AMC · Other(services-motion picture theaters) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025. On the accounting screens, it passes 2 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of -4.72 is in the distress zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 20254.8B
Operating margin-0.4%gross margin —
Return on invested capital-0.8%-7.0% on average over 4 years
Free cash flow after stock pay-382.8M-7.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA12.2×net debt 3.6B
Piotroski F-score2/8tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
2-for-1 before fiscal 2024.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2.0B02.0B4.0B6.0B
2021
2021
2021Revenue 2.5BOperating income -930.0M
2022
2022
2022
2022Revenue 3.9BOperating income -522.3M
2023Revenue 4.8BOperating income -74.3M
2024Revenue 4.6BOperating income -79.3M
2025Revenue 4.8BOperating income -17.4M
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Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+7.4%
—
—
Shares
+31.2%
—
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 11.4%
-30.0%-20.0%-10.0%-0.0%10.0%20.0%
2021
2021
2021Return on invested capital -25.8%
2022
2022
2022
2022Return on invested capital -20.8%
2023Return on invested capital -2.7%
2024Return on invested capital -3.4%
2025Return on invested capital -0.8%
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Economic profit
Economic profit
-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0
2021
2021
2021Economic profit -1.4B
2022
2022
2022
2022Economic profit -809.9M
2023Economic profit -385.5M
2024Economic profit -343.1M
2025Economic profit -261.4M
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(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
—
Return on assets
-7.9%
Asset turnover
0.60×
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0
2021
2021
2021Net income -1.3BFree cash flow -706.5MAfter stock-based pay -749.6M
2022
2022
2022
2022Net income -973.6MFree cash flow -830.5MAfter stock-based pay -853.0M
2023Net income -396.6MFree cash flow -440.8MAfter stock-based pay -483.3M
2024Net income -352.6MFree cash flow -296.3MAfter stock-based pay -318.3M
2025Net income -632.4MFree cash flow -365.9MAfter stock-based pay -382.8M
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Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-8.00$-6.00$-4.00$-2.00$0.00$2.00
2021
2021
2021Earnings per share $-6.65Free cash flow per share $-3.70
2022
2022
2022
2022Earnings per share $-4.65Free cash flow per share $-3.96Dividend per share $0.00
2023Earnings per share $-1.18Free cash flow per share $-1.31
2024Earnings per share $-1.06Free cash flow per share $-0.89
2025Earnings per share $-1.34Free cash flow per share $-0.77
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Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
100.0M200.0M300.0M400.0M500.0M
2021
2021
2021Diluted shares 191.0M
2022
2022
2022
2022Diluted shares 209.5M
2023Diluted shares 335.3M
2024Diluted shares 332.9M
2025Diluted shares 472.9M
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How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2021
2021
2021Net debt 3.8B
2022
2022
2022
2022Net debt 4.5B
2023Net debt 3.7B
2024Net debt 3.4B
2025Net debt 3.6B
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Net debt ÷ EBITDA
12.2×
Interest coverage
-0× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
0.41 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 12d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
2of 8 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✕Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zerofailed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
-4.72distress zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets -0.13 × 6.56-0.85
Retained earnings ÷ assets -1.12 × 3.26-3.65
Operating income ÷ assets -0.00 × 6.72-0.01
Equity ÷ liabilities -0.19 × 1.05-0.20
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.84below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.89+0.82
Gross margin slipping 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)+0.53
Soft assets 1.04+0.42
Sales growth 1.05+0.93
Slower depreciation 0.97+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.30
Leverage rising 1.03-0.34
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
The effective tax rate is -0.7%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
Net debt is 12.2 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$-6.73discounted at 11.4% a year · 45% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
—
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
1.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.1×
Free cash flow yield
—
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today234.1M
Everything after, today195.3M
The whole business429.4M
Minus net debt-3.6B
What belongs to shareholders-3.2B
Divided among 472.9M shares: <strong>$-6.73</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-1.0B-750.0M-500.0M-250.0M0250.0M
2021
2021
2021Reported -749.6M
2022
2022
2022
2022Reported -853.0M
2023Reported -483.3M
2024Reported -318.3M
2025Reported -382.8M
2026Projected 32.8M
2027Projected 35.1M
2028Projected 37.4M
2029Projected 39.5M
2030Projected 41.6M
2031Projected 43.6M
2032Projected 45.4M
2033Projected 47.0M
2034Projected 48.5M
2035Projected 49.7M
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Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
5.2B
5.6B
5.9B
6.3B
6.6B
6.9B
7.2B
7.5B
7.7B
7.9B
Growth
7.5%
6.9%
6.4%
5.8%
5.3%
4.7%
4.2%
3.6%
3.1%
2.5%
Cash margin
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
Free cash flow
32.8M
35.1M
37.4M
39.5M
41.6M
43.6M
45.4M
47.0M
48.5M
49.7M
Worth today
29.5M
28.3M
27.0M
25.7M
24.3M
22.8M
21.4M
19.9M
18.4M
16.9M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
10.4%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-6
10.9%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
11.4%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
11.9%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
12.4%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
3.5%
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
0.5%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
0.6%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
0.6%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-7
0.7%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-6
0.8%
-7
-7
-7
-7
-6
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$-9.41
Median$-6.71
90th percentile$-3.97
$-10.00$-5.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$-8.09</b> and <b>$-5.27</b>; one in ten below $-9.41, one in ten above $-3.97.
Does the long run make sense?
1.2×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 1.2 times that year's EBITDA.
45%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 11.38% × (1 − 0.0%) = <strong>11.38%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>11.38%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.