CALY · Consumer discretionary(sporting & athletic goods, nec) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Callaway Golf Co reported revenue of $2.1 billion in fiscal 2025. Of the $1.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 64.5% went back into the business and 29.8% to acquisitions. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 1.54 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20252.1B
Operating margin6.2%gross margin 42.1%
Return on invested capital1.6%3.2% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay278.4M13.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.9×net debt 512.8M
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
2-for-1 before fiscal 2021.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2.0B02.0B4.0B
2018
2018
2018Revenue 1.2BOperating income 128.4M
2019Revenue 1.7BOperating income 132.7M
2020Revenue 1.6BOperating income -105.5M
2021Revenue 3.1BOperating income 204.7M
2022Revenue 4.0BOperating income 256.8M
2023Revenue 2.1BOperating income 194.1M
2024Revenue 2.1BOperating income 152.9M
2025Revenue 2.1BOperating income 128.1M
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-19.8%
+5.3%
—
Operating income
-20.7%
—
—
Free cash flow per share
—
+10.2%
—
Shares
-2.7%
-0.3%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.4%
-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%
2018
2018
2018Return on invested capital 14.0%
2019Return on invested capital 9.0%
2020Return on invested capital -7.9%
2021Return on invested capital 4.0%
2022Return on invested capital 4.4%
2023Return on invested capital 2.8%
2024Return on invested capital 3.3%
2025Return on invested capital 1.6%
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-300.0M-200.0M-100.0M0100.0M
2018
2018
2018Economic profit 48.6M
2019Economic profit 19.6M
2020Economic profit -205.3M
2021Economic profit -161.2M
2022Economic profit -154.9M
2023Economic profit -251.6M
2024Economic profit -155.9M
2025Economic profit -201.3M
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
-19.8%
Return on assets
-5.6%
Asset turnover
0.28×
Research & development
3.2% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
32.7% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0500.0M
2018
2018
2018Net income 104.7MFree cash flow 55.5MAfter stock-based pay 41.9M
2019Net income 79.4MFree cash flow 31.8MAfter stock-based pay 19.0M
2020Net income -126.9MFree cash flow 189.0MAfter stock-based pay 178.1M
2021Net income 322.0MFree cash flow -44.0MAfter stock-based pay -82.7M
2022Net income 157.9MFree cash flow -567.4MAfter stock-based pay -614.4M
2023Net income 95.0MFree cash flow 314.7MAfter stock-based pay 281.4M
2024Net income -1.4BFree cash flow 333.3MAfter stock-based pay 305.7M
2025Net income -409.3MFree cash flow 302.2MAfter stock-based pay 278.4M
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2025
1.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 64%1.1B
Acquisitions 30%516.1M
Dividends 1%9.5M
Share buybacks 14%237.8M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -9%-148.3M
Over the same years it paid 207.7M in stock. 30.1M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-7.50$-5.00$-2.50$0.00$2.50
2018
2018
2018Earnings per share $0.54Free cash flow per share $0.29Dividend per share $0.02
2019Earnings per share $0.41Free cash flow per share $0.17Dividend per share $0.02
2020Earnings per share $-0.67Free cash flow per share $1.00Dividend per share $0.01
2021Earnings per share $1.82Free cash flow per share $-0.25Dividend per share $0.00
2022Earnings per share $0.78Free cash flow per share $-2.82Dividend per share $0.00
2023Earnings per share $0.47Free cash flow per share $1.56
2024Earnings per share $-7.26Free cash flow per share $1.67
2025Earnings per share $-2.20Free cash flow per share $1.63
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
170.0M180.0M190.0M200.0M210.0M
2018
2018
2018Diluted shares 194.3M
2019Diluted shares 192.6M
2020Diluted shares 188.4M
2021Diluted shares 176.9M
2022Diluted shares 201.3M
2023Diluted shares 201.1M
2024Diluted shares 199.3M
2025Diluted shares 185.7M
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2018
2018
2018Net debt -54.4M
2019Net debt 343.9M
2020Net debt 299.1M
2021Net debt 682.2M
2022Net debt 1.2B
2023Net debt 1.1B
2024Net debt 983.9M
2025Net debt 512.8M
2018201820182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.9×
Interest coverage
2× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.36 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
180 days collects in 22d, stock 191d, pays in 34d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.54grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.22 × 6.56+1.41
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.12 × 3.26-0.41
Operating income ÷ assets 0.02 × 6.72+0.12
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.40 × 1.05+0.42
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-3.82below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.91+0.83
Gross margin slipping 1.01+0.54
Soft assets 0.21+0.09
Sales growth 0.99+0.88
Slower depreciation 0.90+0.10
Overheads vs sales 1.01-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.10-0.48
Leverage rising 2.35-0.77
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (32M) is well below depreciation (46M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$21.81discounted at 7.4% a year · 64% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
—
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
26.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.2×
Free cash flow yield
6.9%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today1.7B
Everything after, today2.9B
The whole business4.6B
Minus net debt-512.8M
What belongs to shareholders4.0B
Divided among 185.7M shares: <strong>$21.81</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-750.0M-500.0M-250.0M0250.0M500.0M
2018
2018
2018Reported 41.9M
2019Reported 19.0M
2020Reported 178.1M
2021Reported -82.7M
2022Reported -614.4M
2023Reported 281.4M
2024Reported 305.7M
2025Reported 278.4M
2026Projected 202.4M
2027Projected 212.8M
2028Projected 223.1M
2029Projected 233.2M
2030Projected 242.9M
2031Projected 252.2M
2032Projected 261.0M
2033Projected 269.3M
2034Projected 276.9M
2035Projected 283.8M
2018201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
2.2B
2.3B
2.4B
2.5B
2.6B
2.7B
2.8B
2.9B
3.0B
3.0B
Growth
5.5%
5.2%
4.8%
4.5%
4.2%
3.8%
3.5%
3.2%
2.8%
2.5%
Cash margin
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
9.3%
Free cash flow
202.4M
212.8M
223.1M
233.2M
242.9M
252.2M
261.0M
269.3M
276.9M
283.8M
Worth today
188.4M
184.5M
180.1M
175.2M
169.9M
164.3M
158.3M
152.1M
145.6M
139.0M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.4%
23
25
28
32
38
6.9%
20
22
25
28
32
7.4%
18
20
22
24
27
7.9%
17
18
20
21
24
8.4%
15
16
18
19
21
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
1.5%
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
7.4%
15
16
18
20
21
8.4%
16
18
20
22
24
9.3%
18
20
22
24
26
10.2%
20
22
24
26
29
11.2%
21
23
26
28
31
All the inputs moving at once
4,998 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$13.96
Median$21.75
90th percentile$35.16
$20.00$40.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$17.33</b> and <b>$27.83</b>; one in ten below $13.96, one in ten above $35.16.
Does the long run make sense?
23.0×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 23.0 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
64%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$1.3M8 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.