DIOD · Technology(semiconductors & related devices) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Diodes Inc reported revenue of $1.5 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 5.2% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 4.0% in 2016 to 2.4%, and it earned 1.5% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $2.3 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 48.2% went back into the business and 15.8% to buybacks; the share count fell 6.8%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20251.5B+5.2% a year over 9 years
Operating margin2.4%gross margin 31.2%
Return on invested capital1.5%10.0% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay111.4M7.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash340.1M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
01.0B2.0B3.0B
2016Revenue 942.2MOperating income 38.0M
2017Revenue 1.1BOperating income 79.4M
2018Revenue 1.2BOperating income 154.5M
2019Revenue 1.2BOperating income 200.6M
2020Revenue 1.2BOperating income 134.3M
2021Revenue 1.8BOperating income 276.0M
2022Revenue 2.0BOperating income 408.2M
2023Revenue 1.7BOperating income 250.6M
2024Revenue 1.3BOperating income 50.5M
2025Revenue 1.5BOperating income 35.5M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-9.5%
+3.8%
+5.2%
Operating income
-55.7%
-23.4%
-0.8%
Net income
-41.6%
-7.6%
+17.1%
Earnings per share
-41.7%
-5.4%
+18.1%
Free cash flow per share
-9.0%
+6.7%
+9.3%
Shares
+0.3%
-2.3%
-0.8%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.1%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2016Return on invested capital 2.3%
2017Return on invested capital 0.0%
2018Return on invested capital 9.2%
2019Return on invested capital 12.6%
2020Return on invested capital 8.5%
2021Return on invested capital 13.4%
2022Return on invested capital 21.0%
2023Return on invested capital 11.8%
2024Return on invested capital 2.3%
2025Return on invested capital 1.5%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-200.0M-100.0M0100.0M200.0M
2016Economic profit -95.8M
2017Economic profit -113.5M
2018Economic profit -10.6M
2019Economic profit 30.3M
2020Economic profit -20.9M
2021Economic profit 50.8M
2022Economic profit 180.8M
2023Economic profit 28.7M
2024Economic profit -143.4M
2025Economic profit -164.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
3.5%
Return on assets
2.7%
Asset turnover
0.61×
Research & development
10.9% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
16.3% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-100.0M0100.0M200.0M300.0M400.0M
2016Net income 15.9MFree cash flow 66.2MAfter stock-based pay 52.2M
2017Net income -1.8MFree cash flow 70.0MAfter stock-based pay 51.4M
2018Net income 104.0MFree cash flow 98.1MAfter stock-based pay 77.3M
2019Net income 153.2MFree cash flow 131.3MAfter stock-based pay 110.7M
2020Net income 98.1MFree cash flow 111.4MAfter stock-based pay 86.1M
2021Net income 228.8MFree cash flow 197.3MAfter stock-based pay 164.1M
2022Net income 331.3MFree cash flow 180.8MAfter stock-based pay 144.5M
2023Net income 227.2MFree cash flow 130.1MAfter stock-based pay 99.2M
2024Net income 44.0MFree cash flow 46.4MAfter stock-based pay 23.6M
2025Net income 66.1MFree cash flow 137.2MAfter stock-based pay 111.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
2.3B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 48%1.1B
Acquisitions 9%203.8M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 16%357.3M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 27%607.7M
Over the same years it paid 248.1M in stock. The share count fell 6.8%. 109.2M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00
2016Earnings per share $0.32Free cash flow per share $1.33
2017Earnings per share $-0.04Free cash flow per share $1.43
2018Earnings per share $2.04Free cash flow per share $1.93
2019Earnings per share $2.96Free cash flow per share $2.53
2020Earnings per share $1.88Free cash flow per share $2.14
2021Earnings per share $5.00Free cash flow per share $4.31
2022Earnings per share $7.20Free cash flow per share $3.93
2023Earnings per share $4.91Free cash flow per share $2.81
2024Earnings per share $0.95Free cash flow per share $1.00
2025Earnings per share $1.43Free cash flow per share $2.95
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
44.0M46.0M48.0M50.0M52.0M54.0M
2016Diluted shares 49.8M
2017Diluted shares 48.8M
2018Diluted shares 50.9M
2019Diluted shares 51.9M
2020Diluted shares 52.1M
2021Diluted shares 45.8M
2022Diluted shares 46.0M
2023Diluted shares 46.3M
2024Diluted shares 46.4M
2025Diluted shares 46.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-400.0M-200.0M0200.0M
2016Net debt 196.4M
2017Net debt 86.9M
2018Net debt 1.8M
2019Net debt -126.6M
2020Net debt 66.0M
2021Net debt -61.3M
2022Net debt -184.7M
2023Net debt -289.6M
2024Net debt -286.9M
2025Net debt -340.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-2.2×
Interest coverage
13× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.32 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
191 days collects in 76d, stock 169d, pays in 53d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
The accounts lack a line it needs (retained earnings, current assets or liabilities).
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.71below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.83+0.77
Gross margin slipping 1.07+0.56
Soft assets 1.10+0.45
Sales growth 1.13+1.01
Slower depreciation 0.95+0.11
Overheads vs sales 0.91-0.16
Profit not in cash -0.06-0.29
Leverage rising 0.99-0.32
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (78M) is well below depreciation (122M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$27.81discounted at 10.1% a year · 49% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
19.5×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
6.1×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
0.6×
Free cash flow yield
8.6%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today482.2M
Everything after, today468.6M
The whole business950.8M
Plus net cash340.1M
What belongs to shareholders1.3B
Divided among 46.4M shares: <strong>$27.81</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
050.0M100.0M150.0M200.0M
2016Reported 52.2M
2017Reported 51.4M
2018Reported 77.3M
2019Reported 110.7M
2020Reported 86.1M
2021Reported 164.1M
2022Reported 144.5M
2023Reported 99.2M
2024Reported 23.6M
2025Reported 111.4M
2026Projected 69.4M
2027Projected 72.0M
2028Projected 74.7M
2029Projected 77.3M
2030Projected 79.9M
2031Projected 82.4M
2032Projected 84.9M
2033Projected 87.3M
2034Projected 89.6M
2035Projected 91.9M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
1.5B
1.6B
1.7B
1.7B
1.8B
1.8B
1.9B
1.9B
2.0B
2.0B
Growth
4.0%
3.8%
3.7%
3.5%
3.3%
3.2%
3.0%
2.8%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
Free cash flow
69.4M
72.0M
74.7M
77.3M
79.9M
82.4M
84.9M
87.3M
89.6M
91.9M
Worth today
63.0M
59.4M
55.9M
52.5M
49.3M
46.2M
43.2M
40.3M
37.6M
34.9M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
28
30
31
32
34
9.7%
27
28
29
31
32
10.1%
26
27
28
29
30
10.7%
25
26
27
27
29
11.2%
24
25
25
26
27
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
3.6%
22
23
25
26
28
4.0%
23
25
26
28
30
4.5%
25
26
28
30
31
5.0%
26
28
29
31
33
5.4%
27
29
31
33
35
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$18.93
Median$27.82
90th percentile$39.21
$20.00$30.00$40.00$50.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$22.89</b> and <b>$33.30</b>; one in ten below $18.93, one in ten above $39.21.
Does the long run make sense?
5.7×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 5.7 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
49%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 10.24% × (1 − 17.6%) = <strong>8.44%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.15%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$2.6M5 sale(s) by 4 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans0%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.