BLK · Financials(security brokers, dealers & flotation companies) · 5 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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BlackRock, Inc. reported revenue of $24.2 billion in fiscal 2025. Of the $18.0 billion its operations generated over 5 years, 50.7% went to dividends and 36.8% to acquisitions. On the accounting screens, it passes 3 of 7 Piotroski tests; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 202524.2B
Operating margin29.1%gross margin —
Return on invested capital8.0%9.5% on average over 3 years
Free cash flow after stock pay2.2B9.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.2×net debt 1.3B
Piotroski F-score3/7tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
010B20B30B
2021
2022Revenue 17.9BOperating income 6.4B
2023Revenue 17.9BOperating income 6.3B
2024Revenue 20.4BOperating income 7.6B
2025Revenue 24.2BOperating income 7.0B
20212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
4 yrs
Revenue
+10.7%
—
Operating income
+3.3%
—
Net income
+2.4%
—
Earnings per share
+0.5%
—
Free cash flow per share
-8.7%
—
Shares
+1.8%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow
0%10%20%30%40%
2021
2022Operating 35.7%Net 29.0%Free cash flow 24.7%
2023Operating 35.1%Net 30.8%Free cash flow 21.4%
2024Operating 37.1%Net 31.2%Free cash flow 23.0%
2025Operating 29.1%Net 22.9%Free cash flow 14.7%
20212022202320242025
Return on invested capital
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.1%
0%5%10%15%
2021
2022
2023Return on invested capital 10.5%
2024Return on invested capital 9.9%
2025Return on invested capital 8.0%
20212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-1.0B-0.5B00.5B1.0B
2021
2022
2023Economic profit 678.8M
2024Economic profit 506.0M
2025Economic profit -750.4M
20212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
9.9%
Return on assets
3.3%
Asset turnover
0.14×
Overheads (SG&A)
11.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
02B4B6B8B
2021
2022Net income 5.2BFree cash flow 4.4BAfter stock-based pay 3.7B
2023Net income 5.5BFree cash flow 3.8BAfter stock-based pay 3.2B
2024Net income 6.4BFree cash flow 4.7BAfter stock-based pay 3.9B
2025Net income 5.6BFree cash flow 3.6BAfter stock-based pay 2.2B
20212022202320242025
Where 5 years of operating cash went, 2021–2025
18.0B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 8%1.5B
Acquisitions 37%6.6B
Dividends 51%9.1B
Share buybacks 34%6.1B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -30%-5.4B
Over the same years it paid 3.4B in stock. 2.7B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$20$40$60
2021
2022Earnings per share $33.97Free cash flow per share $29.01Dividend per share $19.61
2023Earnings per share $36.51Free cash flow per share $25.35Dividend per share $20.14
2024Earnings per share $42.01Free cash flow per share $31.01Dividend per share $20.45
2025Earnings per share $34.52Free cash flow per share $22.08
20212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
150M155M160M165M
2021
2022Diluted shares 152.4M
2023Diluted shares 150.7M
2024Diluted shares 151.6M
2025Diluted shares 160.9M
20212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-1B01B2B
2021
2022
2023Net debt -818.0M
2024Net debt -448.0M
2025Net debt 1.3B
20212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.2×
Interest coverage
11× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
— current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
3of 7 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
–More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
The accounts lack a line it needs (retained earnings, current assets or liabilities).
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Reported profit comfortably exceeds the cash generated (5,553M against 3,927M).
Benign
Growth consuming working capital, or the seasonality of the year-end.
Worrying
Profit held up by accounting entries that do not turn into money.
Capital spending (375M) is well below depreciation (1,126M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$763.42discounted at 9.1% a year · 56% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
22.1×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
15.2×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
5.1×
Free cash flow yield
1.8%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today54.1B
Everything after, today70.0B
The whole business124.1B
Minus net debt-1.3B
What belongs to shareholders122.8B
Divided among 160.9M shares: <strong>$763.42</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
05B10B15B
2021
2022Reported 3.7B
2023Reported 3.2B
2024Reported 3.9B
2025Reported 2.2B
2026Projected 6.4B
2027Projected 7.0B
2028Projected 7.6B
2029Projected 8.2B
2030Projected 8.7B
2031Projected 9.3B
2032Projected 9.7B
2033Projected 10.2B
2034Projected 10.5B
2035Projected 10.8B
20212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
26.8B
29.3B
31.9B
34.4B
36.8B
39.0B
41.0B
42.8B
44.2B
45.3B
Growth
10.5%
9.6%
8.7%
7.8%
6.9%
6.1%
5.2%
4.3%
3.4%
2.5%
Cash margin
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
23.7%
Free cash flow
6.4B
7.0B
7.6B
8.2B
8.7B
9.3B
9.7B
10.2B
10.5B
10.8B
Worth today
5.8B
5.9B
5.8B
5.8B
5.7B
5.5B
5.3B
5.1B
4.8B
4.5B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.1%
789
843
907
983
1,075
8.6%
730
776
829
891
966
9.1%
680
719
763
816
877
9.6%
634
668
706
750
801
10.1%
595
624
657
695
738
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
12.5%
14.5%
19.0%
545
591
641
694
752
21.4%
596
647
702
761
825
23.7%
647
703
763
828
898
26.1%
699
759
825
895
971
28.5%
750
815
886
962
1,044
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 3.6%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$570.07
Median$764.10
90th percentile$1,061.21
$500.00$1,000.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$652.00</b> and <b>$902.28</b>; one in ten below $570.07, one in ten above $1,061.21.
Does the long run make sense?
10.9×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 10.9 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
56%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$22.0M3 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.