MMM · Health care(surgical & medical instruments & apparatus) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
3M Co reported revenue of $24.9 billion in fiscal 2025, after shrinking 2.1% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 23.3% in 2016 to 18.6%, and it earned 20.4% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $58.4 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 49.7% went to dividends and 36.3% to buybacks; the share count fell 12.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 5.46 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 202524.9B-2.1% a year over 9 years
Operating margin18.6%gross margin 39.9%
Return on invested capital20.4%1.2% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.2B4.7% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA1.2×net debt 7.4B
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-20.0B020.0B40.0B
2016Revenue 30.1BOperating income 7.0B
2017Revenue 31.7BOperating income 7.7B
2018Revenue 32.8BOperating income 7.2B
2019Revenue 32.1BOperating income 6.2B
2020Revenue 32.2BOperating income 7.2B
2021Revenue 35.4BOperating income 7.4B
2022Revenue 26.2BOperating income 4.4B
2023Revenue 24.6BOperating income -10.7B
2024Revenue 24.6BOperating income 4.8B
2025Revenue 24.9BOperating income 4.6B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-1.6%
-5.0%
-2.1%
Operating income
+1.9%
-8.4%
-4.5%
Net income
-17.4%
-9.8%
-4.8%
Earnings per share
-16.1%
-8.5%
-3.4%
Free cash flow per share
-27.5%
-25.7%
-12.4%
Dividend per share
-21.4%
-13.1%
-4.4%
Shares
-1.6%
-1.4%
-1.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
69.1%
Return on assets
8.6%
Asset turnover
0.66×
Overheads (SG&A)
16.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-10.0B-5.0B05.0B10.0B
2016Net income 5.0BFree cash flow 5.2BAfter stock-based pay 4.9B
2017Net income 4.9BFree cash flow 4.9BAfter stock-based pay 4.5B
2018Net income 5.3BFree cash flow 4.9BAfter stock-based pay 4.6B
2019Net income 4.5BFree cash flow 5.4BAfter stock-based pay 5.1B
2020Net income 5.4BFree cash flow 6.6BAfter stock-based pay 6.3B
2021Net income 5.9BFree cash flow 5.9BAfter stock-based pay 5.6B
2022Net income 5.8BFree cash flow 3.8BAfter stock-based pay 3.6B
2023Net income -7.0BFree cash flow 5.1BAfter stock-based pay 4.8B
2024Net income 4.2BFree cash flow 638.0MAfter stock-based pay 349.0M
2025Net income 3.2BFree cash flow 1.4BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
58.4B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 25%14.6B
Acquisitions 12%7.1B
Dividends 50%29.0B
Share buybacks 36%21.2B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -23%-13.6B
Over the same years it paid 2.8B in stock. The share count fell 12.5%. 18.4B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-20.00$-10.00$0.00$10.00$20.00
2016Earnings per share $8.16Free cash flow per share $8.47Dividend per share $4.33
2017Earnings per share $7.93Free cash flow per share $7.94Dividend per share $4.57
2018Earnings per share $8.89Free cash flow per share $8.08Dividend per share $5.30
2019Earnings per share $7.72Free cash flow per share $9.18Dividend per share $5.67
2020Earnings per share $9.36Free cash flow per share $11.36Dividend per share $5.82
2021Earnings per share $10.12Free cash flow per share $10.00Dividend per share $5.84
2022Earnings per share $10.18Free cash flow per share $6.77Dividend per share $5.94
2023Earnings per share $-12.63Free cash flow per share $9.14Dividend per share $5.98
2024Earnings per share $7.55Free cash flow per share $1.15Dividend per share $3.59
2025Earnings per share $6.00Free cash flow per share $2.58Dividend per share $2.89
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
540.0M560.0M580.0M600.0M620.0M
2016Diluted shares 618.7M
2017Diluted shares 612.7M
2018Diluted shares 602.0M
2019Diluted shares 585.1M
2020Diluted shares 582.2M
2021Diluted shares 585.3M
2022Diluted shares 567.6M
2023Diluted shares 553.9M
2024Diluted shares 552.4M
2025Diluted shares 541.3M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
010.0B20.0B30.0B
2016Net debt 9.3B
2017Net debt 10.9B
2018Net debt 11.8B
2019Net debt 20.3B
2020Net debt 14.1B
2021Net debt 12.8B
2022Net debt 12.3B
2023Net debt 8.3B
2024Net debt 7.4B
2025Net debt 7.4B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.2×
Interest coverage
10× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.71 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
75 days collects in 52d, stock 89d, pays in 66d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
5.46safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.18 × 6.56+1.18
Retained earnings ÷ assets 1.01 × 3.26+3.31
Operating income ÷ assets 0.12 × 6.72+0.82
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.14 × 1.05+0.15
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.27below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.09+1.00
Gross margin slipping 1.03+0.55
Soft assets 0.91+0.37
Sales growth 1.02+0.91
Slower depreciation 1.00+0.12
Overheads vs sales 0.93-0.16
Profit not in cash 0.03+0.12
Leverage rising 0.97-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Reported profit comfortably exceeds the cash generated (3,250M against 2,306M).
Benign
Growth consuming working capital, or the seasonality of the year-end.
Worrying
Profit held up by accounting entries that do not turn into money.
Capital spending (910M) is well below depreciation (1,308M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.