VISN · Technology(radio & tv broadcasting & communications equipment) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Vistance Networks, Inc. reported revenue of $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025, after shrinking 15.0% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from -6.1% in 2019 to 2.5%, and it earned -3.0% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $2.2 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 227.8% went to acquisitions and 27.4% back into the business; the share count rose 18.7%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 1.87 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is above the -1.78 line; 3 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20251.9B-15.0% a year over 9 years
Operating margin2.5%gross margin 49.5%
Return on invested capital-3.0%-4.6% on average over 2 years
Free cash flow after stock pay209.9M10.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA20.0×net debt 6.5B
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2.5B02.5B5.0B7.5B10.0B
2019Revenue 8.3BOperating income -508.5M
2020Revenue 8.4BOperating income -51.8M
2021Revenue 6.7BOperating income 196.6M
2022Revenue 5.8BOperating income -935.3M
2023Revenue 1.9BOperating income -659.6M
2024
2024
2024
2024Revenue 1.4BOperating income -291.7M
2025Revenue 1.9BOperating income 47.6M
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
—
+0.7%
-15.0%
Free cash flow per share
—
-0.4%
-8.9%
Shares
—
+1.7%
+1.9%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 4.3%
-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%-0.0%5.0%
2019Return on invested capital -5.4%
2020Return on invested capital -0.6%
2021Return on invested capital 2.3%
2022Return on invested capital -12.5%
2023Return on invested capital -12.0%
2024
2024
2024
2024Return on invested capital -6.3%
2025Return on invested capital -3.0%
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0
2019Economic profit -1.0B
2020Economic profit -486.4M
2021Economic profit -189.1M
2022Economic profit -1.3B
2023Economic profit -1.0B
2024
2024
2024
2024Economic profit -613.9M
2025Economic profit -457.2M
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
—
Return on assets
24.4%
Asset turnover
0.21×
Research & development
14.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
25.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-2.0B-1.0B01.0B2.0B3.0B
2019Net income -929.5MFree cash flow 492.3MAfter stock-based pay 401.5M
2020Net income -573.4MFree cash flow 315.0MAfter stock-based pay 200.0M
2021Net income -462.6MFree cash flow -9.1MAfter stock-based pay -88.7M
2022Net income -1.3BFree cash flow 88.7MAfter stock-based pay 27.6M
2023Net income -1.5BFree cash flow 236.6MAfter stock-based pay 189.3M
2024
2024
2024
2024Net income -315.5MFree cash flow 247.8MAfter stock-based pay 218.7M
2025Net income 2.3BFree cash flow 252.6MAfter stock-based pay 209.9M
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2019–2025
2.2B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 27%614.3M
Acquisitions 228%5.1B
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 0%0
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -155%-3.5B
Over the same years it paid 465.6M in stock. The share count rose 18.7%.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-10.00$-5.00$0.00$5.00$10.00
2019Earnings per share $-4.80Free cash flow per share $2.54
2020Earnings per share $-2.91Free cash flow per share $1.60
2021Earnings per share $-2.27Free cash flow per share $-0.04
2022Earnings per share $-6.20Free cash flow per share $0.43
2023Earnings per share $-7.14Free cash flow per share $1.12
2024
2024
2024
2024Earnings per share $-1.47Free cash flow per share $1.16
2025Earnings per share $9.93Free cash flow per share $1.10
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
190.0M200.0M210.0M220.0M230.0M
2019Diluted shares 193.7M
2020Diluted shares 196.8M
2021Diluted shares 203.6M
2022Diluted shares 207.4M
2023Diluted shares 210.9M
2024
2024
2024
2024Diluted shares 214.4M
2025Diluted shares 230.0M
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02.5B5.0B7.5B10.0B
2019Net debt 9.2B
2020Net debt 9.0B
2021Net debt 9.2B
2022Net debt 9.1B
2023Net debt 8.8B
2024
2024
2024
2024Net debt 8.8B
2025Net debt 6.5B
2019202020212022202320242024202420242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
20.0×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.88 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
103 days collects in 66d, stock 116d, pays in 80d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.87grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.46 × 6.56+3.01
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.32 × 3.26-1.06
Operating income ÷ assets 0.01 × 6.72+0.03
Equity ÷ liabilities -0.11 × 1.05-0.12
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-1.25above the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.99+0.91
Gross margin slipping 0.88+0.47
Soft assets 0.63+0.26
Sales growth 1.40+1.25
Slower depreciation 0.99+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.75-0.13
Profit not in cash 0.21+0.98
Leverage rising 0.78-0.26
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Reported profit comfortably exceeds the cash generated (2,284M against 323M).
Benign
Growth consuming working capital, or the seasonality of the year-end.
Worrying
Profit held up by accounting entries that do not turn into money.
Capital spending (70M) is well below depreciation (277M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
Net debt is 20.0 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
84% of the value comes from after year 10: this valuation rests mostly on the long run, which is exactly what is least known.
Value per share, with these assumptions$-26.18discounted at 4.3% a year · 84% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
-2.6×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
1.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.3×
Free cash flow yield
—
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today79.1M
Everything after, today404.6M
The whole business483.7M
Minus net debt-6.5B
What belongs to shareholders-6.0B
Divided among 230.0M shares: <strong>$-26.18</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2019Reported 401.5M
2020Reported 200.0M
2021Reported -88.7M
2022Reported 27.6M
2023Reported 189.3M
2024
2024
2024
2024Reported 218.7M
2025Reported 209.9M
2026Projected 9.0M
2027Projected 9.2M
2028Projected 9.4M
2029Projected 9.6M
2030Projected 9.8M
2031Projected 10.1M
2032Projected 10.3M
2033Projected 10.5M
2034Projected 10.8M
2035Projected 11.1M
2019202120232024202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
2.0B
2.0B
2.1B
2.1B
2.1B
2.2B
2.2B
2.3B
2.4B
2.4B
Growth
2.0%
2.1%
2.1%
2.2%
2.2%
2.3%
2.3%
2.4%
2.4%
2.5%
Cash margin
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
Free cash flow
9.0M
9.2M
9.4M
9.6M
9.8M
10.1M
10.3M
10.5M
10.8M
11.1M
Worth today
8.7M
8.5M
8.3M
8.1M
8.0M
7.8M
7.7M
7.5M
7.4M
7.2M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
3.3%
-26
-25
-24
-17
—
3.8%
-27
-26
-25
-24
-17
4.3%
-27
-27
-26
-25
-24
4.8%
-27
-27
-27
-26
-26
5.3%
-27
-27
-27
-27
-26
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
0.4%
-27
-27
-27
-26
-26
0.4%
-27
-27
-26
-26
-26
0.5%
-27
-26
-26
-26
-26
0.5%
-26
-26
-26
-26
-26
0.5%
-26
-26
-26
-26
-25
All the inputs moving at once
3,919 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$-36.14
Median$-26.50
90th percentile$-16.03
$-40.00$-20.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$-31.11</b> and <b>$-21.74</b>; one in ten below $-36.14, one in ten above $-16.03.
Does the long run make sense?
1.5×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 1.5 times that year's EBITDA.
4%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 71% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 4% on the new capital — it has earned -5% on average over the last five years.
84%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 3 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$107,5001 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market$1.3M2 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.