BAH · Industrials(services-management consulting services) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-03-31
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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp reported revenue of $11.2 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 7.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin held steady at about 9.2% from 2017, and it earned 20.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $6.2 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 57.1% went to buybacks and 30.5% to dividends; the share count fell 18.6%. On the accounting screens, it passes 4 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 4.03 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 202611.2B+7.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin9.2%gross margin 52.7%
Return on invested capital20.2%16.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay882.0M7.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.7×net debt 3.2B
Piotroski F-score4/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
05B10B15B
2017Revenue 5.8BOperating income 506.0M
2018Revenue 6.2BOperating income 519.7M
2019Revenue 6.7BOperating income 602.4M
2020Revenue 7.5BOperating income 669.2M
2021Revenue 7.9BOperating income 754.4M
2022Revenue 8.4BOperating income 685.2M
2023Revenue 9.3BOperating income 447.0M
2024Revenue 10.7BOperating income 1.0B
2025Revenue 12.0BOperating income 1.4B
2026Revenue 11.2BOperating income 1.0B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+6.6%
+7.4%
+7.6%
Operating income
+32.2%
+6.5%
+8.3%
Net income
+46.3%
+6.9%
+14.0%
Earnings per share
+50.3%
+9.6%
+16.7%
Free cash flow per share
+25.1%
+11.3%
+15.1%
Dividend per share
+8.2%
+11.6%
+15.5%
Shares
-2.7%
-2.5%
-2.3%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 6.4%
0%10%20%30%
2017Return on invested capital 13.8%
2018Return on invested capital 15.3%
2019Return on invested capital 20.1%
2020Return on invested capital 18.3%
2021Return on invested capital 20.2%
2022Return on invested capital 13.8%
2023Return on invested capital 8.7%
2024Return on invested capital 16.1%
2025Return on invested capital 21.0%
2026Return on invested capital 20.2%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200M400M600M800M
2017Economic profit 166.4M
2018Economic profit 212.4M
2019Economic profit 333.5M
2020Economic profit 362.9M
2021Economic profit 474.4M
2022Economic profit 283.4M
2023Economic profit 86.0M
2024Economic profit 434.5M
2025Economic profit 731.2M
2026Economic profit 697.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
77.0%
Return on assets
12.0%
Asset turnover
1.58×
Overheads (SG&A)
11.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
00.25B0.50B0.75B1.00B
2017Net income 260.8MFree cash flow 328.4MAfter stock-based pay 307.1M
2018Net income 301.7MFree cash flow 290.7MAfter stock-based pay 267.4M
2019Net income 418.5MFree cash flow 404.9MAfter stock-based pay 373.7M
2020Net income 482.6MFree cash flow 423.3MAfter stock-based pay 380.1M
2021Net income 609.0MFree cash flow 631.5MAfter stock-based pay 571.6M
2022Net income 466.7MFree cash flow 656.6MAfter stock-based pay 586.8M
2023Net income 272.0MFree cash flow 527.0MAfter stock-based pay 447.0M
2024Net income 606.0MFree cash flow 192.0MAfter stock-based pay 97.0M
2025Net income 935.0MFree cash flow 911.0MAfter stock-based pay 817.0M
2026Net income 851.0MFree cash flow 951.0MAfter stock-based pay 882.0M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
6.2B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 14%853.3M
Acquisitions 26%1.6B
Dividends 30%1.9B
Share buybacks 57%3.5B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -27%-1.7B
Over the same years it paid 586.8M in stock. The share count fell 18.6%. 2.9B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$2$4$6$8
2017Earnings per share $1.74Free cash flow per share $2.19Dividend per share $0.62
2018Earnings per share $2.04Free cash flow per share $1.97Dividend per share $0.70
2019Earnings per share $2.92Free cash flow per share $2.83Dividend per share $0.80
2020Earnings per share $3.42Free cash flow per share $3.00Dividend per share $1.04
2021Earnings per share $4.39Free cash flow per share $4.55Dividend per share $1.31
2022Earnings per share $3.46Free cash flow per share $4.87Dividend per share $1.55
2023Earnings per share $2.05Free cash flow per share $3.97Dividend per share $1.78
2024Earnings per share $4.63Free cash flow per share $1.47Dividend per share $1.94
2025Earnings per share $7.29Free cash flow per share $7.10Dividend per share $2.09
2026Earnings per share $6.95Free cash flow per share $7.77Dividend per share $2.26
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
120M130M140M150M160M
2017Diluted shares 150.3M
2018Diluted shares 147.8M
2019Diluted shares 143.2M
2020Diluted shares 141.2M
2021Diluted shares 138.7M
2022Diluted shares 134.9M
2023Diluted shares 132.7M
2024Diluted shares 130.8M
2025Diluted shares 128.3M
2026Diluted shares 122.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
01B2B3B4B
2017Net debt 1.4B
2018Net debt 1.5B
2019Net debt 1.5B
2020Net debt 1.4B
2021Net debt 1.4B
2022Net debt 2.1B
2023Net debt 2.4B
2024Net debt 2.9B
2025Net debt 3.1B
2026Net debt 3.2B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.7×
Interest coverage
5× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.78 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 67d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
4of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
4.03safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.18 × 6.56+1.20
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.51 × 3.26+1.67
Operating income ÷ assets 0.15 × 6.72+0.98
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.18 × 1.05+0.19
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.65below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.97+0.89
Gross margin slipping 1.04+0.55
Soft assets 1.07+0.43
Sales growth 0.94+0.84
Slower depreciation 0.99+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.09-0.19
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.12
Leverage rising 1.00-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (90M) is well below depreciation (163M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
The effective tax rate is 1.3%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$193.96discounted at 6.4% a year · 70% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
27.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
22.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.4×
Free cash flow yield
3.7%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today8.0B
Everything after, today19.0B
The whole business26.9B
Minus net debt-3.2B
What belongs to shareholders23.7B
Divided among 122.4M shares: <strong>$193.96</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
00.5B1.0B1.5B
2017Reported 307.1M
2018Reported 267.4M
2019Reported 373.7M
2020Reported 380.1M
2021Reported 571.6M
2022Reported 586.8M
2023Reported 447.0M
2024Reported 97.0M
2025Reported 817.0M
2026Reported 882.0M
2027Projected 883.6M
2028Projected 944.9M
2029Projected 1.0B
2030Projected 1.1B
2031Projected 1.1B
2032Projected 1.2B
2033Projected 1.2B
2034Projected 1.3B
2035Projected 1.3B
2036Projected 1.3B
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
12.1B
12.9B
13.7B
14.5B
15.3B
16.0B
16.7B
17.3B
17.8B
18.3B
Growth
7.5%
6.9%
6.4%
5.8%
5.3%
4.7%
4.2%
3.6%
3.1%
2.5%
Cash margin
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
7.3%
Free cash flow
883.6M
944.9M
1.0B
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.3B
Worth today
830.5M
834.8M
834.8M
830.4M
821.7M
808.8M
791.9M
771.2M
747.0M
719.7M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
5.4%
202
232
272
328
415
5.9%
175
198
227
266
322
6.4%
154
172
194
223
261
6.9%
137
151
168
190
218
7.4%
123
134
148
165
186
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
5.9%
127
141
156
172
190
6.6%
143
158
175
193
212
7.3%
159
176
194
214
235
8.1%
174
193
213
235
258
8.8%
190
210
232
255
281
All the inputs moving at once
4,968 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$108.40
Median$192.05
90th percentile$352.90
$200.00$400.00$600.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$144.20</b> and <b>$263.02</b>; one in ten below $108.40, one in ten above $352.90.
Does the long run make sense?
18.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 18.1 times that year's EBITDA.
13%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 19% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 13% on the new capital — it has earned 16% on average over the last five years.
70%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$36,5441 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.