CBOE · Financials(security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Cboe Global Markets, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 23.5% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 42.4% in 2016 to 31.1%, and it earned 15.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $8.4 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 31.4% went to acquisitions and 21.5% to dividends; the share count rose 29.1%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 5.05 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20254.7B+23.5% a year over 9 years
Operating margin31.1%gross margin 51.5%
Return on invested capital15.7%12.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.6B34.6% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash773.6M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Revenue 703.1MOperating income 298.2M
2017Revenue 2.2BOperating income 371.9M
2018Revenue 2.8BOperating income 599.4M
2019Revenue 2.5BOperating income 537.2M
2020Revenue 3.4BOperating income 662.2M
2021Revenue 3.5BOperating income 805.9M
2022Revenue 4.0BOperating income 489.6M
2023Revenue 3.8BOperating income 1.1B
2024Revenue 4.1BOperating income 1.1B
2025Revenue 4.7BOperating income 1.5B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+6.0%
+6.6%
+23.5%
Operating income
+44.2%
+17.2%
+19.4%
Net income
+67.3%
+18.6%
+21.8%
Earnings per share
+68.1%
+19.6%
+18.4%
Free cash flow per share
+42.4%
+4.4%
+24.2%
Dividend per share
+11.3%
+11.6%
+12.1%
Shares
-0.5%
-0.8%
+2.9%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.7%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2016
2017Return on invested capital 6.9%
2018Return on invested capital 10.0%
2019Return on invested capital 9.4%
2020Return on invested capital 10.3%
2021Return on invested capital 11.5%
2022Return on invested capital 5.1%
2023Return on invested capital 14.2%
2024Return on invested capital 13.6%
2025Return on invested capital 15.7%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016
2017Economic profit -81.6M
2018Economic profit 56.9M
2019Economic profit 28.3M
2020Economic profit 71.7M
2021Economic profit 135.4M
2022Economic profit -189.1M
2023Economic profit 295.0M
2024Economic profit 275.4M
2025Economic profit 455.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
21.4%
Return on assets
11.8%
Asset turnover
0.51×
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Net income 186.8MFree cash flow 185.2MAfter stock-based pay 170.7M
2017Net income 401.7MFree cash flow 336.9MAfter stock-based pay 284.3M
2018Net income 426.5MFree cash flow 498.4MAfter stock-based pay 463.3M
2019Net income 374.9MFree cash flow 597.7MAfter stock-based pay 575.9M
2020Net income 468.2MFree cash flow 1.4BAfter stock-based pay 1.4B
2021Net income 529.0MFree cash flow 545.8MAfter stock-based pay 519.2M
2022Net income 235.0MFree cash flow 591.3MAfter stock-based pay 560.6M
2023Net income 761.4MFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 989.3M
2024Net income 764.9MFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 997.9M
2025Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 1.7BAfter stock-based pay 1.6B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
8.4B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 6%488.4M
Acquisitions 31%2.6B
Dividends 21%1.8B
Share buybacks 15%1.2B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 26%2.2B
Over the same years it paid 336.5M in stock. The share count rose 29.1%. 908.5M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00
2016Earnings per share $2.29Free cash flow per share $2.28Dividend per share $0.96
2017Earnings per share $3.74Free cash flow per share $3.13Dividend per share $1.10
2018Earnings per share $3.80Free cash flow per share $4.44Dividend per share $1.16
2019Earnings per share $3.35Free cash flow per share $5.35Dividend per share $1.34
2020Earnings per share $4.28Free cash flow per share $12.91Dividend per share $1.56
2021Earnings per share $4.93Free cash flow per share $5.09Dividend per share $1.80
2022Earnings per share $2.20Free cash flow per share $5.54Dividend per share $1.96
2023Earnings per share $7.17Free cash flow per share $9.70Dividend per share $2.10
2024Earnings per share $7.25Free cash flow per share $9.85Dividend per share $2.36
2025Earnings per share $10.47Free cash flow per share $16.00Dividend per share $2.71
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
80.0M90.0M100.0M110.0M120.0M
2016Diluted shares 81.4M
2017Diluted shares 107.5M
2018Diluted shares 112.2M
2019Diluted shares 111.8M
2020Diluted shares 109.3M
2021Diluted shares 107.2M
2022Diluted shares 106.7M
2023Diluted shares 106.2M
2024Diluted shares 105.5M
2025Diluted shares 105.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-1.0B01.0B2.0B
2016
2017Net debt 1.1B
2018Net debt 940.3M
2019Net debt 638.3M
2020Net debt 958.5M
2021Net debt 957.4M
2022Net debt 1.3B
2023Net debt 896.0M
2024Net debt 520.7M
2025Net debt -773.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.5×
Interest coverage
28× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.87 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 30d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
5.05safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.22 × 6.56+1.45
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.38 × 3.26+1.24
Operating income ÷ assets 0.16 × 6.72+1.06
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.23 × 1.05+1.29
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-3.02below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.76+0.70
Gross margin slipping 0.98+0.52
Soft assets 0.77+0.31
Sales growth 1.15+1.03
Slower depreciation 1.11+0.13
Overheads vs sales 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.07-0.33
Leverage rising 1.12-0.37
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (71M) is well below depreciation (122M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$190.42discounted at 8.7% a year · 57% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
18.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
12.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
4.1×
Free cash flow yield
8.2%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today8.3B
Everything after, today10.9B
The whole business19.2B
Plus net cash773.6M
What belongs to shareholders20.0B
Divided among 105.1M shares: <strong>$190.42</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Reported 170.7M
2017Reported 284.3M
2018Reported 463.3M
2019Reported 575.9M
2020Reported 1.4B
2021Reported 519.2M
2022Reported 560.6M
2023Reported 989.3M
2024Reported 997.9M
2025Reported 1.6B
2026Projected 1.1B
2027Projected 1.1B
2028Projected 1.2B
2029Projected 1.2B
2030Projected 1.3B
2031Projected 1.4B
2032Projected 1.4B
2033Projected 1.5B
2034Projected 1.5B
2035Projected 1.5B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
5.0B
5.3B
5.6B
5.9B
6.2B
6.5B
6.7B
6.9B
7.1B
7.3B
Growth
6.5%
6.1%
5.6%
5.2%
4.7%
4.3%
3.8%
3.4%
2.9%
2.5%
Cash margin
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
Free cash flow
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.2B
1.3B
1.4B
1.4B
1.5B
1.5B
1.5B
Worth today
970.3M
946.4M
919.2M
889.0M
856.2M
821.1M
784.1M
745.5M
705.8M
665.3M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.7%
196
210
226
245
269
8.2%
182
193
207
222
241
8.7%
170
179
190
203
219
9.2%
159
167
176
187
200
9.7%
149
156
164
174
184
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
16.8%
138
149
161
174
188
18.9%
150
163
176
190
206
21.0%
162
176
190
206
223
23.1%
174
189
205
222
240
25.2%
186
202
219
238
258
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 3.2%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$143.87
Median$190.68
90th percentile$263.90
$200.00$300.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$163.79</b> and <b>$224.33</b>; one in ten below $143.87, one in ten above $263.90.
Does the long run make sense?
10.2×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 10.2 times that year's EBITDA.
65%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 4% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 65% on the new capital — it has earned 12% on average over the last five years.
57%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$699,3202 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.