PVH · Consumer discretionary(men's & boys' furnishgs, work clothg, & allied garments) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-02-01
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PVH Corp. reported revenue of $9.0 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 1.0% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 9.6% in 2017 to 2.6%, and it earned 0.5% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $7.6 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 50.2% went to buybacks and 34.9% back into the business; the share count fell 40.0%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.23 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20269.0B+1.0% a year over 9 years
Operating margin2.6%gross margin 57.5%
Return on invested capital0.5%7.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay494.3M5.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA3.2×net debt 1.6B
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-5B05B10B
2017Revenue 8.2BOperating income 789.2M
2018Revenue 8.9BOperating income 632.4M
2019Revenue 9.7BOperating income 891.7M
2020Revenue 9.9BOperating income 558.7M
2021Revenue 7.1BOperating income -1.1B
2022Revenue 9.2BOperating income 1.1B
2023Revenue 9.0BOperating income 470.7M
2024Revenue 9.2BOperating income 928.8M
2025Revenue 8.7BOperating income 772.3M
2026Revenue 9.0BOperating income 230.6M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-0.3%
+4.6%
+1.0%
Operating income
-21.2%
—
-12.8%
Net income
-49.8%
—
-29.0%
Earnings per share
-44.4%
—
-24.8%
Free cash flow per share
—
+10.9%
+3.6%
Dividend per share
+0.5%
+32.5%
+0.3%
Shares
-9.9%
-7.4%
-5.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.0%
-20%-10%0%10%20%
2017Return on invested capital 8.0%
2018Return on invested capital 7.0%
2019Return on invested capital 9.9%
2020Return on invested capital 6.1%
2021Return on invested capital -13.5%
2022Return on invested capital 13.8%
2023Return on invested capital 3.3%
2024Return on invested capital 10.1%
2025Return on invested capital 9.1%
2026Return on invested capital 0.5%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
-2B-1B01B
2017Economic profit 481,779
2018Economic profit -89.3M
2019Economic profit 162.5M
2020Economic profit -161.0M
2021Economic profit -1.8B
2022Economic profit 441.1M
2023Economic profit -342.7M
2024Economic profit 148.3M
2025Economic profit 75.0M
2026Economic profit -530.7M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
0.5%
Return on assets
0.2%
Asset turnover
0.77×
Overheads (SG&A)
50.2% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-2B-1B01B
2017Net income 549.0MFree cash flow 656.0MAfter stock-based pay 617.8M
2018Net income 537.8MFree cash flow 286.1MAfter stock-based pay 241.2M
2019Net income 746.4MFree cash flow 473.0MAfter stock-based pay 416.8M
2020Net income 417.3MFree cash flow 675.1MAfter stock-based pay 619.0M
2021Net income -1.1BFree cash flow 471.1MAfter stock-based pay 420.6M
2022Net income 952.3MFree cash flow 803.3MAfter stock-based pay 756.5M
2023Net income 200.4MFree cash flow -250.9MAfter stock-based pay -297.5M
2024Net income 663.6MFree cash flow 724.7MAfter stock-based pay 672.8M
2025Net income 598.5MFree cash flow 582.2MAfter stock-based pay 528.2M
2026Net income 25.3MFree cash flow 538.4MAfter stock-based pay 494.3M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
7.6B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 35%2.7B
Acquisitions 5%406.1M
Dividends 1%88.0M
Share buybacks 50%3.8B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 8%643.4M
Over the same years it paid 489.3M in stock. The share count fell 40.0%. 3.3B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$20-$10$0$10$20
2017Earnings per share $6.79Free cash flow per share $8.11Dividend per share $0.15
2018Earnings per share $6.84Free cash flow per share $3.64Dividend per share $0.15
2019Earnings per share $9.66Free cash flow per share $6.12Dividend per share $0.15
2020Earnings per share $5.59Free cash flow per share $9.05Dividend per share $0.15
2021Earnings per share $-15.96Free cash flow per share $6.62Dividend per share $0.04
2022Earnings per share $13.24Free cash flow per share $11.17Dividend per share $0.04
2023Earnings per share $3.03Free cash flow per share $-3.79Dividend per share $0.15
2024Earnings per share $10.76Free cash flow per share $11.75Dividend per share $0.15
2025Earnings per share $10.56Free cash flow per share $10.27Dividend per share $0.15
2026Earnings per share $0.52Free cash flow per share $11.10Dividend per share $0.15
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
40M50M60M70M80M90M
2017Diluted shares 80.9M
2018Diluted shares 78.6M
2019Diluted shares 77.3M
2020Diluted shares 74.6M
2021Diluted shares 71.2M
2022Diluted shares 71.9M
2023Diluted shares 66.2M
2024Diluted shares 61.7M
2025Diluted shares 56.7M
2026Diluted shares 48.5M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01B2B3B
2017Net debt 2.5B
2018Net debt 2.6B
2019Net debt 2.4B
2020Net debt 2.2B
2021Net debt 1.9B
2022Net debt 1.1B
2023Net debt 1.7B
2024Net debt 1.5B
2025Net debt 1.3B
2026Net debt 1.6B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.2×
Interest coverage
2× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.52 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
82 days collects in 41d, stock 152d, pays in 110d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.23safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.11 × 6.56+0.69
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.51 × 3.26+1.68
Operating income ÷ assets 0.02 × 6.72+0.13
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.70 × 1.05+0.73
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.57below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.13+1.04
Gross margin slipping 1.03+0.55
Soft assets 1.03+0.42
Sales growth 1.03+0.92
Slower depreciation 0.96+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.98-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.26
Leverage rising 1.02-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (142M) is well below depreciation (272M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
Net debt is 3.2 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$182.78discounted at 8.0% a year · 60% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
350.4×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
20.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.2×
Free cash flow yield
5.6%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today4.2B
Everything after, today6.3B
The whole business10.5B
Minus net debt-1.6B
What belongs to shareholders8.9B
Divided among 48.5M shares: <strong>$182.78</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-0.5B00.5B1.0B
2017Reported 617.8M
2018Reported 241.2M
2019Reported 416.8M
2020Reported 619.0M
2021Reported 420.6M
2022Reported 756.5M
2023Reported -297.5M
2024Reported 672.8M
2025Reported 528.2M
2026Reported 494.3M
2027Projected 541.2M
2028Projected 564.3M
2029Projected 587.2M
2030Projected 609.7M
2031Projected 631.7M
2032Projected 653.1M
2033Projected 673.8M
2034Projected 693.6M
2035Projected 712.5M
2036Projected 730.3M
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
9.4B
9.8B
10.1B
10.5B
10.9B
11.3B
11.6B
12.0B
12.3B
12.6B
Growth
4.5%
4.3%
4.1%
3.8%
3.6%
3.4%
3.2%
2.9%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
5.8%
Free cash flow
541.2M
564.3M
587.2M
609.7M
631.7M
653.1M
673.8M
693.6M
712.5M
730.3M
Worth today
501.0M
483.6M
465.9M
447.8M
429.5M
411.1M
392.6M
374.2M
355.8M
337.6M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.0%
190
209
231
259
295
7.5%
171
186
205
227
254
8.0%
155
168
183
201
222
8.5%
142
152
165
179
197
9.0%
130
139
149
161
176
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.5%
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
4.6%
120
134
148
164
181
5.2%
135
149
165
183
201
5.8%
149
165
183
202
222
6.4%
163
181
200
221
243
6.9%
178
197
217
240
264
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$97.27
Median$182.39
90th percentile$308.90
$200.00$400.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$135.26</b> and <b>$241.10</b>; one in ten below $97.27, one in ten above $308.90.
Does the long run make sense?
19.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 19.1 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
60%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$1.0M1 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.