TYL · Technology(services-prepackaged software) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Tyler Technologies Inc reported revenue of $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 12.0% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 19.4% in 2017 to 15.3%, and it earned 6.7% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $3.5 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 81.1% went to acquisitions and 10.8% to buybacks; the share count rose 11.6%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.80 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20252.3B+12.0% a year over 9 years
Operating margin15.3%gross margin 46.5%
Return on invested capital6.7%5.7% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay486.3M20.8% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash415.7M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score7/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01B2B3B
2017Revenue 840.9MOperating income 162.8M
2018Revenue 935.3MOperating income 152.5M
2019Revenue 1.1BOperating income 156.4M
2020Revenue 1.1BOperating income 172.9M
2021
2021Revenue 1.6BOperating income 180.7M
2022Revenue 1.9BOperating income 214.2M
2023Revenue 2.0BOperating income 218.5M
2024Revenue 2.1BOperating income 299.5M
2025Revenue 2.3BOperating income 357.7M
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+8.0%
—
+12.0%
Operating income
+18.6%
—
+9.1%
Net income
+24.3%
—
+7.1%
Earnings per share
+23.0%
—
+5.8%
Free cash flow per share
+19.8%
—
+15.8%
Shares
+1.1%
—
+1.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.4%
0.0%2.5%5.0%7.5%10.0%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2021Return on invested capital 4.9%
2022Return on invested capital 5.2%
2023Return on invested capital 5.1%
2024Return on invested capital 6.4%
2025Return on invested capital 6.7%
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-200M-150M-100M-50M0
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2021Economic profit -166.7M
2022Economic profit -152.0M
2023Economic profit -154.1M
2024Economic profit -119.2M
2025Economic profit -115.4M
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
8.5%
Return on assets
5.6%
Asset turnover
0.41×
Overheads (SG&A)
13.6% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0200M400M600M800M
2017Net income 169.6MFree cash flow 152.7MAfter stock-based pay 115.3M
2018Net income 147.5MFree cash flow 222.8MAfter stock-based pay 170.0M
2019Net income 146.5MFree cash flow 217.5MAfter stock-based pay 157.5M
2020Net income 194.8MFree cash flow 332.4MAfter stock-based pay 265.0M
2021
2021Net income 161.5MFree cash flow 337.8MAfter stock-based pay 233.1M
2022Net income 164.2MFree cash flow 358.9MAfter stock-based pay 255.9M
2023Net income 165.9MFree cash flow 359.9MAfter stock-based pay 251.6M
2024Net income 263.0MFree cash flow 604.1MAfter stock-based pay 481.3M
2025Net income 315.6MFree cash flow 637.5MAfter stock-based pay 486.3M
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2025
3.5B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 7%243.9M
Acquisitions 81%2.8B
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 11%374.9M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 1%37.8M
Over the same years it paid 807.6M in stock. The share count rose 11.6%. The buybacks did not even cover what was handed out in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$5$10$15
2017Earnings per share $4.32Free cash flow per share $3.89
2018Earnings per share $3.68Free cash flow per share $5.55
2019Earnings per share $3.65Free cash flow per share $5.42
2020Earnings per share $4.69Free cash flow per share $8.00
2021
2021Earnings per share $3.82Free cash flow per share $8.00
2022Earnings per share $3.87Free cash flow per share $8.47
2023Earnings per share $3.88Free cash flow per share $8.42
2024Earnings per share $6.05Free cash flow per share $13.89
2025Earnings per share $7.20Free cash flow per share $14.55
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
38M40M42M44M
2017Diluted shares 39.2M
2018Diluted shares 40.1M
2019Diluted shares 40.1M
2020Diluted shares 41.5M
2021
2021Diluted shares 42.2M
2022Diluted shares 42.4M
2023Diluted shares 42.8M
2024Diluted shares 43.5M
2025Diluted shares 43.8M
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-0.5B00.5B1.0B1.5B
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2021Net debt 1.0B
2022Net debt 813.5M
2023Net debt 480.5M
2024Net debt -146.8M
2025Net debt -415.7M
2017201820192020202120212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.8×
Interest coverage
72× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.05 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 100d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.80safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.02 × 6.56+0.10
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.39 × 3.26+1.26
Operating income ÷ assets 0.06 × 6.72+0.43
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.91 × 1.05+2.01
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.83below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.00+0.92
Gross margin slipping 0.94+0.50
Soft assets 0.93+0.38
Sales growth 1.09+0.97
Slower depreciation 1.01+0.12
Overheads vs sales 0.96-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.28
Leverage rising 1.30-0.43
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (16M) is well below depreciation (138M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$131.95discounted at 9.4% a year · 55% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
18.3×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
10.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.3×
Free cash flow yield
8.4%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today2.4B
Everything after, today2.9B
The whole business5.4B
Plus net cash415.7M
What belongs to shareholders5.8B
Divided among 43.8M shares: <strong>$131.95</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0200M400M600M
2017Reported 115.3M
2018Reported 170.0M
2019Reported 157.5M
2020Reported 265.0M
2021
2021Reported 233.1M
2022Reported 255.9M
2023Reported 251.6M
2024Reported 481.3M
2025Reported 486.3M
2026Projected 292.6M
2027Projected 319.4M
2028Projected 346.1M
2029Projected 372.0M
2030Projected 396.8M
2031Projected 420.0M
2032Projected 441.0M
2033Projected 459.3M
2034Projected 474.6M
2035Projected 486.5M
2017201920212022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
2.6B
2.8B
3.0B
3.3B
3.5B
3.7B
3.9B
4.0B
4.2B
4.3B
Growth
10.0%
9.2%
8.3%
7.5%
6.7%
5.8%
5.0%
4.2%
3.3%
2.5%
Cash margin
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
11.4%
Free cash flow
292.6M
319.4M
346.1M
372.0M
396.8M
420.0M
441.0M
459.3M
474.6M
486.5M
Worth today
267.5M
266.9M
264.3M
259.7M
253.2M
244.9M
235.1M
223.8M
211.4M
198.1M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.4%
136
144
154
165
178
8.9%
127
134
142
151
162
9.4%
119
125
132
140
149
9.9%
112
118
123
130
138
10.4%
106
111
116
122
128
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
9.1%
98
105
113
121
130
10.3%
106
114
122
132
142
11.4%
114
122
132
142
153
12.6%
122
131
142
153
165
13.7%
130
140
151
163
176
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$100.07
Median$132.23
90th percentile$179.45
$100.00$150.00$200.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$113.76</b> and <b>$154.03</b>; one in ten below $100.07, one in ten above $179.45.
Does the long run make sense?
8.0×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 8.0 times that year's EBITDA.
31%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 8% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 31% on the new capital — it has earned 6% on average over the last five years.
55%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$6.5M2 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.