BRKR · Technology(laboratory analytical instruments) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Bruker Corp reported revenue of $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025. Of the $2.1 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 119.8% went to acquisitions and 40.6% to buybacks. On the accounting screens, it passes 4 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.98 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20253.4B
Operating margin2.0%gross margin 45.9%
Return on invested capital-0.5%8.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay23.1M0.7% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA5.4×net debt 1.6B
Piotroski F-score4/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01.0B2.0B3.0B4.0B
2018
2018Revenue 1.9BOperating income 262.4M
2019Revenue 2.1BOperating income 300.9M
2020
2020Revenue 2.0BOperating income 248.3M
2021Revenue 2.4BOperating income 413.3M
2022Revenue 2.5BOperating income 432.7M
2023Revenue 3.0BOperating income 436.9M
2024Revenue 3.4BOperating income 253.1M
2025Revenue 3.4BOperating income 68.2M
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+10.7%
+11.6%
—
Operating income
-46.0%
-22.8%
—
Free cash flow per share
-99.3%
-95.5%
—
Dividend per share
-99.1%
-93.8%
—
Shares
+9953.3%
+1479.1%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.2%
-5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2018
2018Return on invested capital 15.9%
2019Return on invested capital 12.4%
2020
2020Return on invested capital 9.8%
2021Return on invested capital 12.9%
2022Return on invested capital 13.4%
2023Return on invested capital 13.5%
2024Return on invested capital 3.7%
2025Return on invested capital -0.5%
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-400.0M-200.0M0200.0M
2018
2018Economic profit 105.8M
2019Economic profit 87.9M
2020
2020Economic profit 46.9M
2021Economic profit 128.6M
2022Economic profit 143.4M
2023Economic profit 158.6M
2024Economic profit -137.0M
2025Economic profit -334.7M
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
-0.4%
Return on assets
-0.1%
Asset turnover
0.55×
Research & development
11.5% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
27.5% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2018
2018Net income 179.7MFree cash flow 190.5MAfter stock-based pay 179.2M
2019Net income 197.2MFree cash flow 140.4MAfter stock-based pay 130.8M
2020
2020Net income 157.8MFree cash flow 235.0MAfter stock-based pay 219.0M
2021Net income 277.1MFree cash flow 190.4MAfter stock-based pay 173.2M
2022Net income 296.6MFree cash flow 145.2MAfter stock-based pay 117.5M
2023Net income 427.2MFree cash flow 243.2MAfter stock-based pay 212.3M
2024Net income 113.1MFree cash flow 136.0MAfter stock-based pay 110.7M
2025Net income -8.6MFree cash flow 43.3MAfter stock-based pay 23.1M
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2025
2.1B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 37%765.9M
Acquisitions 120%2.5B
Dividends 10%217.4M
Share buybacks 41%844.2M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -108%-2.2B
Over the same years it paid 158.2M in stock. 686.0M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
2018Earnings per share $1.14Free cash flow per share $1.21Dividend per share $0.16
2019Earnings per share $1,259,259.26Free cash flow per share $896,551.72Dividend per share $159,642.40
2020
2020Earnings per share $1,020,698.58Free cash flow per share $1,520,051.75Dividend per share $159,120.31
2021Earnings per share $1,812,295.62Free cash flow per share $1,245,258.34Dividend per share $158,273.38
2022Earnings per share $1,985,274.43Free cash flow per share $971,887.55Dividend per share $199,464.52
2023Earnings per share $2.90Free cash flow per share $1.65Dividend per share $0.20
2024Earnings per share $0.76Free cash flow per share $0.91Dividend per share $0.20
2025Earnings per share $-0.06Free cash flow per share $0.29Dividend per share $0.15
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
050.0M100.0M150.0M200.0M
2018
2018Diluted shares 157.2M
2019Diluted shares 157
2020
2020Diluted shares 155
2021Diluted shares 153
2022Diluted shares 149
2023Diluted shares 147.2M
2024Diluted shares 149.5M
2025Diluted shares 151.8M
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2018
2018Net debt 200,000
2019Net debt 134.5M
2020
2020Net debt 160.5M
2021Net debt 153.6M
2022Net debt 555.0M
2023Net debt 672.0M
2024Net debt 1.9B
2025Net debt 1.6B
2018201820192020202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
5.4×
Interest coverage
1× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.73 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
230 days collects in 58d, stock 215d, pays in 42d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
4of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.98safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.15 × 6.56+0.98
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.38 × 3.26+1.23
Operating income ÷ assets 0.01 × 6.72+0.07
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.66 × 1.05+0.69
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.56below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.94+0.87
Gross margin slipping 1.07+0.56
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.02+0.91
Slower depreciation 0.94+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.04-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.02-0.11
Leverage rising 0.87-0.28
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (91M) is well below depreciation (220M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
Net debt is 5.4 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$8.98discounted at 7.2% a year · 66% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
—
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
10.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.8×
Free cash flow yield
1.7%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today980.2M
Everything after, today1.9B
The whole business2.9B
Minus net debt-1.6B
What belongs to shareholders1.4B
Divided among 151.8M shares: <strong>$8.98</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0100.0M200.0M300.0M
2018
2018Reported 179.2M
2019Reported 130.8M
2020
2020Reported 219.0M
2021Reported 173.2M
2022Reported 117.5M
2023Reported 212.3M
2024Reported 110.7M
2025Reported 23.1M
2026Projected 102.6M
2027Projected 113.3M
2028Projected 124.1M
2029Projected 134.7M
2030Projected 144.8M
2031Projected 154.2M
2032Projected 162.6M
2033Projected 170.0M
2034Projected 175.9M
2035Projected 180.3M
2018201920202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
3.8B
4.2B
4.6B
5.0B
5.4B
5.8B
6.1B
6.3B
6.6B
6.7B
Growth
11.5%
10.5%
9.5%
8.5%
7.5%
6.5%
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
2.5%
Cash margin
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
2.7%
Free cash flow
102.6M
113.3M
124.1M
134.7M
144.8M
154.2M
162.6M
170.0M
175.9M
180.3M
Worth today
95.6M
98.6M
100.6M
101.8M
102.0M
101.3M
99.7M
97.1M
93.8M
89.6M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.2%
10
12
14
18
22
6.7%
8
9
11
14
17
7.2%
6
7
9
11
13
7.7%
5
6
7
9
11
8.2%
4
4
6
7
8
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
15.5%
2.1%
3
4
6
7
9
2.4%
5
6
7
9
11
2.7%
6
7
9
11
12
2.9%
7
9
11
12
14
3.2%
9
10
12
14
16
All the inputs moving at once
4,997 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$-6.36
Median$9.01
90th percentile$29.47
$0.00$20.00$40.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$0.57</b> and <b>$18.34</b>; one in ten below $-6.36, one in ten above $29.47.
Does the long run make sense?
6.9×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 6.9 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
66%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$303,3542 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.