URI · Industrials(services-equipment rental & leasing, nec) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
United Rentals, Inc. reported revenue of $3.7 billion in fiscal 2025, after shrinking 4.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 24.6% in 2016 to 107.5%, and it earned 11.9% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $35.2 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 44.5% went back into the business and 34.0% to acquisitions; the share count fell 26.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 4 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 3.03 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20253.7B-4.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin107.5%gross margin -169.4%
Return on invested capital11.9%12.4% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow—
Net debt ÷ EBITDA3.5×net debt 15.4B
Piotroski F-score4/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.5B5.0B7.5B10.0B
2016Revenue 5.8BOperating income 1.4B
2017Revenue 6.6BOperating income 1.5B
2018Revenue 8.0BOperating income 2.0B
2019Revenue 2.1BOperating income 2.2B
2020Revenue 2.0BOperating income 1.8B
2021Revenue 2.3BOperating income 2.3B
2022Revenue 2.5BOperating income 3.2B
2023Revenue 3.4BOperating income 3.8B
2024Revenue 3.6BOperating income 4.1B
2025Revenue 3.7BOperating income 4.0B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+13.9%
+13.1%
-4.8%
Operating income
+7.1%
+17.2%
+12.2%
Net income
+5.8%
+22.9%
+17.9%
Earnings per share
+9.2%
+25.9%
+22.0%
Shares
-3.1%
-2.4%
-3.3%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
27.8%
Return on assets
8.4%
Asset turnover
0.12×
Overheads (SG&A)
46.9% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2016Net income 566.0MFree cash flow 1.8BAfter stock-based pay 1.8B
2017Net income 1.3BFree cash flow 2.1BAfter stock-based pay 2.0B
2018Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 2.7BAfter stock-based pay 2.6B
2019Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 2.8BAfter stock-based pay 2.7B
2020Net income 890.0MFree cash flow 2.5BAfter stock-based pay 2.4B
2021Net income 1.4BFree cash flow 491.0MAfter stock-based pay 372.0M
2022Net income 2.1BFree cash flow 743.0MAfter stock-based pay 616.0M
2023Net income 2.4BFree cash flow 840.0MAfter stock-based pay 746.0M
2024Net income 2.6BFree cash flow 416.0MAfter stock-based pay 304.0M
2025Net income 2.5B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
35.2B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 45%15.7B
Acquisitions 34%12.0B
Dividends 4%1.3B
Share buybacks 23%8.3B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -6%-2.0B
Over the same years it paid 951.0M in stock. The share count fell 26.4%. 7.3B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00
2016Earnings per share $6.45Free cash flow per share $21.05
2017Earnings per share $15.73Free cash flow per share $24.42
2018Earnings per share $13.12Free cash flow per share $31.94
2019Earnings per share $15.11Free cash flow per share $36.11
2020Earnings per share $12.20Free cash flow per share $33.75
2021Earnings per share $19.03Free cash flow per share $6.74Dividend per share $0.00
2022Earnings per share $29.66Free cash flow per share $10.47Dividend per share $0.00
2023Earnings per share $35.28Free cash flow per share $12.23Dividend per share $5.91
2024Earnings per share $38.68Free cash flow per share $6.25Dividend per share $6.52
2025Earnings per share $38.60Dividend per share $7.18
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
60.0M70.0M80.0M90.0M
2016Diluted shares 87.8M
2017Diluted shares 85.6M
2018Diluted shares 83.5M
2019Diluted shares 77.7M
2020Diluted shares 72.9M
2021Diluted shares 72.8M
2022Diluted shares 71.0M
2023Diluted shares 68.7M
2024Diluted shares 66.6M
2025Diluted shares 64.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
05.0B10.0B15.0B20.0B
2016Net debt 8.1B
2017Net debt 9.9B
2018Net debt 12.7B
2019Net debt 12.5B
2020Net debt 10.3B
2021Net debt 10.5B
2022Net debt 11.5B
2023Net debt 12.7B
2024Net debt 14.2B
2025Net debt 15.4B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
3.5×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
0.94 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
228 days collects in 248d, stock 9d, pays in 28d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
4of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
3.03safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets -0.01 × 6.56-0.05
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.53 × 3.26+1.73
Operating income ÷ assets 0.13 × 6.72+0.89
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.43 × 1.05+0.45
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.89below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.03+0.95
Gross margin slipping 0.92+0.49
Soft assets 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)+0.40
Sales growth 1.03+0.92
Slower depreciation 1.00 (not reported, set to 1)+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.02-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.09-0.42
Leverage rising 1.02-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Net debt is 3.5 times EBITDA.
Benign
A stable sector with predictable cash flows and comfortable maturities.
Worrying
Little room if earnings fall; the maturity schedule is what to check.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.