HUBB · Technology(electronic components & accessories) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Hubbell Inc reported revenue of $5.8 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 5.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 14.0% in 2016 to 20.7%, and it earned 15.6% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $6.6 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 62.7% went to acquisitions and 17.2% back into the business; the share count fell 3.9%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 4.42 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20255.8B+5.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin20.7%gross margin 35.3%
Return on invested capital15.6%15.1% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay841.7M14.4% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA1.3×net debt 1.8B
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Revenue 3.5BOperating income 489.8M
2017Revenue 3.7BOperating income 518.8M
2018Revenue 4.5BOperating income 556.9M
2019Revenue 3.9BOperating income 526.7M
2020Revenue 3.7BOperating income 494.5M
2021Revenue 4.2BOperating income 532.3M
2022Revenue 4.9BOperating income 709.1M
2023Revenue 5.4BOperating income 1.0B
2024Revenue 5.6BOperating income 1.1B
2025Revenue 5.8BOperating income 1.2B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+5.7%
+9.7%
+5.8%
Operating income
+19.5%
+19.6%
+10.6%
Net income
+17.6%
+20.4%
+13.1%
Earnings per share
+18.0%
+20.8%
+13.6%
Free cash flow per share
+20.4%
+9.5%
+11.4%
Shares
-0.4%
-0.4%
-0.4%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.3%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2016Return on invested capital 13.1%
2017Return on invested capital 10.9%
2018Return on invested capital 12.3%
2019Return on invested capital 11.8%
2020Return on invested capital 10.7%
2021Return on invested capital 11.7%
2022Return on invested capital 14.7%
2023Return on invested capital 16.3%
2024Return on invested capital 17.2%
2025Return on invested capital 15.6%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Economic profit 123.1M
2017Economic profit 68.3M
2018Economic profit 141.1M
2019Economic profit 122.2M
2020Economic profit 84.6M
2021Economic profit 123.5M
2022Economic profit 240.5M
2023Economic profit 390.6M
2024Economic profit 437.9M
2025Economic profit 448.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
23.1%
Return on assets
10.8%
Asset turnover
0.71×
Overheads (SG&A)
14.6% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B
2016Net income 293.0MFree cash flow 343.8MAfter stock-based pay 321.5M
2017Net income 243.1MFree cash flow 299.3MAfter stock-based pay 277.0M
2018Net income 360.2MFree cash flow 420.9MAfter stock-based pay 396.7M
2019Net income 400.9MFree cash flow 504.9MAfter stock-based pay 490.4M
2020Net income 351.2MFree cash flow 565.2MAfter stock-based pay 543.3M
2021Net income 399.5MFree cash flow 423.5MAfter stock-based pay 406.0M
2022Net income 545.9MFree cash flow 506.9MAfter stock-based pay 482.4M
2023Net income 751.4MFree cash flow 715.1MAfter stock-based pay 688.6M
2024Net income 779.0MFree cash flow 810.8MAfter stock-based pay 780.2M
2025Net income 887.1MFree cash flow 874.7MAfter stock-based pay 841.7M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
6.6B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 17%1.1B
Acquisitions 63%4.1B
Dividends 13%861.9M
Share buybacks 14%943.8M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -7%-479.6M
Over the same years it paid 237.3M in stock. The share count fell 3.9%. 706.5M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00
2016Earnings per share $5.26Free cash flow per share $6.17Dividend per share $2.59
2017Earnings per share $4.41Free cash flow per share $5.43Dividend per share $2.86
2018Earnings per share $6.56Free cash flow per share $7.67Dividend per share $3.14
2019Earnings per share $7.33Free cash flow per share $9.23Dividend per share $3.41
2020Earnings per share $6.44Free cash flow per share $10.37Dividend per share $3.70
2021Earnings per share $7.30Free cash flow per share $7.74
2022Earnings per share $10.09Free cash flow per share $9.37
2023Earnings per share $13.91Free cash flow per share $13.24
2024Earnings per share $14.43Free cash flow per share $15.01
2025Earnings per share $16.58Free cash flow per share $16.35
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
53.0M54.0M55.0M56.0M
2016Diluted shares 55.7M
2017Diluted shares 55.1M
2018Diluted shares 54.9M
2019Diluted shares 54.7M
2020Diluted shares 54.5M
2021Diluted shares 54.7M
2022Diluted shares 54.1M
2023Diluted shares 54.0M
2024Diluted shares 54.0M
2025Diluted shares 53.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Net debt 556.1M
2017Net debt 680.2M
2018Net debt 1.6B
2019Net debt 1.4B
2020Net debt 1.3B
2021Net debt 1.2B
2022Net debt 1.0B
2023Net debt 1.7B
2024Net debt 1.2B
2025Net debt 1.8B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.3×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.72 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
103 days collects in 54d, stock 105d, pays in 55d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
4.42safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.13 × 6.56+0.87
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.51 × 3.26+1.65
Operating income ÷ assets 0.15 × 6.72+0.99
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.88 × 1.05+0.92
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.46below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.09+1.00
Gross margin slipping 0.96+0.51
Soft assets 1.03+0.42
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 1.15+0.13
Overheads vs sales 1.01-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.02-0.08
Leverage rising 1.09-0.36
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$297.11discounted at 8.3% a year · 60% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
17.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
12.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
3.0×
Free cash flow yield
5.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today7.1B
Everything after, today10.6B
The whole business17.7B
Minus net debt-1.8B
What belongs to shareholders15.9B
Divided among 53.5M shares: <strong>$297.11</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Reported 321.5M
2017Reported 277.0M
2018Reported 396.7M
2019Reported 490.4M
2020Reported 543.3M
2021Reported 406.0M
2022Reported 482.4M
2023Reported 688.6M
2024Reported 780.2M
2025Reported 841.7M
2026Projected 826.2M
2027Projected 898.3M
2028Projected 969.6M
2029Projected 1.0B
2030Projected 1.1B
2031Projected 1.2B
2032Projected 1.2B
2033Projected 1.3B
2034Projected 1.3B
2035Projected 1.3B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.4B
7.0B
7.5B
8.0B
8.6B
9.0B
9.5B
9.9B
10.2B
10.4B
Growth
9.5%
8.7%
7.9%
7.2%
6.4%
5.6%
4.8%
4.1%
3.3%
2.5%
Cash margin
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
Free cash flow
826.2M
898.3M
969.6M
1.0B
1.1B
1.2B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.3B
Worth today
762.6M
765.3M
762.5M
754.2M
740.6M
721.9M
698.6M
670.9M
639.6M
605.1M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.3%
309
336
368
408
459
7.8%
281
303
329
361
401
8.3%
256
275
297
323
354
8.8%
236
252
270
292
317
9.3%
218
231
247
265
286
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
10.3%
202
222
243
267
292
11.6%
224
246
270
296
324
12.9%
246
271
297
325
356
14.2%
269
295
324
355
388
15.5%
291
320
351
384
420
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$209.04
Median$297.35
90th percentile$441.40
$200.00$400.00$600.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$246.42</b> and <b>$363.20</b>; one in ten below $209.04, one in ten above $441.40.
Does the long run make sense?
9.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 9.4 times that year's EBITDA.
12%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 22% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 12% on the new capital — it has earned 15% on average over the last five years.
60%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$283,6531 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.