PUBM · Technology(services-computer programming, data processing, etc.) · 8 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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PubMatic, Inc. reported revenue of $282.9 million in fiscal 2025. Of the $471.0 million its operations generated over 8 years, 38.5% went to buybacks and 30.3% back into the business. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.55 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2025282.9M
Operating margin-6.1%gross margin 63.6%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay28.3M10.0% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score5/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-100.0M0100.0M200.0M300.0M
2018
2019Revenue 113.9MOperating income 8.5M
2020Revenue 148.7MOperating income 31.8M
2021Revenue 226.9MOperating income 58.8M
2022Revenue 256.4MOperating income 40.5M
2023Revenue 267.0MOperating income 2.0M
2024Revenue 291.3MOperating income 3.9M
2025Revenue 282.9MOperating income -17.3M
20182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
7 yrs
Revenue
+3.3%
+13.7%
—
Free cash flow per share
+16.3%
+175.6%
—
Shares
-6.2%
+22.4%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
-5.5%
Return on assets
-2.1%
Asset turnover
0.42×
Research & development
12.0% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
21.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-25.0M025.0M50.0M75.0M
2018
2019Net income 6.6MFree cash flow 25.6MAfter stock-based pay 23.6M
2020Net income 26.6MFree cash flow 153,000After stock-based pay -3.4M
2021Net income 56.6MFree cash flow 58.2MAfter stock-based pay 44.1M
2022Net income 28.7MFree cash flow 51.3MAfter stock-based pay 30.7M
2023Net income 8.9MFree cash flow 70.5MAfter stock-based pay 41.7M
2024Net income 12.5MFree cash flow 55.8MAfter stock-based pay 18.2M
2025Net income -14.5MFree cash flow 66.7MAfter stock-based pay 28.3M
20182019202020212022202320242025
Where 8 years of operating cash went, 2018–2025
471.0M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 30%142.6M
Acquisitions 6%28.1M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 38%181.2M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 25%119.1M
Over the same years it paid 145.2M in stock. 35.9M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-1.00$0.00$1.00$2.00$3.00
2018
2019Earnings per share $0.55Free cash flow per share $2.10
2020Earnings per share $1.55Free cash flow per share $0.01
2021Earnings per share $1.00Free cash flow per share $1.03
2022Earnings per share $0.50Free cash flow per share $0.90
2023Earnings per share $0.16Free cash flow per share $1.26
2024Earnings per share $0.23Free cash flow per share $1.03
2025Earnings per share $-0.31Free cash flow per share $1.42
20182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
020.0M40.0M60.0M
2018
2019Diluted shares 12.2M
2020Diluted shares 17.1M
2021Diluted shares 56.6M
2022Diluted shares 56.9M
2023Diluted shares 56.0M
2024Diluted shares 54.3M
2025Diluted shares 47.0M
20182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.39 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 462d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 8 tests passed
✕ProfitableReturn on assets above zerofailed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.55grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.22 × 6.56+1.42
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.20 × 3.26+0.65
Operating income ÷ assets -0.03 × 6.72-0.17
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.63 × 1.05+0.66
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-3.23below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.87+0.80
Gross margin slipping 1.03+0.54
Soft assets 1.08+0.44
Sales growth 0.97+0.87
Slower depreciation 1.12+0.13
Overheads vs sales 1.08-0.19
Profit not in cash -0.14-0.66
Leverage rising 0.98-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
The effective tax rate is -9.4%.
Benign
A favourable geographic mix, or legitimate tax credits.
Worrying
Not sustainable; projecting it forward inflates the valuation.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 4 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$2.1M7 sale(s) by 4 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Companies like this one
Same SEC industry (services-computer programming, data processing, etc.) first, then the rest of technology.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.