenue 11.3BOperating income 2.6B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+8.5%
+9.6%
+6.3%
Operating income
+13.1%
+13.5%
+11.9%
Net income
+14.1%
+12.5%
+10.1%
Earnings per share
+14.7%
+13.8%
+11.0%
Free cash flow per share
+15.1%
+10.4%
+12.7%
Dividend per share
+16.6%
+10.5%
+17.7%
Shares
-0.6%
-1.2%
-0.9%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.2%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2018Return on invested capital 15.9%
2018
2019Return on invested capital 15.5%
2020Return on invested capital 16.7%
2021Return on invested capital 19.2%
2022Return on invested capital 21.4%
2023Return on invested capital 22.6%
2024Return on invested capital 24.3%
2025Return on invested capital 26.6%
2026Return on invested capital 27.5%
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2018Economic profit 427.9M
2018
2019Economic profit 425.3M
2020Economic profit 486.9M
2021Economic profit 681.9M
2022Economic profit 805.8M
2023Economic profit 911.9M
2024Economic profit 1.1B
2025Economic profit 1.3B
2026Economic profit 1.5B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
38.9%
Return on assets
19.0%
Asset turnover
1.07×
Overheads (SG&A)
27.4% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2018Net income 842.6MFree cash flow 692.5MAfter stock-based pay 579.6M
2018
2019Net income 885.0MFree cash flow 791.1MAfter stock-based pay 651.9M
2020Net income 876.0MFree cash flow 1.1BAfter stock-based pay 945.8M
2021Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 1.2BAfter stock-based pay 1.1B
2022Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2023Net income 1.3BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2024Net income 1.6BFree cash flow 1.7BAfter stock-based pay 1.5B
2025Net income 1.8BFree cash flow 1.8BAfter stock-based pay 1.6B
2026Net income 2.0BFree cash flow 1.9BAfter stock-based pay 1.8B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2026
14.3B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 19%2.7B
Acquisitions 6%887.8M
Dividends 26%3.8B
Share buybacks 47%6.7B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 2%265.0M
Over the same years it paid 1.1B in stock. The share count fell 7.5%. 5.6B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00
2018Earnings per share $1.92Free cash flow per share $1.58Dividend per share $0.40
2018
2019Earnings per share $2.02Free cash flow per share $1.81Dividend per share $0.50
2020Earnings per share $2.05Free cash flow per share $2.48Dividend per share $0.63
2021Earnings per share $2.58Free cash flow per share $2.83Dividend per share $1.05
2022Earnings per share $2.93Free cash flow per share $3.07Dividend per share $0.89
2023Earnings per share $3.26Free cash flow per share $3.04Dividend per share $1.09
2024Earnings per share $3.80Free cash flow per share $4.01Dividend per share $1.28
2025Earnings per share $4.42Free cash flow per share $4.28Dividend per share $1.49
2026Earnings per share $4.92Free cash flow per share $4.63Dividend per share $1.73
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
400.0M410.0M420.0M430.0M440.0M
2018Diluted shares 439.2M
2018
2019Diluted shares 438.0M
2020Diluted shares 428.0M
2021Diluted shares 430.8M
2022Diluted shares 422.1M
2023Diluted shares 413.5M
2024Diluted shares 413.5M
2025Diluted shares 410.3M
2026Diluted shares 406.2M
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2018Net debt 2.4B
2018
2019Net debt 2.8B
2020Net debt 2.4B
2021Net debt 2.0B
2022Net debt 2.7B
2023Net debt 2.4B
2024Net debt 2.1B
2025Net debt 2.2B
2026Net debt 2.1B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.7×
Interest coverage
25× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.43 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
49 days collects in 50d, stock 29d, pays in 30d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
7.44safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.11 × 6.56+0.73
Retained earnings ÷ assets 1.24 × 3.26+4.05
Operating income ÷ assets 0.25 × 6.72+1.66
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.95 × 1.05+1.00
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.52below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.01+0.93
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 0.97+0.39
Sales growth 1.09+0.97
Slower depreciation 1.01+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.01-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.12
Leverage rising 0.94-0.31
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$107.42discounted at 8.2% a year · 60% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
21.8×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
14.7×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
4.1×
Free cash flow yield
4.0%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today18.1B
Everything after, today27.6B
The whole business45.8B
Minus net debt-2.1B
What belongs to shareholders43.6B
Divided among 406.2M shares: <strong>$107.42</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
01.0B2.0B3.0B4.0B
2018Reported 579.6M
2018
2019Reported 651.9M
2020Reported 945.8M
2021Reported 1.1B
2022Reported 1.2B
2023Reported 1.2B
2024Reported 1.5B
2025Reported 1.6B
2026Reported 1.8B
2027Projected 2.1B
2028Projected 2.3B
2029Projected 2.5B
2030Projected 2.6B
2031Projected 2.8B
2032Projected 3.0B
2033Projected 3.1B
2034Projected 3.2B
2035Projected 3.3B
2036Projected 3.4B
2018201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
12.3B
13.4B
14.5B
15.5B
16.5B
17.4B
18.3B
19.0B
19.6B
20.1B
Growth
9.5%
8.7%
7.9%
7.2%
6.4%
5.6%
4.8%
4.1%
3.3%
2.5%
Cash margin
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
Free cash flow
2.1B
2.3B
2.5B
2.6B
2.8B
3.0B
3.1B
3.2B
3.3B
3.4B
Worth today
1.9B
1.9B
1.9B
1.9B
1.9B
1.8B
1.8B
1.7B
1.6B
1.5B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.2%
111
121
132
146
164
7.7%
102
109
119
130
143
8.2%
93
100
107
116
127
8.7%
86
92
98
106
114
9.2%
80
85
90
96
104
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
13.6%
75
82
89
97
106
15.3%
82
90
98
107
117
17.0%
90
98
107
117
127
18.7%
98
107
117
127
138
20.4%
105
115
126
137
149
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.5%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$77.52
Median$107.55
90th percentile$156.84
$100.00$150.00$200.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$90.27</b> and <b>$130.10</b>; one in ten below $77.52, one in ten above $156.84.
Does the long run make sense?
10.9×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 10.9 times that year's EBITDA.
31%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 8% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 31% on the new capital — it has earned 24% on average over the last five years.
60%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.