DGX · Health care(services-medical laboratories) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Quest Diagnostics Inc reported revenue of $11.0 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 4.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 17.7% in 2016 to 14.1%, and it earned 9.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $15.2 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 43.1% went to buybacks and 32.1% to acquisitions; the share count fell 20.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.52 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 202511.0B+4.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin14.1%gross margin 33.2%
Return on invested capital9.2%11.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.3B11.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.5×net debt 5.3B
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
05.0B10.0B15.0B
2016Revenue 7.2BOperating income 1.3B
2017Revenue 7.4BOperating income 1.2B
2018Revenue 7.5BOperating income 1.1B
2019Revenue 7.7BOperating income 1.2B
2020Revenue 9.4BOperating income 2.0B
2021Revenue 10.8BOperating income 2.4B
2022Revenue 9.9BOperating income 1.4B
2023Revenue 9.3BOperating income 1.3B
2024Revenue 9.9BOperating income 1.3B
2025Revenue 11.0BOperating income 1.6B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+3.7%
+3.2%
+4.8%
Operating income
+2.9%
-4.6%
+2.2%
Net income
+1.6%
-7.1%
+4.9%
Earnings per share
+3.1%
-3.6%
+7.6%
Free cash flow per share
+2.6%
+0.6%
+8.4%
Dividend per share
+6.5%
+7.4%
+7.9%
Shares
-1.4%
-3.6%
-2.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.4%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2016Return on invested capital 9.2%
2017Return on invested capital 10.3%
2018Return on invested capital 9.7%
2019Return on invested capital 9.1%
2020Return on invested capital 13.8%
2021Return on invested capital 17.5%
2022Return on invested capital 11.4%
2023Return on invested capital 8.9%
2024Return on invested capital 8.0%
2025Return on invested capital 9.2%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Economic profit 152.3M
2017Economic profit 246.7M
2018Economic profit 208.9M
2019Economic profit 176.1M
2020Economic profit 690.6M
2021Economic profit 1.1B
2022Economic profit 390.4M
2023Economic profit 167.6M
2024Economic profit 69.3M
2025Economic profit 232.8M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
13.8%
Return on assets
6.1%
Asset turnover
0.68×
Overheads (SG&A)
17.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Net income 645.0MFree cash flow 823.0MAfter stock-based pay 754.0M
2017Net income 772.0MFree cash flow 923.0MAfter stock-based pay 844.0M
2018Net income 736.0MFree cash flow 817.0MAfter stock-based pay 756.0M
2019Net income 858.0MFree cash flow 843.0MAfter stock-based pay 787.0M
2020Net income 1.4BFree cash flow 1.6BAfter stock-based pay 1.5B
2021Net income 2.0BFree cash flow 1.8BAfter stock-based pay 1.8B
2022Net income 946.0MFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2023Net income 854.0MFree cash flow 864.0MAfter stock-based pay 787.0M
2024Net income 871.0MFree cash flow 909.0MAfter stock-based pay 821.0M
2025Net income 992.0MFree cash flow 1.4BAfter stock-based pay 1.3B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
15.2B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 26%3.9B
Acquisitions 32%4.9B
Dividends 19%2.9B
Share buybacks 43%6.5B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -20%-3.1B
Over the same years it paid 771.0M in stock. The share count fell 20.4%. 5.8B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00
2016Earnings per share $4.54Free cash flow per share $5.80Dividend per share $1.57
2017Earnings per share $5.51Free cash flow per share $6.59Dividend per share $1.76
2018Earnings per share $5.29Free cash flow per share $5.88Dividend per share $1.91
2019Earnings per share $6.31Free cash flow per share $6.20Dividend per share $2.10
2020Earnings per share $10.52Free cash flow per share $11.67Dividend per share $2.18
2021Earnings per share $15.59Free cash flow per share $14.30Dividend per share $2.41
2022Earnings per share $8.02Free cash flow per share $11.14Dividend per share $2.58
2023Earnings per share $7.56Free cash flow per share $7.65Dividend per share $2.78
2024Earnings per share $7.71Free cash flow per share $8.04Dividend per share $2.93
2025Earnings per share $8.78Free cash flow per share $12.03Dividend per share $3.12
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
110.0M120.0M130.0M140.0M150.0M
2016Diluted shares 142.0M
2017Diluted shares 140.0M
2018Diluted shares 139.0M
2019Diluted shares 136.0M
2020Diluted shares 136.0M
2021Diluted shares 128.0M
2022Diluted shares 118.0M
2023Diluted shares 113.0M
2024Diluted shares 113.0M
2025Diluted shares 113.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Net debt 3.4B
2017Net debt 3.6B
2018Net debt 3.8B
2019Net debt 3.6B
2020Net debt 2.9B
2021Net debt 3.1B
2022Net debt 3.7B
2023Net debt 4.0B
2024Net debt 5.7B
2025Net debt 5.3B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.5×
Interest coverage
6× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.04 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 47d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.52safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.01 × 6.56+0.04
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.62 × 3.26+2.01
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.64
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.79 × 1.05+0.83
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.66below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.97+0.89
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 1.00+0.40
Sales growth 1.12+1.00
Slower depreciation 0.92+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.99-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.26
Leverage rising 0.95-0.31
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$152.32discounted at 7.4% a year · 63% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
17.4×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
10.6×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.0×
Free cash flow yield
7.4%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today8.4B
Everything after, today14.1B
The whole business22.5B
Minus net debt-5.3B
What belongs to shareholders17.2B
Divided among 113.0M shares: <strong>$152.32</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Reported 754.0M
2017Reported 844.0M
2018Reported 756.0M
2019Reported 787.0M
2020Reported 1.5B
2021Reported 1.8B
2022Reported 1.2B
2023Reported 787.0M
2024Reported 821.0M
2025Reported 1.3B
2026Projected 1.1B
2027Projected 1.1B
2028Projected 1.2B
2029Projected 1.2B
2030Projected 1.2B
2031Projected 1.2B
2032Projected 1.3B
2033Projected 1.3B
2034Projected 1.3B
2035Projected 1.4B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
11.4B
11.7B
12.0B
12.4B
12.7B
13.1B
13.4B
13.8B
14.1B
14.5B
Growth
3.0%
2.9%
2.9%
2.8%
2.8%
2.7%
2.7%
2.6%
2.6%
2.5%
Cash margin
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
9.6%
Free cash flow
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.2B
1.2B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.3B
1.4B
Worth today
1.0B
969.2M
928.4M
888.7M
850.4M
813.2M
777.2M
742.4M
708.8M
676.4M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.4%
159
179
203
235
277
6.9%
140
156
175
199
230
7.4%
124
137
152
171
195
7.9%
111
121
134
149
167
8.4%
99
108
119
131
146
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
7.0%
7.6%
94
106
120
135
150
8.6%
107
121
136
152
170
9.6%
121
136
152
170
189
10.5%
134
151
169
188
209
11.5%
147
165
185
206
229
All the inputs moving at once
4,998 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$89.79
Median$152.17
90th percentile$259.16
$100.00$200.00$300.00$400.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$116.79</b> and <b>$200.24</b>; one in ten below $89.79, one in ten above $259.16.
Does the long run make sense?
10.3×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 10.3 times that year's EBITDA.
23%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 11% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 23% on the new capital — it has earned 11% on average over the last five years.
63%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$8.3M5 sale(s) by 3 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.