HRB · Consumer discretionary(services-personal services) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30
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H&R Block Inc reported revenue of $3.9 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 2.5% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin held steady at about 23.7% from 2018, and it earned 50.1% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $6.1 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 29.0% went to dividends and 13.2% to acquisitions; the share count fell 38.7%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.26 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20263.9B+2.5% a year over 9 years
Operating margin23.7%gross margin 44.3%
Return on invested capital50.1%42.5% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay725.6M18.4% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.5×net debt 532.8M
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01.0B2.0B3.0B4.0B
2018Revenue 3.2BOperating income 758.1M
2019Revenue 3.1BOperating income 632.2M
2020Revenue 2.6BOperating income 92.7M
2021Revenue 3.4BOperating income 869.2M
2021
2022Revenue 3.5BOperating income 747.4M
2023Revenue 3.5BOperating income 784.2M
2024Revenue 3.6BOperating income 841.4M
2025Revenue 3.8BOperating income 859.5M
2026Revenue 3.9BOperating income 934.5M
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+4.4%
—
+2.5%
Operating income
+6.0%
—
+2.4%
Net income
+9.8%
—
+2.0%
Earnings per share
+17.4%
—
+7.7%
Free cash flow per share
+7.0%
—
+5.7%
Dividend per share
+13.1%
—
+6.2%
Shares
-6.4%
—
-5.3%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 5.1%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%
2018Return on invested capital 37.6%
2019Return on invested capital 25.4%
2020Return on invested capital 9.9%
2021Return on invested capital 37.0%
2021
2022Return on invested capital 37.4%
2023Return on invested capital 40.7%
2024Return on invested capital 41.7%
2025Return on invested capital 42.4%
2026Return on invested capital 50.1%
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2018Economic profit 615.0M
2019Economic profit 413.4M
2020Economic profit 174.1M
2021Economic profit 588.5M
2021
2022Economic profit 549.8M
2023Economic profit 542.4M
2024Economic profit 579.9M
2025Economic profit 590.3M
2026Economic profit 724.4M
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
624.4%
Return on assets
22.5%
Asset turnover
1.21×
Overheads (SG&A)
21.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2018Net income 613.1MFree cash flow 751.4MAfter stock-based pay 729.5M
2019Net income 422.5MFree cash flow 511.0MAfter stock-based pay 487.3M
2020Net income -7.5MFree cash flow 27.3MAfter stock-based pay -769,000
2021Net income 583.8MFree cash flow 573.1MAfter stock-based pay 544.9M
2021
2022Net income 553.7MFree cash flow 746.6MAfter stock-based pay 712.3M
2023Net income 553.7MFree cash flow 752.1MAfter stock-based pay 720.8M
2024Net income 595.3MFree cash flow 657.2MAfter stock-based pay 622.9M
2025Net income 605.8MFree cash flow 598.8MAfter stock-based pay 566.3M
2026Net income 733.6MFree cash flow 756.1MAfter stock-based pay 725.6M
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2026
6.1B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 11%688.5M
Acquisitions 13%800.5M
Dividends 29%1.8B
Share buybacks 0%0
Kept, or used to pay down debt 46%2.8B
Over the same years it paid 264.9M in stock. The share count fell 38.7%.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00
2018Earnings per share $2.92Free cash flow per share $3.57Dividend per share $0.95
2019Earnings per share $2.04Free cash flow per share $2.47Dividend per share $0.99
2020Earnings per share $-0.04Free cash flow per share $0.14Dividend per share $1.03
2021Earnings per share $3.09Free cash flow per share $3.04Dividend per share $1.03
2021
2022Earnings per share $3.23Free cash flow per share $4.35Dividend per share $1.09
2023Earnings per share $3.52Free cash flow per share $4.78Dividend per share $1.13
2024Earnings per share $4.14Free cash flow per share $4.57Dividend per share $1.25
2025Earnings per share $4.41Free cash flow per share $4.36Dividend per share $1.44
2026Earnings per share $5.69Free cash flow per share $5.87Dividend per share $1.64
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
125.0M150.0M175.0M200.0M225.0M
2018Diluted shares 210.2M
2019Diluted shares 206.7M
2020Diluted shares 198.1M
2021Diluted shares 188.8M
2021
2022Diluted shares 171.4M
2023Diluted shares 157.2M
2024Diluted shares 143.9M
2025Diluted shares 137.3M
2026Diluted shares 128.9M
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-250.0M0250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B
2018Net debt -49.3M
2019Net debt -79.5M
2020Net debt 833.3M
2021Net debt 555.8M
2021Net debt 549.3M
2022Net debt 601.9M
2023Net debt 502.0M
2024Net debt 437.8M
2025Net debt 509.9M
2026Net debt 532.8M
2018201920202021202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.5×
Interest coverage
12× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.13 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 5d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.26grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.04 × 6.56+0.27
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.01 × 3.26+0.03
Operating income ÷ assets 0.29 × 6.72+1.93
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.04 × 1.05+0.04
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.69below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.87+0.80
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 1.01+0.41
Sales growth 1.05+0.94
Slower depreciation 1.00+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.95-0.16
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.15
Leverage rising 1.02-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (83M) is well below depreciation (122M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
78% of the value comes from after year 10: this valuation rests mostly on the long run, which is exactly what is least known.
Value per share, with these assumptions$242.00discounted at 5.1% a year · 78% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
42.5×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
30.0×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
8.0×
Free cash flow yield
2.3%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today6.9B
Everything after, today24.9B
The whole business31.7B
Minus net debt-532.8M
What belongs to shareholders31.2B
Divided among 128.9M shares: <strong>$242.00</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2018Reported 729.5M
2019Reported 487.3M
2020Reported -769,000
2021Reported 544.9M
2021
2022Reported 712.3M
2023Reported 720.8M
2024Reported 622.9M
2025Reported 566.3M
2026Reported 725.6M
2027Projected 784.2M
2028Projected 810.8M
2029Projected 837.4M
2030Projected 863.9M
2031Projected 890.3M
2032Projected 916.5M
2033Projected 942.5M
2034Projected 968.1M
2035Projected 993.4M
2036Projected 1.0B
2018202020212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
4.1B
4.2B
4.4B
4.5B
4.6B
4.8B
4.9B
5.0B
5.2B
5.3B
Growth
3.5%
3.4%
3.3%
3.2%
3.1%
2.9%
2.8%
2.7%
2.6%
2.5%
Cash margin
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
19.2%
Free cash flow
784.2M
810.8M
837.4M
863.9M
890.3M
916.5M
942.5M
968.1M
993.4M
1.0B
Worth today
746.4M
734.6M
722.1M
709.0M
695.5M
681.5M
667.0M
652.2M
636.9M
621.4M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.1%
251
308
401
581
1,083
4.6%
209
247
302
393
570
5.1%
179
205
242
296
385
5.6%
156
176
202
238
291
6.1%
139
154
173
198
234
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
-0.5%
1.5%
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
15.4%
164
180
198
217
237
17.3%
182
200
220
241
264
19.2%
201
220
242
265
291
21.1%
219
241
264
290
317
23.1%
237
261
286
314
344
All the inputs moving at once
4,601 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.9%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$143.92
Median$232.41
90th percentile$427.20
$200.00$400.00$600.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$178.63</b> and <b>$314.05</b>; one in ten below $143.92, one in ten above $427.20.
Does the long run make sense?
28.7×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 28.7 times that year's EBITDA.
42%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 6% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 42% on the new capital — it has earned 42% on average over the last five years.
78%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.