EXEL · Health care(biological products, (no diagnostic substances)) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-01-02
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Exelixis, Inc. reported revenue of $2.3 billion in fiscal 2026. Of the $3.8 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 56.1% went to buybacks and 6.2% back into the business. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 7.69 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20262.3B
Operating margin37.6%gross margin 96.4%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow after stock pay762.9M32.9% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score6/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01B2B3B
2017
2017
2018Revenue 853.8MOperating income 438.9M
2020Revenue 967.8MOperating income 369.5M
2021Revenue 987.5MOperating income 110.1M
2021Revenue 1.4BOperating income 286.7M
2022Revenue 1.6BOperating income 201.5M
2023Revenue 1.8BOperating income 170.9M
2025Revenue 2.2BOperating income 604.6M
2026Revenue 2.3BOperating income 872.2M
2017201720182020202120212022202320252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+12.9%
+18.6%
—
Operating income
+63.0%
+51.3%
—
Net income
+62.5%
+47.6%
—
Earnings per share
+70.4%
+51.2%
—
Free cash flow per share
+44.4%
+40.8%
—
Shares
-4.6%
-2.4%
—
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
36.2%
Return on assets
27.5%
Asset turnover
0.82×
Research & development
35.6% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
22.4% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
00.25B0.50B0.75B1.00B
2017
2017
2018Net income 690.1MFree cash flow 382.4MAfter stock-based pay 341.8M
2020Net income 321.0MFree cash flow 514.1MAfter stock-based pay 457.5M
2021Net income 111.8MFree cash flow 178.6MAfter stock-based pay 73.6M
2021Net income 231.1MFree cash flow 346.6MAfter stock-based pay 226.8M
2022Net income 182.3MFree cash flow 334.9MAfter stock-based pay 227.3M
2023Net income 207.8MFree cash flow 292.9MAfter stock-based pay 186.5M
2025Net income 521.3MFree cash flow 671.5MAfter stock-based pay 577.7M
2026Net income 782.6MFree cash flow 875.8MAfter stock-based pay 762.9M
2017201720182020202120212022202320252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
3.8B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 6%235.7M
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 56%2.1B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 38%1.4B
Over the same years it paid 742.9M in stock. 1.4B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0$1$2$3$4
2017
2017
2018Earnings per share $2.21Free cash flow per share $1.22
2020Earnings per share $1.02Free cash flow per share $1.63
2021Earnings per share $0.35Free cash flow per share $0.56
2021Earnings per share $0.72Free cash flow per share $1.08
2022Earnings per share $0.56Free cash flow per share $1.03
2023Earnings per share $0.65Free cash flow per share $0.91
2025Earnings per share $1.76Free cash flow per share $2.27
2026Earnings per share $2.78Free cash flow per share $3.11
2017201720182020202120212022202320252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
280M300M320M340M
2017
2017
2018Diluted shares 312.8M
2020Diluted shares 315.0M
2021Diluted shares 318.0M
2021Diluted shares 322.4M
2022Diluted shares 324.6M
2023Diluted shares 321.5M
2025Diluted shares 296.1M
2026Diluted shares 281.9M
2017201720182020202120212022202320252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.56 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
11 days collects in 45d, stock 95d, pays in 129d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
7.69safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.36 × 6.56+2.39
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.03 × 3.26-0.09
Operating income ÷ assets 0.31 × 6.72+2.06
Equity ÷ liabilities 3.16 × 1.05+3.32
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.61below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.01+0.93
Gross margin slipping 1.00+0.53
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.07+0.95
Slower depreciation 0.86+0.10
Overheads vs sales 0.99-0.17
Profit not in cash -0.04-0.17
Leverage rising 1.04-0.34
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (8M) is well below depreciation (29M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
The SEC accounts lack the lines needed for revenue, free cash flow or the share count, so there is no DCF for this company.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$1.2M3 sale(s) by 3 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.