CNM · Industrials(wholesale-durable goods, nec) · 8 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-02-01
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Core & Main, Inc. reported revenue of $7.6 billion in fiscal 2026. Of the $3.1 billion its operations generated over 8 years, 57.0% went to acquisitions and 53.7% to buybacks. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.26 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20267.6B
Operating margin9.4%gross margin 26.9%
Return on invested capital13.3%15.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay587.0M7.7% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.1×net debt 1.9B
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2019
2020Revenue 3.4BOperating income 155.0M
2021Revenue 3.6BOperating income 185.0M
2022Revenue 5.0BOperating income 425.0M
2023Revenue 6.7BOperating income 775.0M
2024Revenue 6.7BOperating income 740.0M
2025Revenue 7.4BOperating income 719.0M
2026Revenue 7.6BOperating income 722.0M
20192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
7 yrs
Revenue
+4.8%
+16.0%
—
Operating income
-2.3%
+31.3%
—
Net income
+6.4%
+64.2%
—
Earnings per share
+14.5%
—
—
Free cash flow per share
+26.0%
—
—
Shares
-7.0%
—
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.1%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2019
2020
2021
2022Return on invested capital 12.4%
2023Return on invested capital 19.8%
2024Return on invested capital 17.9%
2025Return on invested capital 13.7%
2026Return on invested capital 13.3%
20192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2019
2020
2021
2022Economic profit 147.9M
2023Economic profit 407.4M
2024Economic profit 359.8M
2025Economic profit 259.6M
2026Economic profit 255.1M
20192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
22.1%
Return on assets
7.2%
Asset turnover
1.26×
Overheads (SG&A)
15.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2019
2020Net income 36.0MFree cash flow 180.0MAfter stock-based pay 176.0M
2021Net income 37.0MFree cash flow 202.0MAfter stock-based pay 198.0M
2022Net income 166.0MFree cash flow -51.0MAfter stock-based pay -76.0M
2023Net income 366.0MFree cash flow 376.0MAfter stock-based pay 365.0M
2024Net income 371.0MFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 1.0B
2025Net income 411.0MFree cash flow 586.0MAfter stock-based pay 572.0M
2026Net income 441.0MFree cash flow 604.0MAfter stock-based pay 587.0M
20192020202120222023202420252026
Where 8 years of operating cash went, 2019–2026
3.1B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 6%191.0M
Acquisitions 57%1.8B
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 54%1.7B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -17%-525.0M
Over the same years it paid 85.0M in stock. 1.6B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00
2019
2020
2021
2022Earnings per share $0.68Free cash flow per share $-0.21
2023Earnings per share $1.49Free cash flow per share $1.53
2024Earnings per share $1.63Free cash flow per share $4.52
2025Earnings per share $2.04Free cash flow per share $2.91
2026Earnings per share $2.23Free cash flow per share $3.05
20192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
180.0M200.0M220.0M240.0M260.0M
2019
2020
2021
2022Diluted shares 244.5M
2023Diluted shares 246.2M
2024Diluted shares 227.8M
2025Diluted shares 201.4M
2026Diluted shares 197.9M
20192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2019
2020
2021Net debt 1.9B
2022Net debt 1.5B
2023Net debt 1.3B
2024Net debt 1.9B
2025Net debt 2.3B
2026Net debt 1.9B
20192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.1×
Interest coverage
6× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.63 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
78 days collects in 47d, stock 64d, pays in 33d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.26safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.23 × 6.56+1.54
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.12 × 3.26+0.40
Operating income ÷ assets 0.12 × 6.72+0.80
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.50 × 1.05+0.52
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.65below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.97+0.89
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 0.95+0.38
Sales growth 1.03+0.92
Slower depreciation 1.03+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.04-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.16
Leverage rising 0.93-0.30
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (46M) is well below depreciation (192M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$132.11discounted at 7.1% a year · 68% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
59.3×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
30.7×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
3.7×
Free cash flow yield
2.2%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today8.9B
Everything after, today19.2B
The whole business28.1B
Minus net debt-1.9B
What belongs to shareholders26.1B
Divided among 197.9M shares: <strong>$132.11</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2019
2020Reported 176.0M
2021Reported 198.0M
2022Reported -76.0M
2023Reported 365.0M
2024Reported 1.0B
2025Reported 572.0M
2026Reported 587.0M
2027Projected 826.2M
2028Projected 946.0M
2029Projected 1.1B
2030Projected 1.2B
2031Projected 1.3B
2032Projected 1.4B
2033Projected 1.5B
2034Projected 1.6B
2035Projected 1.7B
2036Projected 1.7B
201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
8.9B
10.2B
11.5B
12.8B
14.1B
15.3B
16.3B
17.2B
17.9B
18.4B
Growth
16.0%
14.5%
13.0%
11.5%
10.0%
8.5%
7.0%
5.5%
4.0%
2.5%
Cash margin
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
Free cash flow
826.2M
946.0M
1.1B
1.2B
1.3B
1.4B
1.5B
1.6B
1.7B
1.7B
Worth today
771.4M
824.7M
870.1M
905.8M
930.3M
942.5M
941.6M
927.5M
900.6M
861.9M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.1%
137
153
174
201
238
6.6%
122
135
150
170
197
7.1%
110
120
132
147
167
7.6%
99
108
118
130
145
8.1%
90
97
106
115
127
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
7.4%
90
98
108
118
128
8.4%
100
110
120
131
143
9.3%
110
121
132
144
157
10.2%
121
132
144
158
172
11.2%
131
143
157
171
186
All the inputs moving at once
4,996 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$84.74
Median$131.47
90th percentile$216.86
$100.00$200.00$300.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$104.77</b> and <b>$169.38</b>; one in ten below $84.74, one in ten above $216.86.
Does the long run make sense?
17.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 17.4 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
68%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$95,1111 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.