PH · Industrials(miscellaneous fabricated metal products) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30
Parker-Hannifin Corp reported revenue of $21.5 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 4.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 14.3% in 2018 to 23.6%, and it earned 17.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $24.9 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 53.1% went to acquisitions and 23.2% to buybacks; the share count fell 5.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 5.07 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 202621.5B+4.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin23.6%gross margin 37.7%
Return on invested capital17.2%14.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay3.7B17.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA1.4×net debt 7.7B
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
010.0B20.0B30.0B
2018Revenue 14.3BOperating income 2.0B
2018
2019Revenue 14.3BOperating income 2.2B
2020Revenue 13.7BOperating income 2.0B
2021Revenue 14.3BOperating income 2.5B
2022Revenue 15.9BOperating income 3.0B
2023Revenue 19.1BOperating income 3.4B
2024Revenue 19.9BOperating income 4.1B
2025Revenue 19.9BOperating income 4.3B
2026Revenue 21.5BOperating income 5.1B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+4.1%
+8.4%
+4.6%
Operating income
+14.2%
+15.6%
+10.7%
Net income
+20.5%
+15.9%
+14.7%
Earnings per share
+21.1%
+16.4%
+15.4%
Free cash flow per share
+15.1%
+11.0%
+13.2%
Dividend per share
+10.5%
+15.0%
+11.7%
Shares
-0.5%
-0.4%
-0.6%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 8.1%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%
2018Return on invested capital 11.7%
2018
2019Return on invested capital 13.4%
2020Return on invested capital 10.7%
2021Return on invested capital 12.8%
2022Return on invested capital 11.9%
2023Return on invested capital 11.6%
2024Return on invested capital 14.8%
2025Return on invested capital 17.6%
2026Return on invested capital 17.2%
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2018Economic profit 396.1M
2018
2019Economic profit 692.6M
2020Economic profit 381.5M
2021Economic profit 700.9M
2022Economic profit 782.0M
2023Economic profit 796.3M
2024Economic profit 1.5B
2025Economic profit 2.0B
2026Economic profit 2.1B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
23.7%
Return on assets
11.8%
Asset turnover
0.70×
Research & development
1.2% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
16.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
01.0B2.0B3.0B4.0B
2018Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2018
2019Net income 1.5BFree cash flow 1.5BAfter stock-based pay 1.4B
2020Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 1.8BAfter stock-based pay 1.7B
2021Net income 1.7BFree cash flow 2.4BAfter stock-based pay 2.2B
2022Net income 1.3BFree cash flow 2.2BAfter stock-based pay 2.1B
2023Net income 2.1BFree cash flow 2.6BAfter stock-based pay 2.5B
2024Net income 2.8BFree cash flow 3.0BAfter stock-based pay 2.8B
2025Net income 3.5BFree cash flow 3.3BAfter stock-based pay 3.2B
2026Net income 3.6BFree cash flow 3.9BAfter stock-based pay 3.7B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2026
24.9B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 11%2.8B
Acquisitions 53%13.2B
Dividends 22%5.6B
Share buybacks 23%5.8B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -10%-2.5B
Over the same years it paid 1.2B in stock. The share count fell 5.4%. 4.6B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$10.00$20.00$30.00$40.00
2018Earnings per share $7.83Free cash flow per share $9.96Dividend per share $2.70
2018
2019Earnings per share $11.57Free cash flow per share $11.65Dividend per share $3.13
2020Earnings per share $9.26Free cash flow per share $14.16Dividend per share $3.50
2021Earnings per share $13.35Free cash flow per share $18.08Dividend per share $3.63
2022Earnings per share $10.09Free cash flow per share $16.97Dividend per share $4.37
2023Earnings per share $16.03Free cash flow per share $20.01Dividend per share $5.42
2024Earnings per share $21.84Free cash flow per share $22.92Dividend per share $6.01
2025Earnings per share $27.13Free cash flow per share $25.66Dividend per share $6.61
2026Earnings per share $28.49Free cash flow per share $30.48Dividend per share $7.31
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
128.0M130.0M132.0M134.0M136.0M
2018Diluted shares 135.4M
2018
2019Diluted shares 131.8M
2020Diluted shares 129.8M
2021Diluted shares 130.8M
2022Diluted shares 130.4M
2023Diluted shares 129.9M
2024Diluted shares 130.2M
2025Diluted shares 130.2M
2026Diluted shares 128.1M
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
05.0B10.0B15.0B
2018Net debt 4.1B
2018
2019Net debt 3.9B
2020Net debt 7.8B
2021Net debt 5.9B
2022Net debt 10.9B
2023Net debt 12.1B
2024Net debt 9.2B
2025Net debt 7.0B
2026Net debt 7.7B
2018201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
1.4×
Interest coverage
13× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.26 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
74 days collects in 54d, stock 86d, pays in 66d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
5.07safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.05 × 6.56+0.34
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.79 × 3.26+2.59
Operating income ÷ assets 0.16 × 6.72+1.10
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.00 × 1.05+1.05
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.51below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.01+0.93
Gross margin slipping 0.98+0.52
Soft assets 0.98+0.40
Sales growth 1.08+0.97
Slower depreciation 1.03+0.12
Overheads vs sales 0.98-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.02-0.11
Leverage rising 0.97-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$408.49discounted at 8.1% a year · 61% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
14.3×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
11.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.8×
Free cash flow yield
7.1%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today23.5B
Everything after, today36.5B
The whole business60.0B
Minus net debt-7.7B
What belongs to shareholders52.3B
Divided among 128.1M shares: <strong>$408.49</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2018Reported 1.2B
2018
2019Reported 1.4B
2020Reported 1.7B
2021Reported 2.2B
2022Reported 2.1B
2023Reported 2.5B
2024Reported 2.8B
2025Reported 3.2B
2026Reported 3.7B
2027Projected 2.8B
2028Projected 3.0B
2029Projected 3.2B
2030Projected 3.4B
2031Projected 3.6B
2032Projected 3.8B
2033Projected 3.9B
2034Projected 4.1B
2035Projected 4.2B
2036Projected 4.3B
2018201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
23.3B
25.2B
27.0B
28.7B
30.4B
32.0B
33.4B
34.7B
35.8B
36.7B
Growth
8.5%
7.8%
7.2%
6.5%
5.8%
5.2%
4.5%
3.8%
3.2%
2.5%
Cash margin
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
11.8%
Free cash flow
2.8B
3.0B
3.2B
3.4B
3.6B
3.8B
3.9B
4.1B
4.2B
4.3B
Worth today
2.5B
2.5B
2.5B
2.5B
2.4B
2.4B
2.3B
2.2B
2.1B
2.0B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
7.1%
424
465
513
574
651
7.6%
383
416
456
503
563
8.1%
349
376
408
447
494
8.6%
318
342
369
400
438
9.1%
293
312
335
361
393
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
12.5%
9.4%
272
301
332
365
401
10.6%
304
336
370
407
447
11.8%
336
371
408
449
492
13.0%
368
406
447
491
538
14.2%
400
441
485
533
584
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$278.39
Median$408.64
90th percentile$624.21
$400.00$600.00$800.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$333.55</b> and <b>$506.58</b>; one in ten below $278.39, one in ten above $624.21.
Does the long run make sense?
8.6×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 8.6 times that year's EBITDA.
7%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 37% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 7% on the new capital — it has earned 15% on average over the last five years.
61%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.