SKY · Other(mobile homes) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-03-28
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Champion Homes, Inc. reported revenue of $2.7 billion in fiscal 2026. Of the $1.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 21.8% went to acquisitions and 16.1% to buybacks; the share count rose 32.8%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 7.31 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20262.7B
Operating margin9.5%gross margin 26.4%
Return on invested capital12.5%19.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay248.9M9.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash614.5M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
5-for-1 before fiscal 2018.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-1B01B2B3B
2017Operating income 349,000
2018Revenue 1.1BOperating income 54.6M
2019Revenue 1.4BOperating income -29.7M
2020Revenue 1.4BOperating income 86.5M
2021Revenue 1.4BOperating income 108.8M
2022Revenue 2.2BOperating income 332.9M
2023Revenue 2.6BOperating income 518.3M
2024Revenue 2.0BOperating income 175.2M
2025Revenue 2.5BOperating income 237.0M
2026Revenue 2.7BOperating income 251.8M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+0.7%
+13.4%
—
Operating income
-21.4%
+18.3%
+107.8%
Net income
-19.8%
+19.5%
+225.8%
Earnings per share
-19.4%
+19.7%
+215.7%
Free cash flow per share
-9.0%
+13.3%
+72.4%
Shares
-0.5%
-0.2%
+3.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
-20%0%20%40%
2017
2018Return on invested capital 9.4%
2019Return on invested capital -9.0%
2020Return on invested capital 10.7%
2021Return on invested capital 13.6%
2022Return on invested capital 29.8%
2023Return on invested capital 31.3%
2024Return on invested capital 9.3%
2025Return on invested capital 12.0%
2026Return on invested capital 12.5%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
-100M0100M200M300M
2017
2018Economic profit -1.8M
2019Economic profit -89.7M
2020Economic profit 2.6M
2021Economic profit 20.6M
2022Economic profit 164.1M
2023Economic profit 262.5M
2024Economic profit -14.1M
2025Economic profit 26.8M
2026Economic profit 35.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
13.2%
Return on assets
9.7%
Asset turnover
1.25×
Overheads (SG&A)
17.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200M0200M400M600M
2017Net income 5,000Free cash flow 1.5MAfter stock-based pay 1.4M
2018Net income 15.8MFree cash flow 22.2MAfter stock-based pay 21.5M
2019Net income -58.2MFree cash flow 53.1MAfter stock-based pay -48.9M
2020Net income 58.2MFree cash flow 61.4MAfter stock-based pay 53.0M
2021Net income 84.9MFree cash flow 145.9MAfter stock-based pay 139.8M
2022Net income 248.0MFree cash flow 192.5MAfter stock-based pay 182.7M
2023Net income 401.8MFree cash flow 364.0MAfter stock-based pay 349.8M
2024Net income 146.7MFree cash flow 169.8MAfter stock-based pay 150.2M
2025Net income 198.4MFree cash flow 190.3MAfter stock-based pay 172.1M
2026Net income 206.9MFree cash flow 269.7MAfter stock-based pay 248.9M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
1.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 15%268.1M
Acquisitions 22%379.8M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 16%280.0M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 47%810.6M
Over the same years it paid 199.8M in stock. The share count rose 32.8%. 80.2M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$2.5$0.0$2.5$5.0$7.5
2017Earnings per share $0.00Free cash flow per share $0.04
2018Earnings per share $0.36Free cash flow per share $0.50
2019Earnings per share $-1.09Free cash flow per share $0.99
2020Earnings per share $1.02Free cash flow per share $1.08
2021Earnings per share $1.49Free cash flow per share $2.56
2022Earnings per share $4.33Free cash flow per share $3.36
2023Earnings per share $7.00Free cash flow per share $6.34
2024Earnings per share $2.53Free cash flow per share $2.93
2025Earnings per share $3.42Free cash flow per share $3.28
2026Earnings per share $3.66Free cash flow per share $4.77
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
40M45M50M55M60M
2017Diluted shares 42.6M
2018Diluted shares 44.5M
2019Diluted shares 53.5M
2020Diluted shares 56.8M
2021Diluted shares 57.0M
2022Diluted shares 57.3M
2023Diluted shares 57.4M
2024Diluted shares 58.0M
2025Diluted shares 58.1M
2026Diluted shares 56.5M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-800M-600M-400M-200M0
2017
2018Net debt -54.4M
2019Net debt -72.3M
2020Net debt -132.1M
2021Net debt -223.3M
2022Net debt -423.0M
2023Net debt -735.0M
2024Net debt -470.4M
2025Net debt -585.6M
2026Net debt -614.5M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-2.1×
Interest coverage
33× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.48 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
66 days collects in 12d, stock 67d, pays in 13d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
7.31safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.32 × 6.56+2.07
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.46 × 3.26+1.49
Operating income ÷ assets 0.12 × 6.72+0.79
Equity ÷ liabilities 2.82 × 1.05+2.96
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.66below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.98+0.91
Gross margin slipping 1.01+0.53
Soft assets 0.95+0.38
Sales growth 1.07+0.96
Slower depreciation 0.91+0.10
Overheads vs sales 0.99-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.21
Leverage rising 0.98-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$50.98discounted at 10.2% a year · 52% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
13.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
7.6×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.9×
Free cash flow yield
8.6%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today1.1B
Everything after, today1.2B
The whole business2.3B
Plus net cash614.5M
What belongs to shareholders2.9B
Divided among 56.5M shares: <strong>$50.98</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-100M0100M200M300M400M
2017Reported 1.4M
2018Reported 21.5M
2019Reported -48.9M
2020Reported 53.0M
2021Reported 139.8M
2022Reported 182.7M
2023Reported 349.8M
2024Reported 150.2M
2025Reported 172.1M
2026Reported 248.9M
2027Projected 125.3M
2028Projected 140.7M
2029Projected 156.2M
2030Projected 171.6M
2031Projected 186.3M
2032Projected 200.1M
2033Projected 212.4M
2034Projected 222.9M
2035Projected 231.2M
2036Projected 237.0M
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
3.0B
3.4B
3.8B
4.1B
4.5B
4.8B
5.1B
5.4B
5.6B
5.7B
Growth
13.5%
12.3%
11.1%
9.8%
8.6%
7.4%
6.2%
4.9%
3.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
Free cash flow
125.3M
140.7M
156.2M
171.6M
186.3M
200.1M
212.4M
222.9M
231.2M
237.0M
Worth today
113.6M
115.7M
116.6M
116.1M
114.4M
111.5M
107.3M
102.2M
96.1M
89.4M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
52
55
57
60
64
9.7%
50
52
54
57
60
10.2%
47
49
51
53
56
10.7%
45
47
48
50
53
11.2%
43
45
46
48
50
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
15.5%
17.5%
3.3%
40
42
45
47
50
3.7%
43
45
48
51
54
4.1%
45
48
51
54
58
4.6%
48
51
54
58
61
5.0%
50
54
57
61
65
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$31.53
Median$51.04
90th percentile$75.56
$25.00$50.00$75.00$100.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$40.22</b> and <b>$62.73</b>; one in ten below $31.53, one in ten above $75.56.
Does the long run make sense?
4.9×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 4.9 times that year's EBITDA.
6%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 45% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 6% on the new capital — it has earned 19% on average over the last five years.
52%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 13.24% × (1 − 21.0%) = <strong>10.46%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.24%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$244,3302 sale(s) by 2 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.