RMD · Health care(surgical & medical instruments & apparatus) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30
Resmed Inc reported revenue of $5.7 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 11.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 20.6% in 2017 to 33.4%, and it earned 20.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $8.9 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 30.3% went to acquisitions and 28.0% to dividends; the share count rose 2.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 9.10 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20265.7B+11.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin33.4%gross margin 61.1%
Return on invested capital20.7%19.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.5B27.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash809.9M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2017Revenue 2.1BOperating income 425.8M
2018Revenue 2.3BOperating income 541.8M
2019Revenue 2.6BOperating income 579.3M
2020Revenue 3.0BOperating income 809.7M
2021Revenue 3.2BOperating income 903.7M
2022Revenue 3.6BOperating income 1.0B
2023Revenue 4.2BOperating income 1.1B
2024Revenue 4.7BOperating income 1.3B
2025Revenue 5.1BOperating income 1.7B
2026Revenue 5.7BOperating income 1.9B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+10.2%
+12.1%
+11.8%
Operating income
+18.6%
+15.9%
+18.0%
Net income
+19.3%
+26.3%
+18.0%
Earnings per share
+19.7%
+26.3%
+17.7%
Free cash flow per share
+42.7%
+21.1%
+18.4%
Dividend per share
+11.0%
+9.1%
+6.9%
Shares
-0.3%
-0.1%
+0.3%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.7%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2017Return on invested capital 11.5%
2018Return on invested capital 14.0%
2019Return on invested capital 13.5%
2020Return on invested capital 18.7%
2021Return on invested capital 13.7%
2022Return on invested capital 19.6%
2023Return on invested capital 16.6%
2024Return on invested capital 19.1%
2025Return on invested capital 21.2%
2026Return on invested capital 20.7%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2017Economic profit 52.2M
2018Economic profit 100.1M
2019Economic profit 126.2M
2020Economic profit 329.0M
2021Economic profit 140.5M
2022Economic profit 409.1M
2023Economic profit 379.8M
2024Economic profit 523.0M
2025Economic profit 761.1M
2026Economic profit 792.0M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
23.1%
Return on assets
17.0%
Asset turnover
0.63×
Research & development
6.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
19.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2017Net income 342.3MFree cash flow 351.8MAfter stock-based pay 305.9M
2018Net income 315.6MFree cash flow 442.4MAfter stock-based pay 394.0M
2019Net income 404.6MFree cash flow 390.3MAfter stock-based pay 338.3M
2020Net income 621.7MFree cash flow 706.9MAfter stock-based pay 649.4M
2021Net income 474.5MFree cash flow 634.0MAfter stock-based pay 570.1M
2022Net income 779.4MFree cash flow 216.3MAfter stock-based pay 151.1M
2023Net income 897.6MFree cash flow 573.6MAfter stock-based pay 502.5M
2024Net income 1.0BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2025Net income 1.4BFree cash flow 1.7BAfter stock-based pay 1.6B
2026Net income 1.5BFree cash flow 1.6BAfter stock-based pay 1.5B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
8.9B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 11%991.7M
Acquisitions 30%2.7B
Dividends 28%2.5B
Share buybacks 14%1.2B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 17%1.5B
Over the same years it paid 680.5M in stock. The share count rose 2.5%. 546.2M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00
2017Earnings per share $2.40Free cash flow per share $2.47Dividend per share $1.31
2018Earnings per share $2.19Free cash flow per share $3.07Dividend per share $1.39
2019Earnings per share $2.80Free cash flow per share $2.70Dividend per share $1.47
2020Earnings per share $4.27Free cash flow per share $4.85Dividend per share $1.55
2021Earnings per share $3.24Free cash flow per share $4.33Dividend per share $1.55
2022Earnings per share $5.30Free cash flow per share $1.47Dividend per share $1.67
2023Earnings per share $6.09Free cash flow per share $3.89Dividend per share $1.75
2024Earnings per share $6.92Free cash flow per share $8.82Dividend per share $1.91
2025Earnings per share $9.51Free cash flow per share $11.28Dividend per share $2.11
2026Earnings per share $10.43Free cash flow per share $11.29Dividend per share $2.39
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
142.0M144.0M146.0M148.0M
2017Diluted shares 142.5M
2018Diluted shares 144.0M
2019Diluted shares 144.5M
2020Diluted shares 145.7M
2021Diluted shares 146.5M
2022Diluted shares 147.0M
2023Diluted shares 147.5M
2024Diluted shares 147.6M
2025Diluted shares 147.3M
2026Diluted shares 146.1M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-1.0B01.0B2.0B
2017Net debt 256.7M
2018Net debt 92.8M
2019Net debt 1.1B
2020Net debt 713.0M
2021Net debt 360.1M
2022Net debt 501.5M
2023Net debt 1.2B
2024Net debt 468.9M
2025Net debt -541.2M
2026Net debt -809.9M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.4×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.10 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
172 days collects in 67d, stock 157d, pays in 51d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
9.10safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.33 × 6.56+2.14
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.81 × 3.26+2.64
Operating income ÷ assets 0.21 × 6.72+1.41
Equity ÷ liabilities 2.77 × 1.05+2.90
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.58below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.00+0.92
Gross margin slipping 0.97+0.51
Soft assets 0.90+0.36
Sales growth 1.10+0.98
Slower depreciation 1.03+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.03-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.15
Leverage rising 0.98-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$203.29discounted at 9.7% a year · 54% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
19.5×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
13.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
5.1×
Free cash flow yield
5.2%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today13.3B
Everything after, today15.6B
The whole business28.9B
Plus net cash809.9M
What belongs to shareholders29.7B
Divided among 146.1M shares: <strong>$203.29</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2017Reported 305.9M
2018Reported 394.0M
2019Reported 338.3M
2020Reported 649.4M
2021Reported 570.1M
2022Reported 151.1M
2023Reported 502.5M
2024Reported 1.2B
2025Reported 1.6B
2026Reported 1.5B
2027Projected 1.6B
2028Projected 1.7B
2029Projected 1.9B
2030Projected 2.1B
2031Projected 2.2B
2032Projected 2.4B
2033Projected 2.5B
2034Projected 2.6B
2035Projected 2.7B
2036Projected 2.8B
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
6.3B
7.0B
7.7B
8.4B
9.1B
9.7B
10.2B
10.7B
11.1B
11.3B
Growth
12.0%
10.9%
9.9%
8.8%
7.8%
6.7%
5.7%
4.6%
3.6%
2.5%
Cash margin
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
24.6%
Free cash flow
1.6B
1.7B
1.9B
2.1B
2.2B
2.4B
2.5B
2.6B
2.7B
2.8B
Worth today
1.4B
1.4B
1.4B
1.4B
1.4B
1.4B
1.3B
1.2B
1.2B
1.1B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.7%
210
222
237
254
274
9.2%
196
206
219
233
249
9.7%
184
193
203
215
229
10.2%
173
181
190
200
212
10.7%
163
170
178
187
197
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
19.7%
148
160
172
186
200
22.1%
161
174
188
203
219
24.6%
174
188
203
220
237
27.0%
187
202
219
236
255
29.5%
200
216
234
253
274
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 3.7%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$155.36
Median$203.49
90th percentile$274.77
$200.00$300.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$175.71</b> and <b>$236.42</b>; one in ten below $155.36, one in ten above $274.77.
Does the long run make sense?
9.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 9.4 times that year's EBITDA.
34%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 7% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 34% on the new capital — it has earned 19% on average over the last five years.
54%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.