OI · Materials(glass containers) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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O-I Glass, Inc. reported revenue of $6.4 billion in fiscal 2025, after shrinking 0.5% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 9.4% in 2016 to 4.5%, and it earned 9.9% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $5.9 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 82.4% went back into the business and 6.9% to acquisitions; the share count fell 5.7%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 0.94 is in the distress zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20256.4B-0.5% a year over 9 years
Operating margin4.5%gross margin 17.3%
Return on invested capital9.9%4.2% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay143.0M2.2% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA5.4×net debt 4.1B
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02B4B6B8B
2016Revenue 6.7BOperating income 628.0M
2017Revenue 6.9BOperating income 543.0M
2018Revenue 6.9BOperating income 538.0M
2019Revenue 6.7BOperating income 50.0M
2020Revenue 6.1BOperating income 353.0M
2021Revenue 6.4BOperating income 332.0M
2022Revenue 6.9BOperating income 805.0M
2023Revenue 7.1BOperating income 67.0M
2024Revenue 6.5BOperating income 38.0M
2025Revenue 6.4BOperating income 292.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-2.1%
+1.1%
-0.5%
Operating income
-28.7%
-3.7%
-8.2%
Free cash flow per share
—
+3.5%
-5.5%
Shares
-1.2%
-0.7%
-0.6%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
-10.0%
Return on assets
-1.4%
Asset turnover
0.70×
Research & development
0.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
6.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-0.5B00.5B1.0B
2016Net income 209.0MFree cash flow 297.0MAfter stock-based pay 286.0M
2017Net income 180.0MFree cash flow 280.0MAfter stock-based pay 262.0M
2018Net income 257.0MFree cash flow 255.0MAfter stock-based pay 228.0M
2019Net income -400.0MFree cash flow -21.0MAfter stock-based pay -31.0M
2020Net income 249.0MFree cash flow 146.0MAfter stock-based pay 135.0M
2021Net income 149.0MFree cash flow 289.0MAfter stock-based pay 281.0M
2022Net income 584.0MFree cash flow -385.0MAfter stock-based pay -418.0M
2023Net income -103.0MFree cash flow 130.0MAfter stock-based pay 87.0M
2024Net income -106.0MFree cash flow -128.0MAfter stock-based pay -142.0M
2025Net income -129.0MFree cash flow 168.0MAfter stock-based pay 143.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
5.9B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 82%4.8B
Acquisitions 7%408.0M
Dividends 1%39.0M
Share buybacks 7%401.0M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 3%183.0M
Over the same years it paid 200.0M in stock. The share count fell 5.7%. 201.0M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$4-$2$0$2$4
2016Earnings per share $1.28Free cash flow per share $1.82
2017Earnings per share $1.09Free cash flow per share $1.70
2018Earnings per share $1.59Free cash flow per share $1.57
2019Earnings per share $-2.58Free cash flow per share $-0.14Dividend per share $0.20
2020Earnings per share $1.57Free cash flow per share $0.92Dividend per share $0.05
2021Earnings per share $0.93Free cash flow per share $1.80
2022Earnings per share $3.67Free cash flow per share $-2.42
2023Earnings per share $-0.67Free cash flow per share $0.84
2024Earnings per share $-0.69Free cash flow per share $-0.83
2025Earnings per share $-0.84Free cash flow per share $1.09
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
150M155M160M165M
2016Diluted shares 162.8M
2017Diluted shares 164.6M
2018Diluted shares 162.1M
2019Diluted shares 155.2M
2020Diluted shares 158.8M
2021Diluted shares 160.3M
2022Diluted shares 159.0M
2023Diluted shares 154.7M
2024Diluted shares 154.6M
2025Diluted shares 153.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-2B02B4B6B
2016Net debt -297.0M
2017Net debt -341.0M
2018Net debt 4.7B
2019Net debt 4.9B
2020Net debt 4.5B
2021Net debt 4.1B
2022Net debt 3.9B
2023Net debt 3.9B
2024Net debt 4.1B
2025Net debt 4.1B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
5.4×
Interest coverage
1× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.25 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
20 days collects in 34d, stock 69d, pays in 82d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
0.94distress zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.06 × 6.56+0.36
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.06 × 3.26+0.19
Operating income ÷ assets 0.03 × 6.72+0.21
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.16 × 1.05+0.17
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.81below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.07+0.98
Gross margin slipping 0.93+0.49
Soft assets 1.04+0.42
Sales growth 0.98+0.88
Slower depreciation 1.05+0.12
Overheads vs sales 0.99-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.08-0.37
Leverage rising 0.97-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
The effective tax rate is -110.2%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
Net debt is 5.4 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$102,0701 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (glass containers) first, then the rest of materials.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.