LZB · Consumer discretionary(household furniture) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-04-25
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LA-Z-BOY Inc reported revenue of $2.1 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 3.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 8.8% in 2017 to 6.1%. Of the $1.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 31.3% went back into the business and 27.7% to buybacks; the share count fell 16.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.62 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20262.1B+3.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin6.1%gross margin 44.0%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay112.1M5.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score5/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01B2B3B
2017Revenue 1.5BOperating income 133.3M
2018Revenue 1.6BOperating income 129.4M
2019Revenue 1.7BOperating income 129.7M
2020Revenue 1.7BOperating income 118.8M
2021Revenue 1.7BOperating income 136.7M
2022Revenue 2.4BOperating income 206.8M
2023Revenue 2.3BOperating income 211.4M
2024Revenue 2.0BOperating income 150.8M
2025Revenue 2.1BOperating income 135.8M
2026Revenue 2.1BOperating income 129.2M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-3.3%
+4.2%
+3.8%
Operating income
-15.1%
-1.1%
-0.3%
Net income
-12.2%
-0.9%
+1.9%
Earnings per share
-10.9%
+1.4%
+4.0%
Free cash flow per share
-0.7%
-12.0%
+2.0%
Dividend per share
+9.9%
—
+9.1%
Shares
-1.5%
-2.3%
-2.0%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
0%5%10%15%
2017
2018
2019Return on invested capital 14.0%
2020Return on invested capital 10.5%
2021Return on invested capital 13.0%
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
010M20M30M
2017
2018
2019Economic profit 25.5M
2020Economic profit 2.0M
2021Economic profit 21.6M
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
9.7%
Return on assets
5.0%
Asset turnover
1.04×
Research & development
0.5% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
37.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-100M0100M200M300M
2017Net income 85.9MFree cash flow 127.7MAfter stock-based pay 118.8M
2018Net income 80.9MFree cash flow 79.4MAfter stock-based pay 69.9M
2019Net income 68.6MFree cash flow 102.3MAfter stock-based pay 91.3M
2020Net income 77.5MFree cash flow 118.2MAfter stock-based pay 109.8M
2021Net income 106.5MFree cash flow 272.0MAfter stock-based pay 259.3M
2022Net income 150.0MFree cash flow 2.4MAfter stock-based pay -9.4M
2023Net income 150.7MFree cash flow 136.4MAfter stock-based pay 123.9M
2024Net income 122.6MFree cash flow 104.6MAfter stock-based pay 90.2M
2025Net income 99.6MFree cash flow 113.0MAfter stock-based pay 95.6M
2026Net income 102.0MFree cash flow 127.8MAfter stock-based pay 112.1M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
1.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 31%538.6M
Acquisitions 19%328.5M
Dividends 15%254.4M
Share buybacks 28%476.8M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 7%123.9M
Over the same years it paid 122.2M in stock. The share count fell 16.4%. 354.6M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$2$4$6
2017Earnings per share $1.74Free cash flow per share $2.58Dividend per share $0.42
2018Earnings per share $1.68Free cash flow per share $1.65Dividend per share $0.46
2019Earnings per share $1.45Free cash flow per share $2.16Dividend per share $0.50
2020Earnings per share $1.66Free cash flow per share $2.53Dividend per share $0.54
2021Earnings per share $2.30Free cash flow per share $5.87
2022Earnings per share $3.39Free cash flow per share $0.05Dividend per share $0.63
2023Earnings per share $3.48Free cash flow per share $3.15Dividend per share $0.69
2024Earnings per share $2.83Free cash flow per share $2.42Dividend per share $0.75
2025Earnings per share $2.35Free cash flow per share $2.67Dividend per share $0.83
2026Earnings per share $2.47Free cash flow per share $3.09Dividend per share $0.92
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
40.0M42.5M45.0M47.5M50.0M
2017Diluted shares 49.5M
2018Diluted shares 48.1M
2019Diluted shares 47.3M
2020Diluted shares 46.7M
2021Diluted shares 46.4M
2022Diluted shares 44.3M
2023Diluted shares 43.2M
2024Diluted shares 43.3M
2025Diluted shares 42.3M
2026Diluted shares 41.3M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-400M-300M-200M-100M0
2017
2018
2019Net debt -129.8M
2020Net debt -186.6M
2021Net debt -391.2M
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
247× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.80 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
58 days collects in 22d, stock 67d, pays in 31d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.62safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.17 × 6.56+1.10
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.30 × 3.26+0.97
Operating income ÷ assets 0.06 × 6.72+0.43
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.06 × 1.05+1.11
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.72below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.93+0.86
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 1.10+0.45
Sales growth 1.01+0.90
Slower depreciation 1.03+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.01-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.23
Leverage rising 0.96-0.31
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$27.67discounted at 10.2% a year · 49% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
11.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
6.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.5×
Free cash flow yield
9.8%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today584.9M
Everything after, today559.0M
The whole business1.1B
Minus net debt-0
What belongs to shareholders1.1B
Divided among 41.3M shares: <strong>$27.67</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-100M0100M200M300M
2017Reported 118.8M
2018Reported 69.9M
2019Reported 91.3M
2020Reported 109.8M
2021Reported 259.3M
2022Reported -9.4M
2023Reported 123.9M
2024Reported 90.2M
2025Reported 95.6M
2026Reported 112.1M
2027Projected 84.5M
2028Projected 87.8M
2029Projected 91.0M
2030Projected 94.2M
2031Projected 97.3M
2032Projected 100.4M
2033Projected 103.4M
2034Projected 106.3M
2035Projected 109.2M
2036Projected 111.9M
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
2.2B
2.3B
2.4B
2.5B
2.5B
2.6B
2.7B
2.8B
2.9B
2.9B
Growth
4.0%
3.8%
3.7%
3.5%
3.3%
3.2%
3.0%
2.8%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
Free cash flow
84.5M
87.8M
91.0M
94.2M
97.3M
100.4M
103.4M
106.3M
109.2M
111.9M
Worth today
76.7M
72.2M
67.9M
63.8M
59.8M
55.9M
52.3M
48.7M
45.4M
42.2M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
29
30
32
34
36
9.7%
27
28
30
31
33
10.2%
25
26
28
29
31
10.7%
24
25
26
27
29
11.2%
23
23
24
26
27
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
3.1%
20
22
24
26
28
3.4%
22
24
26
28
30
3.8%
24
26
28
30
32
4.2%
25
27
30
32
35
4.6%
27
29
32
35
37
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$13.83
Median$27.68
90th percentile$44.90
$20.00$40.00$60.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$20.03</b> and <b>$35.97</b>; one in ten below $13.83, one in ten above $44.90.
Does the long run make sense?
6.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 6.1 times that year's EBITDA.
16%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 15% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 16% on the new capital.
49%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 6.74% × (1 − 25.9%) = <strong>5.00%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.24%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$270,2322 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans50%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.