SOFI · Financials(finance services) · 9 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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SoFi Technologies, Inc. reported revenue of $619.4 million in fiscal 2025. On the accounting screens, it passes 1 of 7 Piotroski tests; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 2025619.4M
Operating margin443.2%gross margin 1.7%
Return on invested capital—-2.9% on average over 2 years
Free cash flow after stock pay-4.2B-685.7% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score1/7tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
7-for-1 before fiscal 2021.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-1B01B2B3B
2018
2019Revenue 4.5MOperating income 38.8M
2020
2020Revenue 103.3MOperating income -142.9M
2021Revenue 247.7MOperating income -378.4M
2022Revenue 377.1MOperating income -129.4M
2023Revenue 421.5MOperating income 488.2M
2024Revenue 503.1MOperating income 1.9B
2025Revenue 619.4MOperating income 2.7B
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
8 yrs
Revenue
+18.0%
+43.1%
—
Shares
+11.6%
+19.3%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
-5%0%5%10%15%
2018
2019
2020
2020Return on invested capital -4.0%
2021Return on invested capital -4.6%
2022Return on invested capital -1.2%
2023
2024
2025
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-1.5B-1.0B-0.5B0
2018
2019
2020
2020Economic profit -667.5M
2021Economic profit -1.2B
2022Economic profit -1.2B
2023
2024
2025
201820192020202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
4.6%
Return on assets
1.0%
Asset turnover
0.01×
Research & development
104.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
113.7% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-10.0B-7.5B-5.0B-2.5B02.5B
2018
2019Net income -239.7MFree cash flow -92.3MAfter stock-based pay -153.3M
2020
2020Net income -224.1MFree cash flow -503.9MAfter stock-based pay -603.8M
2021Net income -483.9MFree cash flow -1.4BAfter stock-based pay -1.6B
2022Net income -320.4MFree cash flow -7.3BAfter stock-based pay -7.7B
2023Net income -300.7MFree cash flow -7.3BAfter stock-based pay -7.6B
2024Net income 498.7MFree cash flow -1.3BAfter stock-based pay -1.5B
2025Net income 481.3MFree cash flow -4.0BAfter stock-based pay -4.2B
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$10.0-$7.5-$5.0-$2.5$0.0$2.5
2018
2019Earnings per share $-0.52Free cash flow per share $-0.20
2020
2020Earnings per share $-0.43Free cash flow per share $-0.97
2021Earnings per share $-0.92Free cash flow per share $-2.66
2022Earnings per share $-0.36Free cash flow per share $-8.16
2023Earnings per share $-0.32Free cash flow per share $-7.77
2024Earnings per share $0.45Free cash flow per share $-1.16
2025Earnings per share $0.38Free cash flow per share $-3.18
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
0.4B0.6B0.8B1.0B1.2B1.4B
2018
2019Diluted shares 459.3M
2020
2020Diluted shares 517.0M
2021Diluted shares 526.7M
2022Diluted shares 900.9M
2023Diluted shares 945.0M
2024Diluted shares 1.1B
2025Diluted shares 1.3B
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02B4B6B
2018
2019
2020
2020Net debt 3.9B
2021Net debt 3.5B
2022Net debt 4.1B
2023
2024
2025
201820192020202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
1× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
— current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
1of 7 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✕Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zerofailed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✕Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)failed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
–More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
The accounts lack a line it needs (retained earnings, current assets or liabilities).
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Reported profit comfortably exceeds the cash generated (481M against -3,742M).
Benign
Growth consuming working capital, or the seasonality of the year-end.
Worrying
Profit held up by accounting entries that do not turn into money.
The effective tax rate is 8.5%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$21.33discounted at 10.2% a year · 56% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
55.5×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
9.0×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
43.1×
Free cash flow yield
-15.9%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today11.8B
Everything after, today14.9B
The whole business26.7B
Minus net debt-0
What belongs to shareholders26.7B
Divided among 1.3B shares: <strong>$21.33</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-10B-5B05B
2018
2019Reported -153.3M
2020
2020Reported -603.8M
2021Reported -1.6B
2022Reported -7.7B
2023Reported -7.6B
2024Reported -1.5B
2025Reported -4.2B
2026Projected 1.0B
2027Projected 1.3B
2028Projected 1.5B
2029Projected 1.8B
2030Projected 2.1B
2031Projected 2.3B
2032Projected 2.6B
2033Projected 2.8B
2034Projected 2.9B
2035Projected 3.0B
2018202020212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
774.2M
948.4M
1.1B
1.3B
1.5B
1.7B
1.9B
2.0B
2.1B
2.2B
Growth
25.0%
22.5%
20.0%
17.5%
15.0%
12.5%
10.0%
7.5%
5.0%
2.5%
Cash margin
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
135.1%
Free cash flow
1.0B
1.3B
1.5B
1.8B
2.1B
2.3B
2.6B
2.8B
2.9B
3.0B
Worth today
948.6M
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.3B
1.3B
1.2B
1.1B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
22
23
25
27
29
9.7%
21
22
23
24
26
10.2%
19
20
21
23
24
10.7%
18
19
20
21
22
11.2%
17
18
19
20
21
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
21.0%
23.0%
25.0%
27.0%
29.0%
108.1%
15
17
18
19
21
121.6%
17
18
20
21
23
135.1%
18
20
21
23
25
148.6%
20
21
23
25
27
162.1%
21
23
25
27
29
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 20.3%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$11.63
Median$14.39
90th percentile$18.29
$10.00$15.00$20.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$12.81</b> and <b>$16.27</b>; one in ten below $11.63, one in ten above $18.29.
Does the long run make sense?
3.7×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 3.7 times that year's EBITDA.
4%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 67% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 4% on the new capital — it has earned -3% on average over the last five years.
56%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 6.74% × (1 − 8.5%) = <strong>6.17%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.24%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$499,2302 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.