DAKT · Other(miscellaneous manufacturing industries) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-05-02
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Daktronics Inc reported revenue of $838.7 million in fiscal 2026, after growing 4.1% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 2.6% in 2017 to 7.3%, and it earned 15.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $374.5 million its operations generated over 10 years, 44.6% went back into the business and 17.5% to buybacks; the share count rose 11.5%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 6.01 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2026838.7M+4.1% a year over 9 years
Operating margin7.3%gross margin 27.3%
Return on invested capital15.2%14.9% on average over 4 years
Free cash flow after stock pay29.4M3.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash120.9M more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-0.25B00.25B0.50B0.75B1.00B
2017Revenue 586.5MOperating income 15.4M
2018Revenue 610.5MOperating income 12.5M
2019Revenue 569.7MOperating income -4.7M
2020Revenue 608.9MOperating income -167,000
2021Revenue 482.0MOperating income 17.1M
2022Revenue 611.0MOperating income 4.0M
2023Revenue 754.2MOperating income 21.4M
2024Revenue 818.1MOperating income 87.1M
2025Revenue 756.5MOperating income 33.1M
2026Revenue 838.7MOperating income 60.8M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+3.6%
+11.7%
+4.1%
Operating income
+41.7%
+28.9%
+16.5%
Net income
+88.2%
+32.9%
+17.9%
Earnings per share
+83.2%
+30.6%
+16.4%
Free cash flow per share
—
-11.6%
-0.0%
Shares
+2.8%
+1.8%
+1.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
0%10%20%30%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023Return on invested capital 5.0%
2024Return on invested capital 19.0%
2025Return on invested capital 20.2%
2026Return on invested capital 15.2%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Economic profit
-20M-10M010M20M30M
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023Economic profit -11.4M
2024Economic profit 25.7M
2025Economic profit 28.2M
2026Economic profit 15.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
15.1%
Return on assets
8.2%
Asset turnover
1.51×
Research & development
5.2% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
7.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-50M050M100M
2017Net income 10.3MFree cash flow 30.9MAfter stock-based pay 28.0M
2018Net income 5.6MFree cash flow 12.2MAfter stock-based pay 9.6M
2019Net income -958,000Free cash flow 12.3MAfter stock-based pay 9.8M
2020Net income 491,000Free cash flow -7.3MAfter stock-based pay -9.5M
2021Net income 10.9MFree cash flow 58.3MAfter stock-based pay 56.3M
2022Net income 592,000Free cash flow -47.4MAfter stock-based pay -49.4M
2023Net income 6.8MFree cash flow -10.4MAfter stock-based pay -12.4M
2024Net income 34.6MFree cash flow 46.3MAfter stock-based pay 44.2M
2025Net income -10.1MFree cash flow 78.2MAfter stock-based pay 75.3M
2026Net income 45.4MFree cash flow 34.3MAfter stock-based pay 29.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
374.5M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 45%167.0M
Acquisitions 1%2.2M
Dividends 13%47.6M
Share buybacks 18%65.7M
Kept, or used to pay down debt 25%91.9M
Over the same years it paid 26.3M in stock. The share count rose 11.5%. 39.4M of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$2-$1$0$1$2
2017Earnings per share $0.23Free cash flow per share $0.70Dividend per share $0.31
2018Earnings per share $0.12Free cash flow per share $0.27Dividend per share $0.28
2019Earnings per share $-0.02Free cash flow per share $0.27Dividend per share $0.28
2020Earnings per share $0.01Free cash flow per share $-0.16Dividend per share $0.20
2021Earnings per share $0.24Free cash flow per share $1.29Dividend per share $0.00
2022Earnings per share $0.01Free cash flow per share $-1.05Dividend per share $0.00
2023Earnings per share $0.15Free cash flow per share $-0.23
2024Earnings per share $0.74Free cash flow per share $0.99
2025Earnings per share $-0.21Free cash flow per share $1.64
2026Earnings per share $0.92Free cash flow per share $0.69
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
44M46M48M50M
2017Diluted shares 44.3M
2018Diluted shares 44.9M
2019Diluted shares 44.9M
2020Diluted shares 45.3M
2021Diluted shares 45.2M
2022Diluted shares 45.3M
2023Diluted shares 45.5M
2024Diluted shares 46.5M
2025Diluted shares 47.6M
2026Diluted shares 49.4M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-150M-100M-50M0
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023Net debt -6.2M
2024Net debt -26.6M
2025Net debt -115.5M
2026Net debt -120.9M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-1.5×
Interest coverage
42× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.31 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
77 days collects in 52d, stock 66d, pays in 41d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
6.01safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.46 × 6.56+3.01
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.31 × 3.26+1.02
Operating income ÷ assets 0.11 × 6.72+0.74
Equity ÷ liabilities 1.19 × 1.05+1.24
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.37below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.15+1.06
Gross margin slipping 0.95+0.50
Soft assets 0.80+0.32
Sales growth 1.11+0.99
Slower depreciation 0.90+0.10
Overheads vs sales 0.85-0.15
Profit not in cash -0.01-0.03
Leverage rising 1.01-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Receivables are growing 28% against revenue growing 11%.
Benign
A shift towards larger customers on longer terms, or sales concentrated at the end of the period.
Worrying
Sales are being made on looser credit, or revenue has been booked that may never be collected.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$27.66discounted at 10.2% a year · 52% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
30.1×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
15.5×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.5×
Free cash flow yield
2.2%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today603.3M
Everything after, today642.0M
The whole business1.2B
Plus net cash120.9M
What belongs to shareholders1.4B
Divided among 49.4M shares: <strong>$27.66</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
-50M050M100M150M
2017Reported 28.0M
2018Reported 9.6M
2019Reported 9.8M
2020Reported -9.5M
2021Reported 56.3M
2022Reported -49.4M
2023Reported -12.4M
2024Reported 44.2M
2025Reported 75.3M
2026Reported 29.4M
2027Projected 73.1M
2028Projected 80.8M
2029Projected 88.5M
2030Projected 96.0M
2031Projected 103.2M
2032Projected 109.9M
2033Projected 116.0M
2034Projected 121.2M
2035Projected 125.4M
2036Projected 128.6M
2017201920212023202520272029203120332035
Year by year
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Revenue
935.2M
1.0B
1.1B
1.2B
1.3B
1.4B
1.5B
1.5B
1.6B
1.6B
Growth
11.5%
10.5%
9.5%
8.5%
7.5%
6.5%
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
2.5%
Cash margin
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
7.8%
Free cash flow
73.1M
80.8M
88.5M
96.0M
103.2M
109.9M
116.0M
121.2M
125.4M
128.6M
Worth today
66.3M
66.5M
66.0M
65.0M
63.4M
61.2M
58.6M
55.5M
52.2M
48.5M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
29
30
32
34
36
9.7%
27
28
30
31
33
10.2%
25
26
28
29
31
10.7%
24
25
26
27
29
11.2%
23
24
25
26
27
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
7.5%
9.5%
11.5%
13.5%
15.5%
6.3%
21
22
24
26
27
7.0%
22
24
26
28
30
7.8%
24
26
28
30
32
8.6%
26
28
30
32
34
9.4%
27
29
32
34
37
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$20.06
Median$27.70
90th percentile$38.01
$20.00$30.00$40.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$23.43</b> and <b>$32.66</b>; one in ten below $20.06, one in ten above $38.01.
Does the long run make sense?
10.8×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 10.8 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
52%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 13.24% × (1 − 22.2%) = <strong>10.30%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.24%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.