METC · Materials(silver ores) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Ramaco Resources, Inc. reported revenue of $536.6 million in fiscal 2025, after growing 67.3% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from -144.4% in 2016 to -10.4%, and it earned -6.9% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $596.4 million its operations generated over 10 years, 94.5% went back into the business and 15.9% to dividends. On the accounting screens, it passes 3 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.25 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 2025536.6M+67.3% a year over 9 years
Operating margin-10.4%gross margin 15.5%
Return on invested capital-6.9%12.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay-78.4M-14.6% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.2×net debt 27.3M
Piotroski F-score3/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-200.0M0200.0M400.0M600.0M800.0M
2016Revenue 5.2MOperating income -7.5M
2017Revenue 61.0MOperating income -15.9M
2018Revenue 227.6MOperating income 24.1M
2019Revenue 168.9MOperating income 29.5M
2020Revenue 168.9MOperating income -19.1M
2021Revenue 283.4MOperating income 39.5M
2022Revenue 565.7MOperating income 150.4M
2023Revenue 693.5MOperating income 95.2M
2024Revenue 666.3MOperating income 16.6M
2025Revenue 536.6MOperating income -56.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-1.7%
+26.0%
+67.3%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
-10.6%
Return on assets
-4.5%
Asset turnover
0.47×
Overheads (SG&A)
12.9% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-100.0M0100.0M200.0M
2016Net income -7.5MFree cash flow -20.6MAfter stock-based pay -20.9M
2017Net income -15.4MFree cash flow -83.5MAfter stock-based pay -86.3M
2018Net income 25.1MFree cash flow -12.0MAfter stock-based pay -14.6M
2019Net income 24.9MFree cash flow -3.3MAfter stock-based pay -7.4M
2020Net income -4.9MFree cash flow -11.4MAfter stock-based pay -15.6M
2021Net income 39.8MFree cash flow 23.9MAfter stock-based pay 18.6M
2022Net income 116.0MFree cash flow 64.9MAfter stock-based pay 56.6M
2023Net income 82.3MFree cash flow 78.1MAfter stock-based pay 65.2M
2024Net income 11.2MFree cash flow 57.4MAfter stock-based pay 40.0M
2025Net income -51.4MFree cash flow -60.8MAfter stock-based pay -78.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
596.4M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 95%563.8M
Acquisitions 0%302,574
Dividends 16%94.7M
Share buybacks 0%0
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -10%-62.4M
Over the same years it paid 75.4M in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-4.00$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00
2016
2017Earnings per share $-0.41Free cash flow per share $-2.22
2018Earnings per share $0.62Free cash flow per share $-0.30
2019Earnings per share $0.61Free cash flow per share $-0.08
2020Earnings per share $-0.12Free cash flow per share $-0.27
2021Earnings per share $0.90Free cash flow per share $0.54Dividend per share $0.45
2022Earnings per share $2.60Free cash flow per share $1.45Dividend per share $0.45
2023
2024
2025
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
020.0M40.0M60.0M
2016Diluted shares 0
2017Diluted shares 37.6M
2018Diluted shares 40.3M
2019Diluted shares 40.8M
2020Diluted shares 42.5M
2021Diluted shares 44.3M
2022Diluted shares 44.7M
2023
2024
2025
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-40.0M-20.0M020.0M40.0M
2016
2017
2018Net debt 2.5M
2019Net debt 7.4M
2020Net debt 12.2M
2021Net debt -10.9M
2022Net debt 18.8M
2023Net debt 14.9M
2024Net debt -32.6M
2025Net debt 27.3M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.2×
Interest coverage
-7× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
5.46 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
74 days collects in 37d, stock 70d, pays in 33d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
3of 8 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
–No new sharesShare count did not grow — not reportedno data
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.25safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.43 × 6.56+2.81
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.00 × 3.26-0.00
Operating income ÷ assets -0.05 × 6.72-0.33
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.74 × 1.05+0.77
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-3.62below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.92+0.84
Gross margin slipping 1.29+0.68
Soft assets 0.73+0.30
Sales growth 0.81+0.72
Slower depreciation 1.02+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.75-0.30
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.22
Leverage rising 2.79-0.91
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Inventory is growing 101% against revenue growing -19%.
Benign
Stocking up for a launch, or securing supply.
Worrying
Demand is softening; discounts or write-downs tend to follow.
The effective tax rate is -17.2%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
The SEC accounts lack the lines needed for revenue, free cash flow or the share count, so there is no DCF for this company.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$4.8M1 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
Discovery Capital Management, Llc / CtHolder of more than 10%
Sold on the open market · indirect
500,000
$9.57
$4.8M
4.8M
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (silver ores) first, then the rest of materials.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.