BRO · Financials(insurance agents, brokers & service) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Brown & Brown, Inc. reported revenue of $5.9 billion in fiscal 2025. Of the $7.3 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 187.3% went to acquisitions and 13.5% to dividends. On the accounting screens, it passes 3 of 8 Piotroski tests and its Altman Z'' of 1.96 is in the grey zone; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20255.9B
Operating margin28.3%gross margin —
Return on invested capital6.4%9.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.3B21.8% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA3.8×net debt 6.5B
Piotroski F-score3/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02B4B6B
2018
2018Revenue 2.0BOperating income 503.0M
2019
2019Revenue 2.4BOperating income 589.6M
2020Revenue 2.6BOperating income 683.1M
2021Revenue 3.1BOperating income 827.8M
2022Revenue 3.6BOperating income 1.0B
2023Revenue 4.3BOperating income 1.3B
2024Revenue 4.8BOperating income 1.5B
2025Revenue 5.9BOperating income 1.7B
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+18.2%
+17.7%
—
Operating income
+17.9%
+19.5%
—
Net income
+16.2%
+17.0%
—
Earnings per share
+11.8%
+14.1%
—
Free cash flow per share
+14.1%
+13.6%
—
Dividend per share
+12.8%
+11.1%
—
Shares
+3.9%
+2.6%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow
0%10%20%30%40%
2018
2018Operating 25.0%Net 17.1%Free cash flow 26.1%
2019
2019Operating 24.6%Net 16.7%Free cash flow 25.3%
2020Operating 26.1%Net 18.4%Free cash flow 24.6%
2021Operating 27.1%Net 19.2%Free cash flow 25.0%
2022Operating 28.5%Net 18.8%Free cash flow 23.2%
2023Operating 31.4%Net 20.5%Free cash flow 22.1%
2024Operating 31.1%Net 20.7%Free cash flow 22.7%
2025Operating 28.3%Net 17.9%Free cash flow 23.4%
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Return on invested capital
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.9%
0%5%10%15%
2018
2018Return on invested capital 8.3%
2019
2019Return on invested capital 9.1%
2020Return on invested capital 9.0%
2021Return on invested capital 10.2%
2022Return on invested capital 9.1%
2023Return on invested capital 10.8%
2024Return on invested capital 11.2%
2025Return on invested capital 6.4%
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-400M-200M0200M400M
2018
2018Economic profit 17.6M
2019
2019Economic profit 58.4M
2020Economic profit 62.8M
2021Economic profit 144.8M
2022Economic profit 103.6M
2023Economic profit 273.3M
2024Economic profit 338.1M
2025Economic profit -299.8M
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
8.4%
Return on assets
3.5%
Asset turnover
0.20×
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
00.5B1.0B1.5B
2018
2018Net income 344.3MFree cash flow 526.0MAfter stock-based pay 492.5M
2019
2019Net income 398.5MFree cash flow 605.1MAfter stock-based pay 558.1M
2020Net income 480.5MFree cash flow 642.3MAfter stock-based pay 582.6M
2021Net income 587.1MFree cash flow 763.8MAfter stock-based pay 702.8M
2022Net income 672.0MFree cash flow 829.0MAfter stock-based pay 763.0M
2023Net income 871.0MFree cash flow 941.0MAfter stock-based pay 852.0M
2024Net income 993.0MFree cash flow 1.1BAfter stock-based pay 991.0M
2025Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 1.4BAfter stock-based pay 1.3B
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2025
7.3B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 7%501.3M
Acquisitions 187%13.6B
Dividends 14%985.8M
Share buybacks 6%461.6M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -114%-8.3B
Over the same years it paid 550.2M in stock. The buybacks did not even cover what was handed out in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$1,000$2,000$3,000
2018
2018Earnings per share $1.25Free cash flow per share $1.91Dividend per share $0.31
2019
2019Earnings per share $1,451.17Free cash flow per share $2,203.34Dividend per share $332.62
2020Earnings per share $1.74Free cash flow per share $2.33Dividend per share $0.36
2021Earnings per share $2.12Free cash flow per share $2.75Dividend per share $0.39
2022Earnings per share $2.41Free cash flow per share $2.97Dividend per share $0.43
2023Earnings per share $3.10Free cash flow per share $3.35Dividend per share $0.48
2024Earnings per share $3.50Free cash flow per share $3.85Dividend per share $0.54
2025Earnings per share $3.37Free cash flow per share $4.42Dividend per share $0.62
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
0100M200M300M400M
2018
2018Diluted shares 275.5M
2019
2019Diluted shares 274,616
2020Diluted shares 275.8M
2021Diluted shares 277.4M
2022Diluted shares 279.0M
2023Diluted shares 281.0M
2024Diluted shares 284.0M
2025Diluted shares 313.0M
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02B4B6B8B
2018
2018Net debt 1.1B
2019
2019Net debt 1.0B
2020Net debt 1.4B
2021Net debt 1.3B
2022Net debt 3.3B
2023Net debt 3.1B
2024Net debt 3.1B
2025Net debt 6.5B
2018201820192019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.8×
Interest coverage
6× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.04 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
3of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.96grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.01 × 6.56+0.07
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.23 × 3.26+0.76
Operating income ÷ assets 0.06 × 6.72+0.37
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.72 × 1.05+0.76
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Net debt is 3.8 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$116.86discounted at 7.9% a year · 64% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
34.7×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
25.0×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
7.3×
Free cash flow yield
3.5%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today15.3B
Everything after, today27.8B
The whole business43.1B
Minus net debt-6.5B
What belongs to shareholders36.6B
Divided among 313.0M shares: <strong>$116.86</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
01B2B3B4B
2018
2018Reported 492.5M
2019
2019Reported 558.1M
2020Reported 582.6M
2021Reported 702.8M
2022Reported 763.0M
2023Reported 852.0M
2024Reported 991.0M
2025Reported 1.3B
2026Projected 1.4B
2027Projected 1.7B
2028Projected 1.9B
2029Projected 2.1B
2030Projected 2.4B
2031Projected 2.6B
2032Projected 2.8B
2033Projected 2.9B
2034Projected 3.1B
2035Projected 3.1B
2018201920202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.9B
8.0B
9.2B
10.3B
11.4B
12.5B
13.4B
14.2B
14.8B
15.2B
Growth
17.5%
15.8%
14.2%
12.5%
10.8%
9.2%
7.5%
5.8%
4.2%
2.5%
Cash margin
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
20.7%
Free cash flow
1.4B
1.7B
1.9B
2.1B
2.4B
2.6B
2.8B
2.9B
3.1B
3.1B
Worth today
1.3B
1.4B
1.5B
1.6B
1.6B
1.6B
1.6B
1.6B
1.5B
1.5B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.9%
122
134
150
170
195
7.4%
109
119
132
147
166
7.9%
98
107
117
129
144
8.4%
89
96
104
114
126
8.9%
81
87
94
102
112
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
13.5%
15.5%
17.5%
19.5%
21.5%
16.6%
77
85
94
103
113
18.6%
86
96
105
116
127
20.7%
96
106
117
128
141
22.8%
106
117
128
141
154
24.9%
116
127
140
154
168
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 3.1%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$78.62
Median$116.83
90th percentile$181.79
$100.00$200.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$94.82</b> and <b>$146.14</b>; one in ten below $78.62, one in ten above $181.79.
Does the long run make sense?
13.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 13.4 times that year's EBITDA.
43%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 6% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 43% on the new capital — it has earned 10% on average over the last five years.
64%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$49,9231 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.