RPM · Materials(paints, varnishes, lacquers, enamels & allied prods) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-05-31
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RPM International Inc reported revenue of $7.9 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 4.4% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 9.8% in 2018 to 12.5%, and it earned 20.1% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $5.5 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 34.4% went to dividends and 30.7% back into the business; the share count fell 7.0%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.98 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20267.9B+4.4% a year over 9 years
Operating margin12.5%gross margin 41.4%
Return on invested capital20.1%24.2% on average over 4 years
Free cash flow after stock pay642.4M8.2% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.1×net debt 92.6M
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2018Revenue 5.3BOperating income 521.6M
2019Revenue 5.6BOperating income 442.2M
2020Revenue 5.5BOperating income 508.8M
2021Revenue 6.1BOperating income 753.8M
2022Revenue 6.7BOperating income 694.7M
2023Revenue 7.3BOperating income 768.4M
2024Revenue 7.3BOperating income 905.8M
2025
2025Revenue 7.4BOperating income 889.3M
2026Revenue 7.9BOperating income 981.9M
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+2.3%
+3.2%
+4.4%
Operating income
+2.7%
+7.2%
+7.3%
Net income
+4.0%
+6.1%
+7.8%
Earnings per share
+4.2%
+6.5%
+8.6%
Free cash flow per share
-9.2%
—
+11.4%
Dividend per share
+5.6%
+6.2%
+6.4%
Shares
-0.2%
-0.3%
-0.8%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%
2018Return on invested capital 26.0%
2019Return on invested capital 17.8%
2020Return on invested capital 28.3%
2021Return on invested capital 32.6%
2022Return on invested capital 21.8%
2023Return on invested capital 24.5%
2024Return on invested capital 25.6%
2025
2025Return on invested capital 26.8%
2026Return on invested capital 20.1%
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2018Economic profit 258.4M
2019Economic profit 149.5M
2020Economic profit 244.2M
2021Economic profit 390.9M
2022Economic profit 301.3M
2023Economic profit 332.1M
2024Economic profit 408.9M
2025
2025Economic profit 480.6M
2026Economic profit 369.7M
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
20.0%
Return on assets
7.9%
Asset turnover
0.94×
Research & development
1.2% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
29.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-250.0M0250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B
2018Net income 337.8MFree cash flow 275.8MAfter stock-based pay 250.3M
2019Net income 266.6MFree cash flow 156.2MAfter stock-based pay 125.0M
2020Net income 304.4MFree cash flow 402.2MAfter stock-based pay 382.4M
2021Net income 502.6MFree cash flow 609.0MAfter stock-based pay 568.0M
2022Net income 491.5MFree cash flow -43.7MAfter stock-based pay -83.8M
2023Net income 478.7MFree cash flow 322.7MAfter stock-based pay 294.0M
2024Net income 588.4MFree cash flow 908.3MAfter stock-based pay 882.4M
2025
2025Net income 688.7MFree cash flow 538.3MAfter stock-based pay 511.2M
2026Net income 661.4MFree cash flow 675.2MAfter stock-based pay 642.4M
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2026
5.5B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 31%1.7B
Acquisitions 9%487.4M
Dividends 34%1.9B
Share buybacks 13%697.3M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 14%753.0M
Over the same years it paid 271.9M in stock. The share count fell 7.0%. 425.4M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00
2018Earnings per share $2.46Free cash flow per share $2.01Dividend per share $1.22
2019Earnings per share $1.98Free cash flow per share $1.16Dividend per share $1.35
2020Earnings per share $2.34Free cash flow per share $3.09Dividend per share $1.42
2021Earnings per share $3.90Free cash flow per share $4.72Dividend per share $1.51
2022Earnings per share $3.79Free cash flow per share $-0.34Dividend per share $1.58
2023Earnings per share $3.72Free cash flow per share $2.50Dividend per share $1.66
2024Earnings per share $4.58Free cash flow per share $7.08Dividend per share $1.81
2025
2025Earnings per share $5.37Free cash flow per share $4.20Dividend per share $1.99
2026Earnings per share $5.19Free cash flow per share $5.29Dividend per share $2.13
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
127.5M130.0M132.5M135.0M137.5M
2018Diluted shares 137.2M
2019Diluted shares 134.3M
2020Diluted shares 130.0M
2021Diluted shares 128.9M
2022Diluted shares 129.6M
2023Diluted shares 128.8M
2024Diluted shares 128.3M
2025
2025Diluted shares 128.2M
2026Diluted shares 127.6M
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-400.0M-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2018Net debt -240.9M
2019Net debt 329.3M
2020Net debt -152.5M
2021Net debt -245.4M
2022Net debt 401.8M
2023Net debt -37.2M
2024Net debt -101.2M
2025
2025Net debt -294.4M
2026Net debt 92.6M
2018201920202021202220232024202520252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.1×
Interest coverage
9× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.68 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
93 days collects in 77d, stock 84d, pays in 68d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.98safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.17 × 6.56+1.10
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.43 × 3.26+1.40
Operating income ÷ assets 0.12 × 6.72+0.79
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.66 × 1.05+0.69
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.63below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.03+0.95
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.07+0.95
Slower depreciation 0.96+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.00-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.03-0.13
Leverage rising 1.31-0.43
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$76.36discounted at 10.2% a year · 49% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
14.7×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
8.2×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.3×
Free cash flow yield
6.6%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today5.0B
Everything after, today4.8B
The whole business9.8B
Minus net debt-92.6M
What belongs to shareholders9.7B
Divided among 127.6M shares: <strong>$76.36</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B
2018Reported 250.3M
2019Reported 125.0M
2020Reported 382.4M
2021Reported 568.0M
2022Reported -83.8M
2023Reported 294.0M
2024Reported 882.4M
2025
2025Reported 511.2M
2026Reported 642.4M
2027Projected 718.5M
2028Projected 746.0M
2029Projected 773.4M
2030Projected 800.4M
2031Projected 827.1M
2032Projected 853.3M
2033Projected 878.9M
2034Projected 903.8M
2035Projected 927.9M
2036Projected 951.1M
2018202020222024202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
8.2B
8.5B
8.8B
9.1B
9.4B
9.7B
10.0B
10.3B
10.6B
10.8B
Growth
4.0%
3.8%
3.7%
3.5%
3.3%
3.2%
3.0%
2.8%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
Free cash flow
718.5M
746.0M
773.4M
800.4M
827.1M
853.3M
878.9M
903.8M
927.9M
951.1M
Worth today
652.2M
614.8M
578.6M
543.7M
510.0M
477.6M
446.6M
416.9M
388.6M
361.6M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
79
83
88
94
101
9.7%
74
78
82
87
92
10.2%
69
73
76
81
85
10.7%
66
68
72
75
79
11.2%
62
65
67
71
74
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
7.0%
55
60
65
70
76
7.9%
60
65
71
77
83
8.8%
65
70
76
83
90
9.7%
69
76
82
89
97
10.5%
74
81
88
95
104
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$55.19
Median$76.56
90th percentile$106.06
$50.00$75.00$100.00$125.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$64.33</b> and <b>$90.35</b>; one in ten below $55.19, one in ten above $106.06.
Does the long run make sense?
7.7×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 7.7 times that year's EBITDA.
33%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 8% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 33% on the new capital — it has earned 24% on average over the last five years.
49%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 13.17% × (1 − 23.9%) = <strong>10.02%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.15%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.