LEVI · Consumer discretionary(apparel & other finishd prods of fabrics & similar matl) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-11-30
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Levi Strauss & Co reported revenue of $6.3 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 3.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin held steady at about 10.8% from 2016, and it earned 16.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $5.0 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 37.9% went back into the business and 25.7% to dividends; the share count rose 6.7%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.17 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20256.3B+3.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin10.8%gross margin 61.7%
Return on invested capital16.2%15.9% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay226.6M3.6% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.3×net debt 281.3M
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
10-for-1 before fiscal 2019.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2.0B02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2016Revenue 4.6BOperating income 462.2M
2017Revenue 4.9BOperating income 480.1M
2018Revenue 5.6BOperating income 540.4M
2019Revenue 5.8BOperating income 566.7M
2020Revenue 4.5BOperating income -85.1M
2021Revenue 5.8BOperating income 686.2M
2022Revenue 6.2BOperating income 646.5M
2023Revenue 5.8BOperating income 354.4M
2024Revenue 6.0BOperating income 262.7M
2025Revenue 6.3BOperating income 677.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+0.6%
+7.1%
+3.6%
Operating income
+1.6%
—
+4.3%
Net income
+0.5%
—
+7.9%
Earnings per share
+0.9%
—
+7.2%
Free cash flow per share
—
-2.0%
+4.0%
Dividend per share
+7.3%
+27.2%
+14.3%
Shares
-0.3%
+0.1%
+0.7%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.3%
-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2016Return on invested capital 21.8%
2017Return on invested capital 22.1%
2018Return on invested capital 18.0%
2019Return on invested capital 18.2%
2020Return on invested capital -4.0%
2021Return on invested capital 24.3%
2022Return on invested capital 19.5%
2023Return on invested capital 10.9%
2024Return on invested capital 8.6%
2025Return on invested capital 16.2%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-400.0M-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Economic profit 205.2M
2017Economic profit 245.0M
2018Economic profit 166.7M
2019Economic profit 255.6M
2020Economic profit -349.9M
2021Economic profit 432.1M
2022Economic profit 326.7M
2023Economic profit 79.9M
2024Economic profit 8.5M
2025Economic profit 262.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
25.4%
Return on assets
8.4%
Asset turnover
0.92×
Overheads (SG&A)
50.5% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Net income 291.1MFree cash flow 203.6MAfter stock-based pay 194.3M
2017Net income 281.4MFree cash flow 407.3MAfter stock-based pay 381.5M
2018Net income 283.1MFree cash flow 261.0MAfter stock-based pay 242.6M
2019Net income 394.6MFree cash flow 236.8MAfter stock-based pay 181.6M
2020Net income -127.1MFree cash flow 339.2MAfter stock-based pay 288.3M
2021Net income 553.5MFree cash flow 570.4MAfter stock-based pay 510.3M
2022Net income 569.1MFree cash flow -39.0MAfter stock-based pay -99.8M
2023Net income 249.6MFree cash flow 121.9MAfter stock-based pay 47.5M
2024Net income 210.6MFree cash flow 670.9MAfter stock-based pay 608.1M
2025Net income 578.1MFree cash flow 308.2MAfter stock-based pay 226.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
5.0B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 38%1.9B
Acquisitions 10%492.0M
Dividends 26%1.3B
Share buybacks 10%504.3M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 16%805.9M
Over the same years it paid 499.3M in stock. The share count rose 6.7%. 5.0M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-0.50$0.00$0.50$1.00$1.50$2.00
2016Earnings per share $0.78Free cash flow per share $0.54Dividend per share $0.16
2017Earnings per share $0.73Free cash flow per share $1.06Dividend per share $0.18
2018Earnings per share $0.73Free cash flow per share $0.67Dividend per share $0.23
2019Earnings per share $0.97Free cash flow per share $0.58Dividend per share $0.28
2020Earnings per share $-0.32Free cash flow per share $0.85Dividend per share $0.16
2021Earnings per share $1.35Free cash flow per share $1.39Dividend per share $0.25
2022Earnings per share $1.41Free cash flow per share $-0.10Dividend per share $0.43
2023Earnings per share $0.62Free cash flow per share $0.30Dividend per share $0.47
2024Earnings per share $0.52Free cash flow per share $1.67Dividend per share $0.49
2025Earnings per share $1.45Free cash flow per share $0.77Dividend per share $0.53
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
370.0M380.0M390.0M400.0M410.0M
2016Diluted shares 374.7M
2017Diluted shares 384.3M
2018Diluted shares 388.6M
2019Diluted shares 408.4M
2020Diluted shares 397.3M
2021Diluted shares 409.8M
2022Diluted shares 403.8M
2023Diluted shares 401.7M
2024Diluted shares 402.4M
2025Diluted shares 399.7M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Net debt 630.7M
2017Net debt 443.7M
2018Net debt 339.0M
2019Net debt 80.1M
2020Net debt 67.1M
2021Net debt 216.3M
2022Net debt 566.6M
2023Net debt 623.1M
2024Net debt 309.5M
2025Net debt 281.3M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.3×
Interest coverage
14× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.55 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
142 days collects in 45d, stock 188d, pays in 91d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.17safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.16 × 6.56+1.07
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.28 × 3.26+0.90
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.66
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.50 × 1.05+0.52
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.37below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.05+0.96
Gross margin slipping 0.98+0.52
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 0.94+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.99-0.17
Profit not in cash 0.01+0.03
Leverage rising 0.95-0.31
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$13.23discounted at 8.3% a year · 59% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
9.1×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
6.3×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.9×
Free cash flow yield
4.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today2.3B
Everything after, today3.3B
The whole business5.6B
Minus net debt-281.3M
What belongs to shareholders5.3B
Divided among 399.7M shares: <strong>$13.23</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Reported 194.3M
2017Reported 381.5M
2018Reported 242.6M
2019Reported 181.6M
2020Reported 288.3M
2021Reported 510.3M
2022Reported -99.8M
2023Reported 47.5M
2024Reported 608.1M
2025Reported 226.6M
2026Projected 277.4M
2027Projected 295.5M
2028Projected 313.2M
2029Projected 330.4M
2030Projected 346.9M
2031Projected 362.5M
2032Projected 377.0M
2033Projected 390.2M
2034Projected 401.9M
2035Projected 412.0M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.7B
7.2B
7.6B
8.0B
8.4B
8.8B
9.1B
9.5B
9.7B
10.0B
Growth
7.0%
6.5%
6.0%
5.5%
5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
Cash margin
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
Free cash flow
277.4M
295.5M
313.2M
330.4M
346.9M
362.5M
377.0M
390.2M
401.9M
412.0M
Worth today
256.2M
252.1M
246.8M
240.5M
233.2M
225.1M
216.2M
206.7M
196.7M
186.2M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.3%
14
15
16
18
20
7.8%
13
13
15
16
18
8.3%
12
12
13
14
16
8.8%
11
11
12
13
14
9.3%
10
10
11
12
13
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
3.0%
5.0%
7.0%
9.0%
11.0%
3.3%
9
10
11
12
13
3.7%
10
11
12
13
14
4.1%
11
12
13
14
16
4.5%
12
13
14
16
17
5.0%
13
14
15
17
18
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$6.09
Median$13.18
90th percentile$22.90
$10.00$20.00$30.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$9.31</b> and <b>$17.73</b>; one in ten below $6.09, one in ten above $22.90.
Does the long run make sense?
5.2×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 5.2 times that year's EBITDA.
5%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 52% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 5% on the new capital — it has earned 16% on average over the last five years.
59%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (apparel & other finishd prods of fabrics & similar matl) first, then the rest of consumer discretionary.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.