IFF · Materials(industrial organic chemicals) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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International Flavors & Fragrances Inc reported revenue of $10.9 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 14.9% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 17.7% in 2016 to -3.5%, and it earned -2.1% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $8.0 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 68.1% went to acquisitions and 56.0% to dividends; the share count rose 60.0%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 1.20 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 3 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 202510.9B+14.9% a year over 9 years
Operating margin-3.5%gross margin 36.2%
Return on invested capital-2.1%-2.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay168.0M1.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA9.3×net debt 5.4B
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
2-for-1 before fiscal 2021.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-5.0B05.0B10.0B15.0B
2016Revenue 3.1BOperating income 553.0M
2017Revenue 3.4BOperating income 552.6M
2018Revenue 4.0BOperating income 583.9M
2019Revenue 5.1BOperating income 665.0M
2020Revenue 5.1BOperating income 566.0M
2021Revenue 11.7BOperating income 585.0M
2022Revenue 12.4BOperating income -1.3B
2023Revenue 11.5BOperating income -2.1B
2024Revenue 11.5BOperating income 766.0M
2025Revenue 10.9BOperating income -382.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-4.3%
+16.5%
+14.9%
Free cash flow per share
—
-15.3%
-10.3%
Dividend per share
-20.5%
+2.4%
+3.7%
Shares
+0.1%
+2.3%
+5.4%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.7%
-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%
2016Return on invested capital 14.5%
2017Return on invested capital 9.2%
2018Return on invested capital 4.2%
2019Return on invested capital 5.2%
2020Return on invested capital 4.4%
2021Return on invested capital 1.4%
2022Return on invested capital -5.3%
2023Return on invested capital -8.8%
2024Return on invested capital 2.9%
2025Return on invested capital -2.1%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-6.0B-4.0B-2.0B02.0B
2016Economic profit 171.4M
2017Economic profit 15.7M
2018Economic profit -476.1M
2019Economic profit -371.1M
2020Economic profit -460.0M
2021Economic profit -2.4B
2022Economic profit -4.0B
2023Economic profit -4.3B
2024Economic profit -1.3B
2025Economic profit -2.2B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
-2.5%
Return on assets
-1.4%
Asset turnover
0.43×
Research & development
6.4% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
16.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-3.0B-2.0B-1.0B01.0B2.0B
2016Net income 405.0MFree cash flow 423.7MAfter stock-based pay 399.1M
2017Net income 295.7MFree cash flow 261.8MAfter stock-based pay 235.2M
2018Net income 339.8MFree cash flow 267.5MAfter stock-based pay 238.1M
2019Net income 460.0MFree cash flow 463.0MAfter stock-based pay 429.0M
2020Net income 367.0MFree cash flow 522.0MAfter stock-based pay 486.0M
2021Net income 279.0MFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 990.0M
2022Net income -1.9BFree cash flow -107.0MAfter stock-based pay -156.0M
2023Net income -2.6BFree cash flow 952.0MAfter stock-based pay 887.0M
2024Net income 267.0MFree cash flow 607.0MAfter stock-based pay 530.0M
2025Net income -359.0MFree cash flow 256.0MAfter stock-based pay 168.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
8.0B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 41%3.3B
Acquisitions 68%5.4B
Dividends 56%4.5B
Share buybacks 3%239.0M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -68%-5.5B
Over the same years it paid 483.6M in stock. The share count rose 60.0%. The buybacks did not even cover what was handed out in stock.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-15.00$-10.00$-5.00$0.00$5.00
2016Earnings per share $2.53Free cash flow per share $2.65Dividend per share $1.16
2017Earnings per share $1.86Free cash flow per share $1.65Dividend per share $1.30
2018Earnings per share $1.93Free cash flow per share $1.52Dividend per share $1.31
2019Earnings per share $2.04Free cash flow per share $2.05Dividend per share $1.39
2020Earnings per share $1.61Free cash flow per share $2.29Dividend per share $1.42
2021Earnings per share $1.15Free cash flow per share $4.30Dividend per share $2.74
2022Earnings per share $-7.31Free cash flow per share $-0.42Dividend per share $3.18
2023Earnings per share $-10.15Free cash flow per share $3.73Dividend per share $3.24
2024Earnings per share $1.04Free cash flow per share $2.37Dividend per share $2.01
2025Earnings per share $-1.40Free cash flow per share $1.00Dividend per share $1.60
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
150.0M175.0M200.0M225.0M250.0M275.0M
2016Diluted shares 160.0M
2017Diluted shares 158.7M
2018Diluted shares 176.2M
2019Diluted shares 226.0M
2020Diluted shares 228.0M
2021Diluted shares 243.0M
2022Diluted shares 255.0M
2023Diluted shares 255.0M
2024Diluted shares 256.0M
2025Diluted shares 256.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
05.0B10.0B15.0B
2016Net debt 1.0B
2017Net debt 1.3B
2018Net debt 3.9B
2019Net debt 3.8B
2020Net debt 3.8B
2021Net debt 10.7B
2022Net debt 10.5B
2023Net debt 9.4B
2024Net debt 8.5B
2025Net debt 5.4B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
9.3×
Interest coverage
-2× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.42 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
108 days collects in 58d, stock 118d, pays in 68d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.20grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.07 × 6.56+0.43
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.13 × 3.26-0.44
Operating income ÷ assets -0.01 × 6.72-0.10
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.24 × 1.05+1.31
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.54below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.12+1.03
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 1.05+0.42
Sales growth 0.95+0.85
Slower depreciation 1.11+0.13
Overheads vs sales 0.97-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.22
Leverage rising 0.82-0.27
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (594M) is well below depreciation (962M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
The effective tax rate is -12.9%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
Net debt is 9.3 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$-11.65discounted at 8.7% a year · 60% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
—
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
4.2×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.2×
Free cash flow yield
—
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today962.1M
Everything after, today1.5B
The whole business2.4B
Minus net debt-5.4B
What belongs to shareholders-3.0B
Divided among 256.0M shares: <strong>$-11.65</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B
2016Reported 399.1M
2017Reported 235.2M
2018Reported 238.1M
2019Reported 429.0M
2020Reported 486.0M
2021Reported 990.0M
2022Reported -156.0M
2023Reported 887.0M
2024Reported 530.0M
2025Reported 168.0M
2026Projected 96.0M
2027Projected 110.3M
2028Projected 125.1M
2029Projected 139.9M
2030Projected 154.3M
2031Projected 167.7M
2032Projected 179.7M
2033Projected 189.8M
2034Projected 197.5M
2035Projected 202.4M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
12.7B
14.6B
16.5B
18.5B
20.4B
22.2B
23.8B
25.1B
26.1B
26.8B
Growth
16.5%
14.9%
13.4%
11.8%
10.3%
8.7%
7.2%
5.6%
4.1%
2.5%
Cash margin
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Free cash flow
96.0M
110.3M
125.1M
139.9M
154.3M
167.7M
179.7M
189.8M
197.5M
202.4M
Worth today
88.3M
93.4M
97.4M
100.3M
101.7M
101.8M
100.3M
97.5M
93.4M
88.0M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.7%
-11
-11
-10
-9
-7
8.2%
-12
-11
-11
-10
-9
8.7%
-13
-12
-12
-11
-10
9.2%
-13
-13
-12
-12
-11
9.7%
-14
-13
-13
-13
-12
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
12.5%
14.5%
16.5%
18.5%
20.5%
0.6%
-14
-14
-13
-13
-12
0.7%
-14
-13
-12
-12
-11
0.8%
-13
-12
-12
-11
-10
0.8%
-12
-12
-11
-10
-9
0.9%
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$-37.97
Median$-11.41
90th percentile$16.36
$-50.00$0.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$-25.03</b> and <b>$2.83</b>; one in ten below $-37.97, one in ten above $16.36.
Does the long run make sense?
2.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 2.4 times that year's EBITDA.
60%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market$20.3M2 purchase(s) by 1 insider(s)
Sold on the open market$1.3M3 sale(s) by 3 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.