MTH · Consumer discretionary(operative builders) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Of the $1.4 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 57.7% went to buybacks and 18.6% to dividends; the share count fell 16.2%. On the accounting screens, it passes 3 of 5 Piotroski tests; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2025—
Operating margin—gross margin —
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay72.9M
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score3/5tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
2-for-1 before fiscal 2022.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Operating income 223.2M
2017Operating income 251.4M
2018Operating income 284.0M
2019Operating income 311.3M
2020Operating income 535.7M
2021Operating income 955.2M
2022Operating income 1.3B
2023Operating income 949.4M
2024Operating income 1.0B
2025Operating income 584.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Operating income
-23.2%
+1.8%
+11.3%
Net income
-23.0%
+1.4%
+13.1%
Earnings per share
-22.0%
+2.9%
+15.4%
Free cash flow per share
-36.6%
-27.8%
—
Shares
-1.3%
-1.5%
-1.9%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capital
Economic profit
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
8.7%
Return on assets
5.9%
Asset turnover
—
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B
2016Net income 149.5MFree cash flow -120.1MAfter stock-based pay -133.8M
2017Net income 143.3MFree cash flow -105.2MAfter stock-based pay -117.3M
2018Net income 227.3MFree cash flow 228.8MAfter stock-based pay 211.6M
2019Net income 249.7MFree cash flow 322.4MAfter stock-based pay 302.8M
2020Net income 423.5MFree cash flow 510.4MAfter stock-based pay 490.4M
2021Net income 737.4MFree cash flow -177.8MAfter stock-based pay -197.8M
2022Net income 992.2MFree cash flow 378.3MAfter stock-based pay 356.0M
2023Net income 738.7MFree cash flow 317.4MAfter stock-based pay 294.9M
2024Net income 786.2MFree cash flow -256.2MAfter stock-based pay -282.0M
2025Net income 453.0MFree cash flow 92.6MAfter stock-based pay 72.9M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
1.4B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 18%257.7M
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 19%269.2M
Share buybacks 58%835.9M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 6%85.5M
Over the same years it paid 193.0M in stock. The share count fell 16.2%. 642.9M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-5.00$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00
2016Earnings per share $1.76Free cash flow per share $-1.41
2017Earnings per share $1.70Free cash flow per share $-1.25
2018Earnings per share $2.79Free cash flow per share $2.81
2019Earnings per share $3.21Free cash flow per share $4.15
2020Earnings per share $5.50Free cash flow per share $6.63
2021Earnings per share $9.64Free cash flow per share $-2.32Dividend per share $0.00
2022Earnings per share $13.37Free cash flow per share $5.10Dividend per share $0.00
2023Earnings per share $9.96Free cash flow per share $4.28Dividend per share $0.53
2024Earnings per share $10.72Free cash flow per share $-3.49Dividend per share $1.48
2025Earnings per share $6.35Free cash flow per share $1.30Dividend per share $1.70
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
70.0M75.0M80.0M85.0M90.0M
2016Diluted shares 85.2M
2017Diluted shares 84.5M
2018Diluted shares 81.5M
2019Diluted shares 77.8M
2020Diluted shares 77.0M
2021Diluted shares 76.5M
2022Diluted shares 74.2M
2023Diluted shares 74.1M
2024Diluted shares 73.3M
2025Diluted shares 71.3M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
— current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
3of 5 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
–More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
–Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year before — not reportedno data
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
The accounts lack a line it needs (retained earnings, current assets or liabilities).
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Reported profit comfortably exceeds the cash generated (453M against 118M).
Benign
Growth consuming working capital, or the seasonality of the year-end.
Worrying
Profit held up by accounting entries that do not turn into money.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
The SEC accounts lack the lines needed for revenue, free cash flow or the share count, so there is no DCF for this company.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$79,0661 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
