CBRL · Consumer discretionary(retail-eating places) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-07-31
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Cracker Barrel OLD Country Store, Inc reported revenue of $3.3 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 1.4% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 10.7% in 2017 to -0.4%, and it earned -0.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $2.5 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 55.4% went back into the business and 44.2% to dividends; the share count fell 6.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 0.38 is in the distress zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20263.3B+1.4% a year over 9 years
Operating margin-0.4%gross margin 69.1%
Return on invested capital-0.7%4.5% on average over 4 years
Free cash flow after stock pay79.0M2.4% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.7×net debt 300.7M
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-1.0B01.0B2.0B3.0B4.0B
2017Revenue 2.9BOperating income 313.2M
2018Revenue 3.0BOperating income 293.6M
2019Revenue 3.1BOperating income 282.8M
2020Revenue 2.5BOperating income 103.6M
2021Revenue 2.8BOperating income 366.7M
2022Revenue 3.3BOperating income 153.0M
2023Revenue 3.4BOperating income 120.6M
2024Revenue 3.5BOperating income 45.1M
2025Revenue 3.5BOperating income 55.0M
2026Revenue 3.3BOperating income -12.5M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-1.2%
+3.3%
+1.4%
Net income
-31.6%
-34.1%
-18.6%
Earnings per share
-31.9%
-33.4%
-18.0%
Free cash flow per share
-10.9%
-16.6%
-8.5%
Dividend per share
-41.8%
-5.1%
-20.6%
Shares
+0.4%
-1.1%
-0.7%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
6.6%
Return on assets
1.6%
Asset turnover
1.64×
Overheads (SG&A)
6.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200.0M-100.0M0100.0M200.0M300.0M
2017Net income 201.9MFree cash flow 210.2MAfter stock-based pay 201.7M
2018Net income 247.6MFree cash flow 178.4MAfter stock-based pay 171.4M
2019Net income 223.4MFree cash flow 224.5MAfter stock-based pay 216.3M
2020Net income -32.5MFree cash flow -136.3MAfter stock-based pay -142.7M
2021Net income 254.5MFree cash flow 230.5MAfter stock-based pay 221.8M
2022Net income 131.9MFree cash flow 106.9MAfter stock-based pay 98.7M
2023Net income 99.0MFree cash flow 123.5MAfter stock-based pay 114.4M
2024Net income 40.9MFree cash flow 40.7MAfter stock-based pay 30.4M
2025Net income 46.4MFree cash flow 59.8MAfter stock-based pay 48.0M
2026Net income 31.7MFree cash flow 88.4MAfter stock-based pay 79.0M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
2.5B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 55%1.4B
Acquisitions 1%36.0M
Dividends 44%1.1B
Share buybacks 10%253.8M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -11%-280.2M
Over the same years it paid 87.5M in stock. The share count fell 6.5%. 166.3M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-10.00$-5.00$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00
2017Earnings per share $8.37Free cash flow per share $8.71Dividend per share $8.16
2018Earnings per share $10.29Free cash flow per share $7.41Dividend per share $8.60
2019Earnings per share $9.27Free cash flow per share $9.32Dividend per share $8.03
2020Earnings per share $-1.36Free cash flow per share $-5.71Dividend per share $3.96
2021Earnings per share $10.71Free cash flow per share $9.70Dividend per share $1.33
2022Earnings per share $5.67Free cash flow per share $4.60Dividend per share $4.94
2023Earnings per share $4.45Free cash flow per share $5.55Dividend per share $5.21
2024Earnings per share $1.83Free cash flow per share $1.82Dividend per share $5.20
2025Earnings per share $2.06Free cash flow per share $2.66Dividend per share $1.03
2026Earnings per share $1.40Free cash flow per share $3.92Dividend per share $1.03
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
22.0M22.5M23.0M23.5M24.0M24.5M
2017Diluted shares 24.1M
2018Diluted shares 24.1M
2019Diluted shares 24.1M
2020Diluted shares 23.9M
2021Diluted shares 23.8M
2022Diluted shares 23.2M
2023Diluted shares 22.3M
2024Diluted shares 22.3M
2025Diluted shares 22.5M
2026Diluted shares 22.5M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2017Net debt 239.0M
2018Net debt 285.3M
2019Net debt 363.1M
2020Net debt 512.4M
2021Net debt 182.8M
2022Net debt 378.3M
2023Net debt 389.8M
2024Net debt 464.6M
2025Net debt 445.0M
2026Net debt 300.7M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.7×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
0.58 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
8 days collects in 4d, stock 58d, pays in 54d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
0.38distress zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets -0.10 × 6.56-0.65
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.23 × 3.26+0.74
Operating income ÷ assets -0.01 × 6.72-0.04
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.31 × 1.05+0.33
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.79below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.11+1.02
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 1.04+0.42
Sales growth 0.95+0.85
Slower depreciation 0.92+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.02-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.09-0.40
Leverage rising 0.90-0.30
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (retail-eating places) first, then the rest of consumer discretionary.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.