OSIS · Technology(semiconductors & related devices) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30
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OSI Systems Inc reported revenue of $1.8 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 7.1% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 3.5% in 2017 to 12.3%, and it earned 9.6% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $1.0 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 70.1% went to buybacks and 44.0% to acquisitions; the share count fell 12.2%. On the accounting screens, it passes 4 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 5.11 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20261.8B+7.1% a year over 9 years
Operating margin12.3%gross margin 33.2%
Return on invested capital9.6%12.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay218.9M12.3% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.5×net debt 641.2M
Piotroski F-score4/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
00.5B1.0B1.5B2.0B
2017Revenue 961.0MOperating income 33.3M
2018Revenue 1.1BOperating income 55.9M
2019Revenue 1.2BOperating income 107.8M
2020Revenue 1.2BOperating income 104.9M
2021Revenue 1.1BOperating income 115.4M
2022Revenue 1.2BOperating income 121.7M
2023Revenue 1.3BOperating income 135.3M
2024Revenue 1.5BOperating income 189.1M
2025Revenue 1.7BOperating income 217.5M
2026Revenue 1.8BOperating income 219.0M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+11.8%
+9.3%
+7.1%
Operating income
+17.4%
+13.7%
+23.3%
Net income
+19.0%
+15.9%
+24.8%
Earnings per share
+18.8%
+17.3%
+26.6%
Free cash flow per share
+45.6%
+16.4%
+22.3%
Shares
+0.2%
-1.2%
-1.4%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 6.9%
-10%0%10%20%
2017Return on invested capital 3.4%
2018Return on invested capital -6.0%
2019Return on invested capital 10.0%
2020Return on invested capital 10.9%
2021Return on invested capital 9.4%
2022Return on invested capital 10.8%
2023Return on invested capital 12.4%
2024Return on invested capital 15.0%
2025Return on invested capital 12.3%
2026Return on invested capital 9.6%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
-100M-50M050M100M
2017Economic profit -29.3M
2018Economic profit -95.6M
2019Economic profit 24.8M
2020Economic profit 33.3M
2021Economic profit 22.9M
2022Economic profit 35.5M
2023Economic profit 47.3M
2024Economic profit 80.8M
2025Economic profit 76.1M
2026Economic profit 48.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
18.6%
Return on assets
6.2%
Asset turnover
0.71×
Research & development
4.4% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
15.6% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200M-100M0100M200M300M
2017Net income 21.1MFree cash flow 45.7MAfter stock-based pay 19.6M
2018Net income -29.1MFree cash flow 89.9MAfter stock-based pay 66.1M
2019Net income 64.8MFree cash flow 91.7MAfter stock-based pay 66.4M
2020Net income 75.3MFree cash flow 108.1MAfter stock-based pay 84.3M
2021Net income 74.0MFree cash flow 122.2MAfter stock-based pay 95.4M
2022Net income 115.3MFree cash flow 48.9MAfter stock-based pay 20.8M
2023Net income 91.8MFree cash flow 79.0MAfter stock-based pay 49.9M
2024Net income 128.2MFree cash flow -109.6MAfter stock-based pay -138.3M
2025Net income 149.6MFree cash flow 73.8MAfter stock-based pay 41.8M
2026Net income 154.7MFree cash flow 245.3MAfter stock-based pay 218.9M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
1.0B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 23%232.9M
Acquisitions 44%452.2M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 70%720.4M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -37%-377.6M
Over the same years it paid 270.1M in stock. The share count fell 12.2%. 450.3M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$10$0$10$20
2017Earnings per share $1.07Free cash flow per share $2.32
2018Earnings per share $-1.57Free cash flow per share $4.84
2019Earnings per share $3.46Free cash flow per share $4.90
2020Earnings per share $4.05Free cash flow per share $5.81
2021Earnings per share $4.03Free cash flow per share $6.64
2022Earnings per share $6.45Free cash flow per share $2.74
2023Earnings per share $5.34Free cash flow per share $4.60
2024Earnings per share $7.38Free cash flow per share $-6.32
2025Earnings per share $8.71Free cash flow per share $4.29
2026Earnings per share $8.95Free cash flow per share $14.20
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
17M18M19M20M
2017Diluted shares 19.7M
2018Diluted shares 18.6M
2019Diluted shares 18.7M
2020Diluted shares 18.6M
2021Diluted shares 18.4M
2022Diluted shares 17.9M
2023Diluted shares 17.2M
2024Diluted shares 17.4M
2025Diluted shares 17.2M
2026Diluted shares 17.3M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
0200M400M600M800M
2017Net debt 74.5M
2018Net debt 166.4M
2019Net debt 162.2M
2020Net debt 191.9M
2021Net debt 196.7M
2022Net debt 229.0M
2023Net debt 67.8M
2024Net debt 42.2M
2025Net debt 365.2M
2026Net debt 641.2M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.5×
Interest coverage
8× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.15 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
232 days collects in 156d, stock 127d, pays in 52d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
4of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
5.11safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.44 × 6.56+2.89
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.34 × 3.26+1.11
Operating income ÷ assets 0.09 × 6.72+0.59
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.50 × 1.05+0.52
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.81below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.88+0.81
Gross margin slipping 1.03+0.54
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 1.04+0.12
Overheads vs sales 0.92-0.16
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.23
Leverage rising 1.17-0.38
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$-15.10discounted at 6.9% a year · 68% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
-1.7×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
1.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.2×
Free cash flow yield
—
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today123.5M
Everything after, today256.9M
The whole business380.3M
Minus net debt-641.2M
What belongs to shareholders-260.9M
Divided among 17.3M shares: <strong>$-15.10</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-200M-100M0100M200M300M
2017Reported 19.6M
2018Reported 66.1M
2019Reported 66.4M
2020Reported 84.3M
2021Reported 95.4M
2022Reported 20.8M
2023Reported 49.9M
2024Reported -138.3M
2025Reported 41.8M
2026Reported 218.9M
2027Projected 13.4M
2028Projected 14.5M
2029Projected 15.7M
2030Projected 16.8M
2031Projected 17.9M
2032Projected 18.9M
2033Projected 19.8M
2034Projected 20.6M
2035Projected 21.3M
2036Projected 21.8M
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
2.0B
2.1B
2.3B
2.5B
2.6B
2.8B
2.9B
3.0B
3.1B
3.2B
Growth
9.5%
8.7%
7.9%
7.2%
6.4%
5.6%
4.8%
4.1%
3.3%
2.5%
Cash margin
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
Free cash flow
13.4M
14.5M
15.7M
16.8M
17.9M
18.9M
19.8M
20.6M
21.3M
21.8M
Worth today
12.5M
12.7M
12.8M
12.9M
12.8M
12.6M
12.4M
12.0M
11.6M
11.1M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
5.9%
-14
-12
-9
-4
2
6.5%
-17
-15
-12
-9
-5
6.9%
-19
-17
-15
-13
-10
7.4%
-20
-19
-17
-15
-13
8.0%
-22
-21
-19
-18
-16
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
5.5%
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
0.5%
-22
-20
-19
-17
-15
0.6%
-20
-18
-17
-15
-13
0.7%
-19
-17
-15
-13
-11
0.8%
-17
-15
-13
-11
-9
0.8%
-15
-13
-11
-9
-7
All the inputs moving at once
4,991 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$-87.11
Median$-14.53
90th percentile$63.46
$-100.00$0.00$100.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$-50.69</b> and <b>$23.85</b>; one in ten below $-87.11, one in ten above $63.46.
Does the long run make sense?
1.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 1.1 times that year's EBITDA.
3%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 93% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 3% on the new capital — it has earned 12% on average over the last five years.
68%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.