OPCH · Health care(services-home health care services) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Option Care Health, Inc. reported revenue of $5.6 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 13.4% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 1.5% in 2017 to 6.0%, and it earned 10.0% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $1.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 61.1% went to acquisitions and 49.0% to buybacks; the share count rose 28.0%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.97 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20255.6B+13.4% a year over 9 years
Operating margin6.0%gross margin 19.3%
Return on invested capital10.0%8.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay177.2M3.1% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA2.3×net debt 928.2M
Piotroski F-score5/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-2B02B4B6B
2017Revenue 1.8BOperating income 27.3M
2018
2018Revenue 1.9BOperating income 38.3M
2019Revenue 2.3BOperating income -319,000
2020Revenue 3.0BOperating income 110.8M
2021Revenue 3.4BOperating income 190.8M
2022Revenue 3.9BOperating income 240.2M
2023Revenue 4.3BOperating income 314.6M
2024Revenue 5.0BOperating income 321.8M
2025Revenue 5.6BOperating income 337.9M
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+13.4%
+13.3%
+13.4%
Operating income
+12.0%
+25.0%
+32.3%
Net income
+11.3%
—
+55.6%
Earnings per share
+15.4%
—
+51.4%
Free cash flow per share
+1.4%
+19.1%
+33.1%
Shares
-3.5%
-2.0%
+2.8%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 7.3%
-2.5%0.0%2.5%5.0%7.5%10.0%
2017Return on invested capital 3.1%
2018
2018Return on invested capital 3.5%
2019Return on invested capital -0.0%
2020Return on invested capital 8.0%
2021Return on invested capital 6.8%
2022Return on invested capital 7.2%
2023Return on invested capital 9.4%
2024Return on invested capital 9.6%
2025Return on invested capital 10.0%
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-200M-100M0100M
2017Economic profit -45.8M
2018
2018Economic profit -42.6M
2019Economic profit -159.5M
2020Economic profit 15.3M
2021Economic profit -10.1M
2022Economic profit -2.0M
2023Economic profit 54.0M
2024Economic profit 57.9M
2025Economic profit 67.5M
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
15.7%
Return on assets
6.0%
Asset turnover
1.63×
Overheads (SG&A)
12.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-200M0200M400M
2017Net income 3.9MFree cash flow 12.9MAfter stock-based pay 11.5M
2018
2018Net income -6.1MFree cash flow -1.8MAfter stock-based pay -4.0M
2019Net income -75.9MFree cash flow 11.2MAfter stock-based pay 7.0M
2020Net income -8.1MFree cash flow 100.5MAfter stock-based pay 97.6M
2021Net income 139.9MFree cash flow 182.9MAfter stock-based pay 173.4M
2022Net income 150.6MFree cash flow 232.2MAfter stock-based pay 215.4M
2023Net income 267.1MFree cash flow 329.4MAfter stock-based pay 298.9M
2024Net income 211.8MFree cash flow 287.8MAfter stock-based pay 251.6M
2025Net income 207.6MFree cash flow 217.1MAfter stock-based pay 177.2M
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2025
1.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 17%286.2M
Acquisitions 61%1.0B
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 49%812.9M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -27%-454.6M
Over the same years it paid 143.6M in stock. The share count rose 28.0%. 669.3M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$1$0$1$2
2017Earnings per share $0.03Free cash flow per share $0.10
2018
2018Earnings per share $-0.04Free cash flow per share $-0.01
2019Earnings per share $-0.49Free cash flow per share $0.07
2020Earnings per share $-0.04Free cash flow per share $0.56
2021Earnings per share $0.77Free cash flow per share $1.01
2022Earnings per share $0.83Free cash flow per share $1.28
2023Earnings per share $1.48Free cash flow per share $1.83
2024Earnings per share $1.23Free cash flow per share $1.66
2025Earnings per share $1.27Free cash flow per share $1.33
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
120M140M160M180M200M
2017Diluted shares 127.6M
2018
2018Diluted shares 142.6M
2019Diluted shares 156.3M
2020Diluted shares 181.0M
2021Diluted shares 181.2M
2022Diluted shares 182.1M
2023Diluted shares 180.4M
2024Diluted shares 172.8M
2025Diluted shares 163.4M
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
00.5B1.0B1.5B
2017Net debt 465.1M
2018
2018Net debt 503.0M
2019Net debt 1.2B
2020Net debt 1.0B
2021Net debt 946.5M
2022Net debt 770.0M
2023Net debt 718.8M
2024Net debt 698.6M
2025Net debt 928.2M
2017201820182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
2.3×
Interest coverage
6× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.53 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
17 days collects in 31d, stock 38d, pays in 51d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.97safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.13 × 6.56+0.83
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.25 × 3.26+0.83
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.66
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.62 × 1.05+0.65
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.38below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.02+0.94
Gross margin slipping 1.05+0.56
Soft assets 1.03+0.42
Sales growth 1.13+1.01
Slower depreciation 0.99+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.96-0.16
Profit not in cash -0.01-0.07
Leverage rising 1.04-0.34
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (41M) is well below depreciation (68M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$42.24discounted at 7.3% a year · 67% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
33.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
19.3×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.4×
Free cash flow yield
2.6%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today2.6B
Everything after, today5.2B
The whole business7.8B
Minus net debt-928.2M
What belongs to shareholders6.9B
Divided among 163.4M shares: <strong>$42.24</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-200M0200M400M600M
2017Reported 11.5M
2018
2018Reported -4.0M
2019Reported 7.0M
2020Reported 97.6M
2021Reported 173.4M
2022Reported 215.4M
2023Reported 298.9M
2024Reported 251.6M
2025Reported 177.2M
2026Projected 258.6M
2027Projected 290.4M
2028Projected 322.5M
2029Projected 354.2M
2030Projected 384.7M
2031Projected 413.1M
2032Projected 438.6M
2033Projected 460.3M
2034Projected 477.4M
2035Projected 489.4M
2017201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.4B
7.2B
8.0B
8.8B
9.5B
10.2B
10.9B
11.4B
11.8B
12.1B
Growth
13.5%
12.3%
11.1%
9.8%
8.6%
7.4%
6.2%
4.9%
3.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
Free cash flow
258.6M
290.4M
322.5M
354.2M
384.7M
413.1M
438.6M
460.3M
477.4M
489.4M
Worth today
241.1M
252.4M
261.4M
267.7M
271.0M
271.4M
268.6M
262.8M
254.2M
242.9M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
6.3%
44
49
56
64
75
6.8%
39
43
48
54
63
7.3%
35
38
42
47
53
7.8%
31
34
37
41
46
8.3%
29
31
34
37
41
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
15.5%
17.5%
3.2%
28
31
34
37
41
3.6%
31
35
38
42
46
4.0%
35
38
42
46
51
4.4%
38
42
46
51
56
4.8%
42
46
50
55
60
All the inputs moving at once
4,997 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$15.77
Median$42.04
90th percentile$81.66
$0.00$50.00$100.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$27.49</b> and <b>$59.83</b>; one in ten below $15.77, one in ten above $81.66.
Does the long run make sense?
12.1×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 12.1 times that year's EBITDA.
31%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 8% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 31% on the new capital — it has earned 9% on average over the last five years.
67%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.