SGI · Consumer discretionary(household furniture) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Somnigroup International Inc. reported revenue of $7.5 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 10.4% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 13.4% in 2016 to 10.1%, and it earned 7.8% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $4.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 70.5% went to acquisitions and 27.2% back into the business; the share count fell 12.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests and its Altman Z'' of 1.74 is in the grey zone; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20257.5B+10.4% a year over 9 years
Operating margin10.1%gross margin 42.6%
Return on invested capital7.8%16.5% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay592.2M7.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA4.3×net debt 4.5B
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
4-for-1 before fiscal 2018.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2016Revenue 3.1BOperating income 413.4M
2017Revenue 2.7BOperating income 295.5M
2018Revenue 2.7BOperating income 256.3M
2019Revenue 3.1BOperating income 346.7M
2020Revenue 3.7BOperating income 532.1M
2021Revenue 4.9BOperating income 912.3M
2022Revenue 4.9BOperating income 680.6M
2023Revenue 4.9BOperating income 607.2M
2024Revenue 4.9BOperating income 634.2M
2025Revenue 7.5BOperating income 754.9M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+15.0%
+15.3%
+10.4%
Operating income
+3.5%
+7.2%
+6.9%
Net income
-5.5%
+1.9%
+8.1%
Earnings per share
-10.1%
+2.2%
+9.7%
Free cash flow per share
+96.2%
+3.4%
+24.1%
Dividend per share
+15.9%
—
—
Shares
+5.1%
-0.3%
-1.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 6.9%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2016Return on invested capital 15.6%
2017Return on invested capital 12.6%
2018Return on invested capital 9.6%
2019Return on invested capital 13.1%
2020Return on invested capital 22.8%
2021Return on invested capital 27.0%
2022Return on invested capital 19.8%
2023Return on invested capital 16.8%
2024Return on invested capital 11.2%
2025Return on invested capital 7.8%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Economic profit 160.8M
2017Economic profit 107.1M
2018Economic profit 51.3M
2019Economic profit 118.5M
2020Economic profit 287.4M
2021Economic profit 516.4M
2022Economic profit 352.5M
2023Economic profit 280.5M
2024Economic profit 188.2M
2025Economic profit 74.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
12.4%
Return on assets
3.3%
Asset turnover
0.64×
Research & development
0.4% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Net income 190.6MFree cash flow 103.6MAfter stock-based pay 87.4M
2017Net income 151.4MFree cash flow 156.3MAfter stock-based pay 143.0M
2018Net income 100.5MFree cash flow 133.9MAfter stock-based pay 109.1M
2019Net income 189.5MFree cash flow 226.6MAfter stock-based pay 199.8M
2020Net income 348.8MFree cash flow 543.4MAfter stock-based pay 438.9M
2021Net income 624.5MFree cash flow 599.8MAfter stock-based pay 538.4M
2022Net income 455.7MFree cash flow 72.3MAfter stock-based pay 19.2M
2023Net income 368.1MFree cash flow 384.9MAfter stock-based pay 337.2M
2024Net income 384.3MFree cash flow 569.2MAfter stock-based pay 532.8M
2025Net income 384.1MFree cash flow 633.2MAfter stock-based pay 592.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
4.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 27%1.3B
Acquisitions 71%3.3B
Dividends 9%431.4M
Share buybacks 0%0
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -7%-326.8M
Over the same years it paid 425.2M in stock. The share count fell 12.5%.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00
2016Earnings per share $0.80Free cash flow per share $0.43
2017Earnings per share $0.69Free cash flow per share $0.71
2018Earnings per share $0.46Free cash flow per share $0.61
2019Earnings per share $0.86Free cash flow per share $1.02Dividend per share $0.00
2020Earnings per share $1.64Free cash flow per share $2.56Dividend per share $0.00
2021Earnings per share $3.06Free cash flow per share $2.94Dividend per share $0.31
2022Earnings per share $2.53Free cash flow per share $0.40Dividend per share $0.39
2023Earnings per share $2.08Free cash flow per share $2.17Dividend per share $0.44
2024Earnings per share $2.16Free cash flow per share $3.19Dividend per share $0.52
2025Earnings per share $1.84Free cash flow per share $3.03Dividend per share $0.61
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
160.0M180.0M200.0M220.0M240.0M
2016Diluted shares 239.2M
2017Diluted shares 218.8M
2018Diluted shares 220.4M
2019Diluted shares 221.6M
2020Diluted shares 212.3M
2021Diluted shares 204.3M
2022Diluted shares 180.3M
2023Diluted shares 177.3M
2024Diluted shares 178.2M
2025Diluted shares 209.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Net debt 1.8B
2017Net debt 1.7B
2018Net debt 1.6B
2019Net debt 1.5B
2020Net debt 1.2B
2021Net debt 2.0B
2022Net debt 2.7B
2023Net debt 2.4B
2024Net debt 2.0B
2025Net debt 4.5B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
4.3×
Interest coverage
3× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
0.83 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
37 days collects in 18d, stock 54d, pays in 34d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.74grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets -0.02 × 6.56-0.15
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.33 × 3.26+1.08
Operating income ÷ assets 0.07 × 6.72+0.44
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.37 × 1.05+0.38
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (167M) is well below depreciation (290M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
Net debt is 4.3 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$120.89discounted at 6.9% a year · 70% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
65.8×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
28.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
4.0×
Free cash flow yield
2.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today9.1B
Everything after, today20.7B
The whole business29.8B
Minus net debt-4.5B
What belongs to shareholders25.3B
Divided among 209.2M shares: <strong>$120.89</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Reported 87.4M
2017Reported 143.0M
2018Reported 109.1M
2019Reported 199.8M
2020Reported 438.9M
2021Reported 538.4M
2022Reported 19.2M
2023Reported 337.2M
2024Reported 532.8M
2025Reported 592.2M
2026Projected 844.8M
2027Projected 963.6M
2028Projected 1.1B
2029Projected 1.2B
2030Projected 1.3B
2031Projected 1.4B
2032Projected 1.5B
2033Projected 1.6B
2034Projected 1.7B
2035Projected 1.7B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
8.6B
9.8B
11.1B
12.3B
13.5B
14.6B
15.6B
16.5B
17.1B
17.6B
Growth
15.5%
14.1%
12.6%
11.2%
9.7%
8.3%
6.8%
5.4%
3.9%
2.5%
Cash margin
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
9.8%
Free cash flow
844.8M
963.6M
1.1B
1.2B
1.3B
1.4B
1.5B
1.6B
1.7B
1.7B
Worth today
790.5M
843.5M
888.8M
924.4M
949.0M
961.4M
961.0M
947.6M
921.6M
883.9M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
5.9%
126
143
165
195
237
6.4%
110
123
140
162
191
6.9%
97
108
121
137
158
7.4%
87
95
106
118
134
7.9%
78
85
93
103
116
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
11.5%
13.5%
15.5%
17.5%
19.5%
7.8%
78
87
96
106
117
8.8%
89
98
109
120
132
9.8%
99
110
121
133
146
10.8%
109
121
133
146
161
11.7%
120
132
146
160
175
All the inputs moving at once
4,987 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$73.43
Median$120.31
90th percentile$207.86
$100.00$200.00$300.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$93.46</b> and <b>$159.16</b>; one in ten below $73.43, one in ten above $207.86.
Does the long run make sense?
16.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 16.4 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
70%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$1.9M1 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market$445,5392 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.