SphinxRisk

Resmed Inc

RMD · Health care (surgical & medical instruments & apparatus) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30

Resmed Inc reported revenue of $5.7 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 11.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 20.6% in 2017 to 33.4%, and it earned 20.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $8.9 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 30.3% went to acquisitions and 28.0% to dividends; the share count rose 2.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 9.10 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.

Revenue, fiscal 2026 5.7B +11.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin 33.4% gross margin 61.1%
Return on invested capital 20.7% 19.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay 1.5B 27.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA Net cash 809.9M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score 7/9 tests of improvement passed

Is it growing?

Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.

RevenueOperating income
Compound growth a year
3 yrs5 yrs9 yrs
Revenue+10.2%+12.1%+11.8%
Operating income+18.6%+15.9%+18.0%
Net income+19.3%+26.3%+18.0%
Earnings per share+19.7%+26.3%+17.7%
Free cash flow per share+42.7%+21.1%+18.4%
Dividend per share+11.0%+9.1%+6.9%
Shares-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%

Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.

Does it earn more than its capital costs?

Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.

GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Return on invested capital

Return on invested capital Cost of capital today · 9.7%

Economic profit

Economic profit

(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.

Return on equity
23.1%
Return on assets
17.0%
Asset turnover
0.63×
Research & development
6.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
19.8% of revenue

Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?

Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.

Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay

Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026

8.9B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.

  • Reinvested in the business 11% 991.7M
  • Acquisitions 30% 2.7B
  • Dividends 28% 2.5B
  • Share buybacks 14% 1.2B
  • Kept, or used to pay down debt 17% 1.5B

Over the same years it paid 680.5M in stock. The share count rose 2.5%. 546.2M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.

Per share

Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share

Shares outstanding

Diluted shares

How strong is the balance sheet?

Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.

Net debt
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.4×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.10 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
172 days collects in 67d, stock 157d, pays in 51d

Three classic screens of the accounts

Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.

Piotroski F-score

Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.

7of 9 tests passed
  • ProfitableReturn on assets above zero passed
  • Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zero passed
  • Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year before failed
  • Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals) passed
  • Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell passed
  • More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year before failed
  • No new sharesShare count did not grow passed
  • Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before passed
  • Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year before passed

Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.

Altman Z''-score

Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?

9.10safe zone
  • Working capital ÷ assets 0.33 × 6.56+2.14
  • Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.81 × 3.26+2.64
  • Operating income ÷ assets 0.21 × 6.72+1.41
  • Equity ÷ liabilities 2.77 × 1.05+2.90

Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.

Beneish M-score

Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?

-2.58below the -1.78 line
  • Receivables vs sales 1.00+0.92
  • Gross margin slipping 0.97+0.51
  • Soft assets 0.90+0.36
  • Sales growth 1.10+0.98
  • Slower depreciation 1.03+0.12
  • Overheads vs sales 1.03-0.18
  • Profit not in cash -0.03-0.15
  • Leverage rising 0.98-0.32

Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.

Where the statements disagree

Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.

None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.

What is it worth, under which assumptions?

A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.

Revenue
M $

revenue of fiscal 2026

%

revenue grew +12.1% a year over the last 5 years; it fades to the terminal rate by the last year

yrs

ten years for growth to fade to the terminal rate

Cash from each sale
%

free cash flow to the firm after stock-based pay ÷ revenue, last 3 fiscal years together

%

the margin in year ten; by default the business keeps today's

The long run
%

growth forever after year ten, below the risk-free rate: no company outgrows the economy forever

The discount rate
%

10-year US Treasury yield (FRED, DGS10), 2026-09-24

not measured on this public page, which uses only public filings: 1.0 assumes it moves like the market. Sign in to measure it from prices

%

the extra return demanded for holding shares; it cannot be measured, and 4–6% is the common range

%

no interest line: the risk-free rate + 1.5 points

%

effective rate in the last fiscal year, 20.6%, kept within 0–35%

The price
$

Type the price you see at your broker. It is used only for the reverse questions: what that price implies.

Back to the defaults

SEC from the filings Treasury the 10-year yield measured from prices assumption cannot be measured yours you changed it

Value per share, with these assumptions $203.29 discounted at 9.7% a year · 54% of it from after year 10
$155.3680% of 5,000 simulations$274.77
Cautious $130.87 8.0% growth · 20.9% margin · 10.7% discount · 2.0% forever
Your assumptions $203.29 12.0% growth · 24.6% margin · 9.7% discount · 2.5% forever
Generous $333.58 16.0% growth · 28.2% margin · 8.7% discount · 3.0% forever

Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.

What the value implies, in the usual multiples

At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings19.5×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA13.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue5.1×
Free cash flow yield5.2%

From cash flows to a value per share

10 years of cash flow, today13.3B
Everything after, today15.6B
The whole business28.9B
Plus net cash809.9M
What belongs to shareholders29.7B

Divided among 146.1M shares: <strong>$203.29</strong> each.

The projection next to its history

Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.

ReportedProjected
Year by year
2027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Revenue6.3B7.0B7.7B8.4B9.1B9.7B10.2B10.7B11.1B11.3B
Growth12.0%10.9%9.9%8.8%7.8%6.7%5.7%4.6%3.6%2.5%
Cash margin24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%24.6%
Free cash flow1.6B1.7B1.9B2.1B2.2B2.4B2.5B2.6B2.7B2.8B
Worth today1.4B1.4B1.4B1.4B1.4B1.4B1.3B1.2B1.2B1.1B

If the least-known inputs move

Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.

The discount rate and growth forever

discount ↓ · forever →1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.7% 210 222 237 254 274
9.2% 196 206 219 233 249
9.7% 184 193 203 215 229
10.2% 173 181 190 200 212
10.7% 163 170 178 187 197

Year-one growth and the final margin

margin ↓ · growth →8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%
19.7% 148 160 172 186 200
22.1% 161 174 188 203 219
24.6% 174 188 203 220 237
27.0% 187 202 219 236 255
29.5% 200 216 234 253 274

All the inputs moving at once

5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 3.7%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.

Half of the simulations land between <b>$175.71</b> and <b>$236.42</b>; one in ten below $155.36, one in ten above $274.77.

Does the long run make sense?

  • 9.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 9.4 times that year's EBITDA.
  • 34%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 7% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 34% on the new capital — it has earned 19% on average over the last five years.
  • 54%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
The discount rate, taken apart
  1. What shareholders demand (CAPM): 5.18% risk-free + 1.00 beta × 5.0% premium = <strong>10.18%</strong>.
  2. What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 6.68% × (1 − 20.6%) = <strong>5.30%</strong>.
  3. Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>9.74%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.

What it has filed lately

The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.

Companies like this one

Same SEC industry (surgical & medical instruments & apparatus) first, then the rest of health care.

Every figure, year by year

10 fiscal years · 30 measures
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Size
Revenue2.1B2.3B2.6B3.0B3.2B3.6B4.2B4.7B5.1B5.7B
Revenue growth—+13.2%+11.4%+13.4%+8.1%+11.9%+18.0%+10.9%+9.8%+9.9%
Operating income425.8M541.8M579.3M809.7M903.7M1.0B1.1B1.3B1.7B1.9B
Net income342.3M315.6M404.6M621.7M474.5M779.4M897.6M1.0B1.4B1.5B
Margins
Gross margin58.1%57.0%57.3%58.1%57.5%56.6%55.8%56.7%59.4%61.1%
Operating margin20.6%23.2%22.2%27.4%28.3%28.0%26.8%28.2%32.7%33.4%
Net margin16.6%13.5%15.5%21.0%14.8%21.8%21.3%21.8%27.2%26.9%
Free cash flow margin17.0%18.9%15.0%23.9%19.8%6.0%13.6%27.8%32.3%29.2%
R&D ÷ revenue7.0%6.6%6.9%6.8%7.0%7.1%6.8%6.6%6.4%6.7%
SG&A ÷ revenue26.8%25.7%24.7%22.9%21.0%20.6%20.7%19.6%19.3%19.8%
Cash
Free cash flow351.8M442.4M390.3M706.9M634.0M216.3M573.6M1.3B1.7B1.6B
Stock-based pay45.9M48.4M52.1M57.6M63.9M65.3M71.1M80.2M91.7M104.3M
Free cash flow after stock pay305.9M394.0M338.3M649.4M570.1M151.1M502.5M1.2B1.6B1.5B
Free cash flow to the firm398.0M351.8M431.0M752.8M361.8M609.2M576.1M1.3B1.3B1.5B
Free cash flow ÷ net income1.0×1.4×1.0×1.1×1.3×0.3×0.6×1.3×1.2×1.1×
Capex ÷ revenue3.0%2.7%2.6%3.2%3.2%3.8%2.8%2.1%1.7%2.8%
Returns
Return on invested capital11.5%14.0%13.5%18.7%13.7%19.6%16.6%19.1%21.2%20.7%
Return on equity17.5%15.3%19.5%24.9%16.4%23.2%21.7%21.0%23.5%23.1%
Return on assets9.9%10.3%9.8%13.6%10.0%15.3%13.3%14.9%17.1%17.0%
Asset turnover0.6×0.8×0.6×0.6×0.7×0.7×0.6×0.7×0.6×0.6×
Economic profit52.2M100.1M126.2M329.0M140.5M409.1M379.8M523.0M761.1M792.0M
Per share
Earnings per share$2.40$2.19$2.80$4.27$3.24$5.30$6.09$6.92$9.51$10.43
Free cash flow per share$2.47$3.07$2.70$4.85$4.33$1.47$3.89$8.82$11.28$11.29
Dividend per share$1.31$1.39$1.47$1.55$1.55$1.67$1.75$1.91$2.11$2.39
Payout ratio54.4%63.2%52.3%36.2%47.8%31.5%28.8%27.7%22.2%23.0%
Book value per share$13.79$14.43$14.42$17.23$19.81$22.95$28.08$33.11$40.77$45.66
Diluted shares142.5M144.0M144.5M145.7M146.5M147.0M147.5M147.6M147.3M146.1M
Balance sheet
Net debt256.7M92.8M1.1B713.0M360.1M501.5M1.2B468.9M-541.2M-809.9M
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.5×0.1×1.5×0.7×0.3×0.4×0.9×0.3×-0.3×-0.4×
Interest coverage15.1×19.1×16.0×20.1×37.7×44.8×23.9×———
Current ratio4.6×2.1×2.1×2.5×1.7×2.8×3.1×2.6×3.4×3.1×
Cash conversion cycle (days)154139151141156196227170180172
Scores
Piotroski F-score—648553787
Altman Z''6.797.114.895.775.977.266.407.588.659.10
Beneish M—-2.45-2.63-2.72-2.42-2.10-2.14-2.48-2.61-2.58

Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.