VICR · Technology(electronic components, nec) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Vicor Corp reported revenue of $407.7 million in fiscal 2025, after growing 8.2% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from -3.2% in 2016 to 20.1%. Of the $433.5 million its operations generated over 10 years, 62.1% went back into the business and 8.2% to buybacks; the share count rose 17.0%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 16.90 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2025407.7M+8.2% a year over 9 years
Operating margin20.1%gross margin 52.6%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay102.4M25.1% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score6/8tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
4-for-1 before fiscal 2022; 1-for-4 before fiscal 2021.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Revenue 200.3MOperating income -6.3M
2017Revenue 227.8MOperating income -1.4M
2018Revenue 291.2MOperating income 32.1M
2019Revenue 263.0MOperating income 13.8M
2020Revenue 296.6MOperating income 17.4M
2021Revenue 359.4MOperating income 55.6M
2022Revenue 399.1MOperating income 27.2M
2023Revenue 405.1MOperating income 51.4M
2024Revenue 359.1MOperating income -1.3M
2025Revenue 407.7MOperating income 81.8M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+0.7%
+6.6%
+8.2%
Operating income
+44.4%
+36.3%
—
Net income
+67.0%
+45.9%
—
Earnings per share
+66.3%
+44.9%
—
Free cash flow per share
—
+80.0%
—
Shares
+0.4%
+0.7%
+1.8%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
16.7%
Return on assets
15.1%
Asset turnover
0.52×
Research & development
19.3% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
24.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-100.0M-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Net income -6.2MFree cash flow -7.9MAfter stock-based pay -8.4M
2017Net income 167,000Free cash flow -15.0MAfter stock-based pay -16.7M
2018Net income 31.7MFree cash flow 18.0MAfter stock-based pay 14.6M
2019Net income 14.1MFree cash flow 9.7MAfter stock-based pay 6.7M
2020Net income 17.9MFree cash flow 6.1MAfter stock-based pay 206,000
2021Net income 56.6MFree cash flow 6.7MAfter stock-based pay -352,000
2022Net income 25.4MFree cash flow -41.0MAfter stock-based pay -51.3M
2023Net income 53.6MFree cash flow 41.1MAfter stock-based pay 28.2M
2024Net income 6.1MFree cash flow 27.2MAfter stock-based pay 11.9M
2025Net income 118.6MFree cash flow 119.2MAfter stock-based pay 102.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
433.5M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 62%269.4M
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 8%35.7M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 30%128.4M
Over the same years it paid 76.8M in stock. The share count rose 17.0%. The buybacks did not even cover what was handed out in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-1.00$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00
2016Earnings per share $-0.16Free cash flow per share $-0.20
2017Earnings per share $0.00Free cash flow per share $-0.38
2018Earnings per share $0.78Free cash flow per share $0.44
2019Earnings per share $0.34Free cash flow per share $0.23
2020Earnings per share $0.41Free cash flow per share $0.14
2021Earnings per share $1.26Free cash flow per share $0.15
2022Earnings per share $0.57Free cash flow per share $-0.91
2023Earnings per share $1.19Free cash flow per share $0.91
2024Earnings per share $0.14Free cash flow per share $0.60
2025Earnings per share $2.61Free cash flow per share $2.62
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
38.0M40.0M42.0M44.0M46.0M
2016Diluted shares 38.8M
2017Diluted shares 39.9M
2018Diluted shares 40.7M
2019Diluted shares 41.7M
2020Diluted shares 43.9M
2021Diluted shares 45.0M
2022Diluted shares 44.9M
2023Diluted shares 45.0M
2024Diluted shares 45.2M
2025Diluted shares 45.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
7× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
8.99 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
204 days collects in 54d, stock 172d, pays in 23d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
16.90safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.66 × 6.56+4.36
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.54 × 3.26+1.75
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.70
Equity ÷ liabilities 9.61 × 1.05+10.09
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.18below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.01+0.93
Gross margin slipping 0.97+0.51
Soft assets 1.63+0.66
Sales growth 1.14+1.01
Slower depreciation 0.88+0.10
Overheads vs sales 0.90-0.15
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.12
Leverage rising 0.86-0.28
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$5.43discounted at 10.2% a year · 50% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
2.1×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
2.4×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.6×
Free cash flow yield
41.5%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today123.1M
Everything after, today123.7M
The whole business246.8M
Minus net debt-0
What belongs to shareholders246.8M
Divided among 45.5M shares: <strong>$5.43</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-100.0M-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Reported -8.4M
2017Reported -16.7M
2018Reported 14.6M
2019Reported 6.7M
2020Reported 206,000
2021Reported -352,000
2022Reported -51.3M
2023Reported 28.2M
2024Reported 11.9M
2025Reported 102.4M
2026Projected 16.7M
2027Projected 17.7M
2028Projected 18.7M
2029Projected 19.7M
2030Projected 20.6M
2031Projected 21.5M
2032Projected 22.3M
2033Projected 23.1M
2034Projected 23.8M
2035Projected 24.4M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
434.2M
460.5M
486.3M
511.5M
535.6M
558.5M
579.9M
599.6M
617.2M
632.7M
Growth
6.5%
6.1%
5.6%
5.2%
4.7%
4.3%
3.8%
3.4%
2.9%
2.5%
Cash margin
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
3.9%
Free cash flow
16.7M
17.7M
18.7M
19.7M
20.6M
21.5M
22.3M
23.1M
23.8M
24.4M
Worth today
15.2M
14.6M
14.0M
13.4M
12.7M
12.0M
11.3M
10.6M
9.9M
9.3M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
6
6
6
7
7
9.7%
5
6
6
6
7
10.2%
5
5
5
6
6
10.7%
5
5
5
5
6
11.2%
4
5
5
5
5
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
3.1%
4
4
5
5
5
3.5%
4
5
5
5
6
3.9%
5
5
5
6
6
4.2%
5
5
6
6
7
4.6%
5
6
6
7
7
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$2.69
Median$5.44
90th percentile$8.86
$5.00$10.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$3.93</b> and <b>$7.07</b>; one in ten below $2.69, one in ten above $8.86.
Does the long run make sense?
2.0×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 2.0 times that year's EBITDA.
3%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 74% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 3% on the new capital.
50%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 6.67% × (1 − 25.4%) = <strong>4.98%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.17%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 4 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$1.9M15 sale(s) by 3 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans87%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.