TTEK · Industrials(services-engineering services) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-09-28
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Tetra Tech Inc reported revenue of $5.4 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 8.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 5.3% in 2016 to 7.5%, and it earned 10.5% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $2.8 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 53.9% went to acquisitions and 36.2% to buybacks; the share count fell 9.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.18 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20255.4B+8.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin7.5%gross margin 84.8%
Return on invested capital10.5%13.9% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay405.1M7.4% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA1.3×net debt 595.9M
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
5-for-1 before fiscal 2022.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Revenue 2.6BOperating income 135.9M
2017Revenue 2.8BOperating income 183.3M
2018Revenue 3.0BOperating income 190.1M
2019Revenue 3.1BOperating income 188.8M
2020Revenue 3.0BOperating income 241.1M
2021Revenue 3.2BOperating income 278.7M
2022Revenue 3.5BOperating income 340.4M
2023Revenue 4.5BOperating income 358.1M
2024Revenue 5.2BOperating income 500.7M
2025Revenue 5.4BOperating income 408.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+15.8%
+12.7%
+8.6%
Operating income
+6.3%
+11.1%
+13.0%
Net income
-2.0%
+7.4%
+12.8%
Earnings per share
-1.5%
+8.0%
+14.0%
Free cash flow per share
+11.0%
+12.6%
+15.7%
Dividend per share
+12.7%
+14.0%
+15.4%
Shares
-0.5%
-0.6%
-1.1%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.2%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2016
2017
2018
2019Return on invested capital 13.5%
2020Return on invested capital 13.8%
2021Return on invested capital 16.8%
2022Return on invested capital 17.8%
2023Return on invested capital 10.7%
2024Return on invested capital 13.6%
2025Return on invested capital 10.5%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016
2017
2018
2019Economic profit 67.7M
2020Economic profit 75.3M
2021Economic profit 125.0M
2022Economic profit 139.1M
2023Economic profit 57.8M
2024Economic profit 144.4M
2025Economic profit 60.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
13.9%
Return on assets
5.8%
Asset turnover
1.27×
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Net income 83.9MFree cash flow 130.1MAfter stock-based pay 117.1M
2017Net income 117.9MFree cash flow 131.7MAfter stock-based pay 118.3M
2018Net income 137.0MFree cash flow 176.0MAfter stock-based pay 156.4M
2019Net income 158.8MFree cash flow 192.3MAfter stock-based pay 174.7M
2020Net income 173.9MFree cash flow 250.2MAfter stock-based pay 230.8M
2021Net income 232.8MFree cash flow 295.8MAfter stock-based pay 272.7M
2022Net income 263.2MFree cash flow 325.6MAfter stock-based pay 299.4M
2023Net income 273.5MFree cash flow 341.6MAfter stock-based pay 313.0M
2024Net income 333.4MFree cash flow 340.6MAfter stock-based pay 309.4M
2025Net income 247.9MFree cash flow 439.1MAfter stock-based pay 405.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
2.8B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 5%142.7M
Acquisitions 54%1.5B
Dividends 14%392.4M
Share buybacks 36%1.0B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -9%-260.6M
Over the same years it paid 226.0M in stock. The share count fell 9.4%. 775.6M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$0.50$1.00$1.50$2.00
2016Earnings per share $0.28Free cash flow per share $0.44Dividend per share $0.07
2017Earnings per share $0.41Free cash flow per share $0.45Dividend per share $0.07
2018Earnings per share $0.48Free cash flow per share $0.62Dividend per share $0.09
2019Earnings per share $0.57Free cash flow per share $0.69Dividend per share $0.11
2020Earnings per share $0.63Free cash flow per share $0.91Dividend per share $0.13
2021Earnings per share $0.85Free cash flow per share $1.08Dividend per share $0.15
2022Earnings per share $0.97Free cash flow per share $1.20Dividend per share $0.17
2023Earnings per share $1.02Free cash flow per share $1.27Dividend per share $0.19
2024Earnings per share $1.23Free cash flow per share $1.26Dividend per share $0.22
2025Earnings per share $0.93Free cash flow per share $1.64Dividend per share $0.24
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
260.0M270.0M280.0M290.0M300.0M
2016Diluted shares 294.8M
2017Diluted shares 289.6M
2018Diluted shares 283.0M
2019Diluted shares 279.7M
2020Diluted shares 275.1M
2021Diluted shares 273.4M
2022Diluted shares 270.8M
2023Diluted shares 268.2M
2024Diluted shares 270.0M
2025Diluted shares 267.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016
2017
2018
2019Net debt 155.7M
2020Net debt 134.1M
2021Net debt 45.9M
2022Net debt 73.7M
2023Net debt 710.7M
2024Net debt 579.9M
2025Net debt 595.9M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.3×
Interest coverage
10× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.18 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 78d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.18safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.06 × 6.56+0.37
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.44 × 3.26+1.43
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.64
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.71 × 1.05+0.75
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.64below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.05+0.97
Gross margin slipping 0.98+0.52
Soft assets 0.98+0.40
Sales growth 1.05+0.93
Slower depreciation 1.07+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.23
Leverage rising 1.03-0.34
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (19M) is well below depreciation (58M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$18.49discounted at 8.2% a year · 62% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
19.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
11.9×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.0×
Free cash flow yield
8.2%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today2.1B
Everything after, today3.4B
The whole business5.5B
Minus net debt-595.9M
What belongs to shareholders4.9B
Divided among 267.1M shares: <strong>$18.49</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Reported 117.1M
2017Reported 118.3M
2018Reported 156.4M
2019Reported 174.7M
2020Reported 230.8M
2021Reported 272.7M
2022Reported 299.4M
2023Reported 313.0M
2024Reported 309.4M
2025Reported 405.1M
2026Projected 226.9M
2027Projected 252.7M
2028Projected 278.7M
2029Projected 304.3M
2030Projected 328.8M
2031Projected 351.6M
2032Projected 372.1M
2033Projected 389.7M
2034Projected 403.7M
2035Projected 413.8M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.1B
6.8B
7.5B
8.2B
8.9B
9.5B
10.0B
10.5B
10.9B
11.2B
Growth
12.5%
11.4%
10.3%
9.2%
8.1%
6.9%
5.8%
4.7%
3.6%
2.5%
Cash margin
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
3.7%
Free cash flow
226.9M
252.7M
278.7M
304.3M
328.8M
351.6M
372.1M
389.7M
403.7M
413.8M
Worth today
209.8M
216.0M
220.2M
222.3M
222.0M
219.5M
214.8M
207.9M
199.2M
188.8M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.2%
19
21
23
26
29
7.7%
17
19
21
23
25
8.2%
16
17
18
20
22
8.7%
14
16
17
18
20
9.2%
13
14
15
16
18
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
8.5%
10.5%
12.5%
14.5%
16.5%
3.0%
12
14
15
16
18
3.3%
14
15
17
18
20
3.7%
15
17
18
20
22
4.1%
17
18
20
22
24
4.5%
18
20
22
24
26
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$6.62
Median$18.49
90th percentile$34.49
$0.00$20.00$40.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$11.90</b> and <b>$25.91</b>; one in ten below $6.62, one in ten above $34.49.
Does the long run make sense?
7.8×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 7.8 times that year's EBITDA.
10%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 25% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 10% on the new capital — it has earned 14% on average over the last five years.
62%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$50,1791 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.