ZUMZ · Consumer discretionary(retail-apparel & accessory stores) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-01-31
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Zumiez Inc reported revenue of $929.1 million in fiscal 2026, after shrinking 0.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 6.2% in 2019 to 1.8%. Of the $533.4 million its operations generated over 10 years, 67.2% went to buybacks and 25.6% back into the business; the share count fell 31.6%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.59 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2026929.1M-0.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin1.8%gross margin 35.8%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay35.1M3.8% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score7/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2019Revenue 978.6MOperating income 61.1M
2019
2020
2020Revenue 1.0BOperating income 85.8M
2021Revenue 990.7MOperating income 96.9M
2022Revenue 1.2BOperating income 157.8M
2023Revenue 958.4MOperating income 31.1M
2024Revenue 875.5MOperating income -64.8M
2025Revenue 889.2MOperating income 1.9M
2026Revenue 929.1MOperating income 17.0M
2019201920202020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-1.0%
-1.3%
-0.6%
Operating income
-18.2%
-29.4%
-13.2%
Net income
-14.0%
-29.4%
-12.7%
Earnings per share
-10.5%
-23.7%
-8.9%
Free cash flow per share
—
-13.6%
+3.8%
Shares
-3.9%
-7.4%
-4.1%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
4.1%
Return on assets
2.1%
Asset turnover
1.44×
Overheads (SG&A)
34.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-100.0M-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2019Net income 45.2MFree cash flow 44.4MAfter stock-based pay 38.5M
2019
2020
2020Net income 66.9MFree cash flow 87.3MAfter stock-based pay 80.9M
2021Net income 76.2MFree cash flow 129.4MAfter stock-based pay 122.9M
2022Net income 119.3MFree cash flow 119.2MAfter stock-based pay 112.4M
2023Net income 21.0MFree cash flow -26.0MAfter stock-based pay -33.0M
2024Net income -62.6MFree cash flow -5.6MAfter stock-based pay -12.6M
2025Net income -1.7MFree cash flow 5.7MAfter stock-based pay -1.1M
2026Net income 13.4MFree cash flow 42.4MAfter stock-based pay 35.1M
2019201920202020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2019–2026
533.4M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 26%136.7M
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 67%358.5M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 7%38.2M
Over the same years it paid 53.6M in stock. The share count fell 31.6%. 304.9M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-5.00$-2.50$0.00$2.50$5.00$7.50
2019Earnings per share $1.79Free cash flow per share $1.76
2019
2020
2020Earnings per share $2.62Free cash flow per share $3.42
2021Earnings per share $3.00Free cash flow per share $5.09
2022Earnings per share $4.85Free cash flow per share $4.85
2023Earnings per share $1.08Free cash flow per share $-1.34
2024Earnings per share $-3.25Free cash flow per share $-0.29
2025Earnings per share $-0.09Free cash flow per share $0.30
2026Earnings per share $0.78Free cash flow per share $2.46
2019201920202020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
15.0M17.5M20.0M22.5M25.0M27.5M
2019Diluted shares 25.2M
2019
2020
2020Diluted shares 25.5M
2021Diluted shares 25.4M
2022Diluted shares 24.6M
2023Diluted shares 19.4M
2024Diluted shares 19.3M
2025Diluted shares 18.9M
2026Diluted shares 17.2M
2019201920202020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.01 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
62 days collects in 2d, stock 90d, pays in 30d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.59safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.26 × 6.56+1.72
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.19 × 3.26+0.63
Operating income ÷ assets 0.03 × 6.72+0.18
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.01 × 1.05+1.06
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.94below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.83+0.77
Gross margin slipping 0.95+0.50
Soft assets 1.00+0.40
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 0.96+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.00-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.29
Leverage rising 1.06-0.35
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (11M) is well below depreciation (21M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 4 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$112,9704 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (retail-apparel & accessory stores) first, then the rest of consumer discretionary.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.