TFX · Health care(surgical & medical instruments & apparatus) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Teleflex Inc reported revenue of $2.0 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 0.7% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 17.1% in 2016 to 5.9%, and it earned -0.8% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $3.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 20.9% went back into the business and 16.6% to dividends; the share count fell 6.1%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.56 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 3 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20252.0B+0.7% a year over 9 years
Operating margin5.9%gross margin 56.2%
Return on invested capital-0.8%3.8% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay-24.2M-1.2% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA7.6×net debt 2.3B
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01B2B3B
2016Revenue 1.9BOperating income 319.5M
2017Revenue 2.1BOperating income 372.3M
2018Revenue 2.4BOperating income 321.7M
2019Revenue 2.6BOperating income 427.3M
2020Revenue 2.5BOperating income 423.1M
2021Revenue 2.8BOperating income 628.1M
2022Revenue 2.8BOperating income 499.7M
2023Revenue 1.7BOperating income 258.7M
2024Revenue 1.7BOperating income 103.7M
2025Revenue 2.0BOperating income 118.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-10.6%
-4.7%
+0.7%
Operating income
-38.1%
-22.5%
-10.4%
Free cash flow per share
-82.0%
-66.2%
-45.4%
Dividend per share
-0.0%
+0.2%
+1.0%
Shares
-1.9%
-1.1%
-0.7%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.1%
-5%0%5%10%
2016Return on invested capital 9.7%
2017Return on invested capital 4.3%
2018Return on invested capital 6.1%
2019Return on invested capital 5.6%
2020Return on invested capital 6.8%
2021Return on invested capital 9.7%
2022Return on invested capital 7.1%
2023Return on invested capital 3.2%
2024Return on invested capital -0.3%
2025Return on invested capital -0.8%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-600M-400M-200M0200M
2016Economic profit 83.5M
2017Economic profit -129.9M
2018Economic profit -46.3M
2019Economic profit -73.7M
2020Economic profit -16.3M
2021Economic profit 146.2M
2022Economic profit -910,776
2023Economic profit -244.5M
2024Economic profit -440.1M
2025Economic profit -455.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
-29.0%
Return on assets
-13.0%
Asset turnover
0.29×
Research & development
7.3% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
36.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-1.0B-0.5B00.5B1.0B
2016Net income 237.4MFree cash flow 357.5MAfter stock-based pay 340.6M
2017Net income 152.5MFree cash flow 355.4MAfter stock-based pay 336.0M
2018Net income 200.8MFree cash flow 354.3MAfter stock-based pay 331.9M
2019Net income 461.5MFree cash flow 334.4MAfter stock-based pay 307.4M
2020Net income 335.3MFree cash flow 346.4MAfter stock-based pay 325.7M
2021Net income 485.4MFree cash flow 580.5MAfter stock-based pay 557.6M
2022Net income 363.1MFree cash flow 263.6MAfter stock-based pay 236.4M
2023Net income 356.3MFree cash flow 159.7MAfter stock-based pay 132.4M
2024Net income 69.7MFree cash flow 211.4MAfter stock-based pay 185.5M
2025Net income -905.6MFree cash flow 1.4MAfter stock-based pay -24.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
3.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 21%781.1M
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 17%623.6M
Share buybacks 13%500.0M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 49%1.8B
Over the same years it paid 235.5M in stock. The share count fell 6.1%. 264.5M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$30-$20-$10$0$10$20
2016Earnings per share $4.98Free cash flow per share $7.50Dividend per share $1.24
2017Earnings per share $3.27Free cash flow per share $7.62Dividend per share $1.31
2018Earnings per share $4.29Free cash flow per share $7.57Dividend per share $1.33
2019Earnings per share $9.80Free cash flow per share $7.10Dividend per share $1.33
2020Earnings per share $7.09Free cash flow per share $7.33Dividend per share $1.34
2021Earnings per share $10.23Free cash flow per share $12.24Dividend per share $1.34
2022Earnings per share $7.68Free cash flow per share $5.57Dividend per share $1.35
2023Earnings per share $7.53Free cash flow per share $3.38Dividend per share $1.35
2024Earnings per share $1.48Free cash flow per share $4.49Dividend per share $1.35
2025Earnings per share $-20.25Free cash flow per share $0.03Dividend per share $1.35
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
44M45M46M47M48M
2016Diluted shares 47.6M
2017Diluted shares 46.7M
2018Diluted shares 46.8M
2019Diluted shares 47.1M
2020Diluted shares 47.3M
2021Diluted shares 47.4M
2022Diluted shares 47.3M
2023Diluted shares 47.3M
2024Diluted shares 47.1M
2025Diluted shares 44.7M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01B2B3B
2016Net debt 489.5M
2017Net debt 1.9B
2018Net debt 1.8B
2019Net debt 1.6B
2020Net debt 2.1B
2021Net debt 1.4B
2022Net debt 1.4B
2023Net debt 1.6B
2024Net debt 1.4B
2025Net debt 2.3B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
7.6×
Interest coverage
1× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.54 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
178 days collects in 63d, stock 169d, pays in 55d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.56safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.17 × 6.56+1.11
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.45 × 3.26+1.48
Operating income ÷ assets 0.02 × 6.72+0.11
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.82 × 1.05+0.86
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.86below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.30+1.20
Gross margin slipping 1.09+0.57
Soft assets 0.87+0.35
Sales growth 1.17+1.05
Slower depreciation 1.31+0.15
Overheads vs sales 0.91-0.16
Profit not in cash -0.14-0.68
Leverage rising 1.53-0.50
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Receivables are growing 52% against revenue growing 17%.
Benign
A shift towards larger customers on longer terms, or sales concentrated at the end of the period.
Worrying
Sales are being made on looser credit, or revenue has been booked that may never be collected.
Capital spending (95M) is well below depreciation (178M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
Net debt is 7.6 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$23.87discounted at 7.1% a year · 62% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
—
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
11.2×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.7×
Free cash flow yield
-2.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today1.3B
Everything after, today2.1B
The whole business3.3B
Minus net debt-2.3B
What belongs to shareholders1.1B
Divided among 44.7M shares: <strong>$23.87</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-200M0200M400M600M
2016Reported 340.6M
2017Reported 336.0M
2018Reported 331.9M
2019Reported 307.4M
2020Reported 325.7M
2021Reported 557.6M
2022Reported 236.4M
2023Reported 132.4M
2024Reported 185.5M
2025Reported -24.2M
2026Projected 195.0M
2027Projected 187.7M
2028Projected 182.2M
2029Projected 178.3M
2030Projected 175.8M
2031Projected 174.7M
2032Projected 175.0M
2033Projected 176.6M
2034Projected 179.7M
2035Projected 184.2M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
1.9B
1.8B
1.8B
1.7B
1.7B
1.7B
1.7B
1.7B
1.8B
1.8B
Growth
-4.5%
-3.7%
-2.9%
-2.2%
-1.4%
-0.6%
0.2%
0.9%
1.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
10.2%
Free cash flow
195.0M
187.7M
182.2M
178.3M
175.8M
174.7M
175.0M
176.6M
179.7M
184.2M
Worth today
182.0M
163.6M
148.3M
135.4M
124.7M
115.7M
108.2M
102.0M
96.8M
92.7M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.1%
26
34
44
57
74
6.6%
19
25
33
42
55
7.1%
13
18
24
31
41
7.6%
8
12
17
23
30
8.1%
4
7
11
16
21
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
-8.5%
-6.5%
-4.5%
-2.5%
-0.5%
8.2%
2
7
12
18
24
9.2%
7
12
18
24
31
10.2%
12
17
24
31
38
11.3%
16
23
30
37
46
12.3%
21
28
36
44
53
All the inputs moving at once
4,996 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$0.93
Median$23.87
90th percentile$64.96
$0.00$50.00$100.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$10.70</b> and <b>$41.91</b>; one in ten below $0.93, one in ten above $64.96.
Does the long run make sense?
15.3×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 15.3 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
62%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.