NTAP · Technology(computer storage devices) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-04-24
NetApp, Inc. reported revenue of $6.9 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 1.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 19.6% in 2018 to 24.2%, and it earned 33.8% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $12.8 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 69.5% went to buybacks and 28.3% to dividends; the share count fell 27.2%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.32 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20266.9B+1.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin24.2%gross margin 70.7%
Return on invested capital33.8%27.8% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.5B21.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.2×net debt 417.0M
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2018Revenue 5.9BOperating income 1.2B
2019Revenue 6.1BOperating income 1.2B
2020Revenue 5.4BOperating income 945.0M
2020
2021Revenue 5.7BOperating income 1.0B
2022Revenue 6.3BOperating income 1.2B
2023Revenue 6.4BOperating income 1.0B
2024Revenue 6.3BOperating income 1.2B
2025Revenue 6.6BOperating income 1.3B
2026Revenue 6.9BOperating income 1.7B
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+2.9%
+3.8%
+1.8%
Operating income
+18.0%
+10.2%
+4.2%
Net income
+0.1%
+11.8%
+30.5%
Earnings per share
+3.1%
+14.5%
+35.2%
Free cash flow per share
+33.1%
+12.4%
+7.5%
Dividend per share
+1.5%
+1.7%
+11.4%
Shares
-3.0%
-2.3%
-3.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 6.2%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%
2018Return on invested capital 2.9%
2019Return on invested capital 42.7%
2020Return on invested capital 59.1%
2020
2021Return on invested capital 23.6%
2022Return on invested capital 28.5%
2023Return on invested capital 23.1%
2024Return on invested capital 26.8%
2025Return on invested capital 26.8%
2026Return on invested capital 33.8%
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
-500.0M0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2018Economic profit -123.9M
2019Economic profit 962.8M
2020Economic profit 734.1M
2020
2021Economic profit 577.3M
2022Economic profit 775.3M
2023Economic profit 600.0M
2024Economic profit 729.0M
2025Economic profit 882.3M
2026Economic profit 1.1B
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
94.4%
Return on assets
11.9%
Asset turnover
0.64×
Research & development
14.3% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
5.0% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2018Net income 116.0MFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2019Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 1.2BAfter stock-based pay 1.0B
2020Net income 819.0MFree cash flow 936.0MAfter stock-based pay 783.0M
2020
2021Net income 730.0MFree cash flow 1.2BAfter stock-based pay 974.0M
2022Net income 937.0MFree cash flow 985.0MAfter stock-based pay 740.0M
2023Net income 1.3BFree cash flow 868.0MAfter stock-based pay 556.0M
2024Net income 986.0MFree cash flow 1.5BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2025Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 952.0M
2026Net income 1.3BFree cash flow 1.9BAfter stock-based pay 1.5B
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2018–2026
12.8B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 12%1.6B
Acquisitions 11%1.4B
Dividends 28%3.6B
Share buybacks 70%8.9B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -21%-2.7B
Over the same years it paid 2.4B in stock. The share count fell 27.2%. 6.5B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$2.50$5.00$7.50$10.00
2018Earnings per share $0.42Free cash flow per share $4.83Dividend per share $0.78
2019Earnings per share $4.51Free cash flow per share $4.51Dividend per share $1.56
2020Earnings per share $3.52Free cash flow per share $4.02Dividend per share $1.88
2020
2021Earnings per share $3.23Free cash flow per share $5.18Dividend per share $1.89
2022Earnings per share $4.09Free cash flow per share $4.30Dividend per share $1.95
2023Earnings per share $5.79Free cash flow per share $3.95Dividend per share $1.96
2024Earnings per share $4.63Free cash flow per share $7.18Dividend per share $1.95
2025Earnings per share $5.67Free cash flow per share $6.40Dividend per share $2.03
2026Earnings per share $6.35Free cash flow per share $9.30Dividend per share $2.05
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
200.0M220.0M240.0M260.0M280.0M
2018Diluted shares 276.0M
2019Diluted shares 259.0M
2020Diluted shares 233.0M
2020
2021Diluted shares 226.0M
2022Diluted shares 229.0M
2023Diluted shares 220.0M
2024Diluted shares 213.0M
2025Diluted shares 209.0M
2026Diluted shares 201.0M
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-2.0B-1.0B01.0B
2018Net debt -1.4B
2019Net debt -781.0M
2020Net debt -1.5B
2020
2021Net debt -1.9B
2022Net debt -1.5B
2023Net debt 73.0M
2024Net debt 489.0M
2025Net debt 493.0M
2026Net debt 417.0M
2018201920202020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.2×
Interest coverage
15× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.44 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
4 days collects in 68d, stock 36d, pays in 99d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.32grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.16 × 6.56+1.07
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.01 × 3.26+0.05
Operating income ÷ assets 0.16 × 6.72+1.05
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.14 × 1.05+0.15
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.77below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.98+0.90
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 1.00+0.40
Sales growth 1.05+0.94
Slower depreciation 1.11+0.13
Overheads vs sales 1.05-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.07-0.34
Leverage rising 0.92-0.30
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$109.19discounted at 6.2% a year · 71% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
17.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
12.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
3.2×
Free cash flow yield
6.8%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today6.6B
Everything after, today15.8B
The whole business22.4B
Minus net debt-417.0M
What belongs to shareholders21.9B
Divided among 201.0M shares: <strong>$109.19</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2018Reported 1.2B
2019Reported 1.0B
2020Reported 783.0M
2020
2021Reported 974.0M
2022Reported 740.0M
2023Reported 556.0M
2024Reported 1.2B
2025Reported 952.0M
2026Reported 1.5B
2027Projected 781.8M
2028Projected 811.7M
2029Projected 841.5M
2030Projected 870.9M
2031Projected 900.0M
2032Projected 928.5M
2033Projected 956.3M
2034Projected 983.4M
2035Projected 1.0B
2036Projected 1.0B
2018202020212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
7.2B
7.5B
7.8B
8.0B
8.3B
8.6B
8.8B
9.1B
9.3B
9.5B
Growth
4.0%
3.8%
3.7%
3.5%
3.3%
3.2%
3.0%
2.8%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
10.9%
Free cash flow
781.8M
811.7M
841.5M
870.9M
900.0M
928.5M
956.3M
983.4M
1.0B
1.0B
Worth today
736.2M
720.0M
702.9M
685.1M
666.8M
647.8M
628.4M
608.6M
588.4M
568.0M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
5.2%
113
129
151
183
234
5.7%
99
111
127
148
180
6.2%
88
98
109
125
146
6.7%
80
87
96
107
122
7.2%
72
78
85
94
105
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
8.7%
75
82
90
98
107
9.8%
83
91
100
109
119
10.9%
91
100
109
119
130
11.9%
99
108
119
130
142
13.0%
107
117
128
141
154
All the inputs moving at once
4,948 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$71.51
Median$108.68
90th percentile$184.92
$100.00$200.00$300.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$86.85</b> and <b>$141.60</b>; one in ten below $71.51, one in ten above $184.92.
Does the long run make sense?
11.3×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 11.3 times that year's EBITDA.
6%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 42% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 6% on the new capital — it has earned 28% on average over the last five years.
71%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.