HAS · Consumer discretionary(games, toys & children's vehicles (no dolls & bicycles)) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-28
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Hasbro, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7 billion in fiscal 2025, after shrinking 0.7% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 15.7% in 2016 to 0.2%, and it earned 0.9% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $7.5 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 63.4% went to acquisitions and 46.5% to dividends; the share count rose 10.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 1.89 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 3 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20254.7B-0.7% a year over 9 years
Operating margin0.2%gross margin 72.4%
Return on invested capital0.9%-2.5% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay749.5M15.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA17.0×net debt 2.5B
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2.0B02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2016Revenue 5.0BOperating income 788.0M
2017Revenue 5.2BOperating income 810.4M
2018Revenue 4.6BOperating income 331.1M
2019Revenue 4.7BOperating income 652.1M
2020Revenue 5.5BOperating income 501.8M
2021Revenue 6.4BOperating income 763.3M
2022Revenue 5.9BOperating income 407.7M
2023Revenue 5.0BOperating income -1.5B
2024Revenue 4.1BOperating income 690.0M
2025Revenue 4.7BOperating income 11.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-7.1%
-3.0%
-0.7%
Operating income
-69.9%
-53.3%
-37.7%
Free cash flow per share
+49.8%
-0.9%
+1.4%
Dividend per share
+0.3%
+0.7%
+4.0%
Shares
+0.3%
+0.4%
+1.1%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
-57.0%
Return on assets
-5.8%
Asset turnover
0.85×
Research & development
8.2% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
25.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-2.0B-1.0B01.0B
2016Net income 551.4MFree cash flow 662.4MAfter stock-based pay 600.8M
2017Net income 396.6MFree cash flow 589.5MAfter stock-based pay 533.5M
2018Net income 220.4MFree cash flow 505.6MAfter stock-based pay 477.7M
2019Net income 520.5MFree cash flow 519.5MAfter stock-based pay 491.5M
2020Net income 222.5MFree cash flow 850.5MAfter stock-based pay 800.8M
2021Net income 428.7MFree cash flow 685.2MAfter stock-based pay 587.4M
2022Net income 203.5MFree cash flow 244.7MAfter stock-based pay 161.3M
2023Net income -1.5BFree cash flow 590.1MAfter stock-based pay 517.7M
2024Net income 385.6MFree cash flow 760.2MAfter stock-based pay 709.4M
2025Net income -322.4MFree cash flow 829.9MAfter stock-based pay 749.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
7.5B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 17%1.2B
Acquisitions 63%4.7B
Dividends 46%3.5B
Share buybacks 10%737.8M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -36%-2.7B
Over the same years it paid 608.0M in stock. The share count rose 10.4%. 129.8M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-15.00$-10.00$-5.00$0.00$5.00$10.00
2016Earnings per share $4.34Free cash flow per share $5.22Dividend per share $1.96
2017Earnings per share $3.12Free cash flow per share $4.64Dividend per share $2.18
2018Earnings per share $1.74Free cash flow per share $3.98Dividend per share $2.44
2019Earnings per share $4.05Free cash flow per share $4.04Dividend per share $2.62
2020Earnings per share $1.62Free cash flow per share $6.18Dividend per share $2.71
2021Earnings per share $3.10Free cash flow per share $4.95Dividend per share $2.71
2022Earnings per share $1.47Free cash flow per share $1.76Dividend per share $2.77
2023Earnings per share $-10.73Free cash flow per share $4.25Dividend per share $2.80
2024Earnings per share $2.75Free cash flow per share $5.42Dividend per share $2.78
2025Earnings per share $-2.30Free cash flow per share $5.92Dividend per share $2.80
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
125.0M130.0M135.0M140.0M145.0M
2016Diluted shares 127.0M
2017Diluted shares 127.0M
2018Diluted shares 126.9M
2019Diluted shares 128.5M
2020Diluted shares 137.6M
2021Diluted shares 138.4M
2022Diluted shares 138.9M
2023Diluted shares 138.8M
2024Diluted shares 140.3M
2025Diluted shares 140.2M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-2.0B02.0B4.0B
2016Net debt 266.4M
2017Net debt 112.4M
2018Net debt 512.7M
2019Net debt -533.9M
2020Net debt 3.6B
2021Net debt 3.0B
2022Net debt 3.3B
2023Net debt 2.9B
2024Net debt 2.7B
2025Net debt 2.5B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
17.0×
Interest coverage
0× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.38 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
61 days collects in 82d, stock 73d, pays in 94d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.89grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.13 × 6.56+0.84
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.28 × 3.26+0.91
Operating income ÷ assets 0.00 × 6.72+0.01
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.11 × 1.05+0.12
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-3.46below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.01+0.93
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 0.82+0.33
Sales growth 1.14+1.01
Slower depreciation 0.99+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.85-0.15
Profit not in cash -0.22-1.02
Leverage rising 1.11-0.36
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (63M) is well below depreciation (136M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
The effective tax rate is -212.0%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
Net debt is 17.0 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 3 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$2.9M5 sale(s) by 3 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.