AVA · Utilities(electric & other services combined) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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Avista Corp reported revenue of $2.0 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 3.5% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 20.8% in 2016 to 18.0%, and it earned 10.2% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $3.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 123.9% went back into the business and 32.1% to dividends; the share count rose 26.8%. On the accounting screens, it passes 4 of 8 Piotroski tests and its Altman Z'' of 1.02 is in the distress zone; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20252.0B+3.5% a year over 9 years
Operating margin18.0%gross margin —
Return on invested capital10.2%7.6% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay-110.0M-5.6% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.6×net debt 369.0M
Piotroski F-score4/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
00.5B1.0B1.5B2.0B
2016Revenue 1.4BOperating income 299.9M
2017Revenue 1.4BOperating income 292.2M
2018Revenue 1.4BOperating income 261.1M
2019Revenue 1.3BOperating income 210.4M
2020Revenue 1.3BOperating income 232.7M
2021Revenue 1.4BOperating income 228.2M
2022Revenue 1.7BOperating income 190.0M
2023Revenue 1.8BOperating income 258.0M
2024Revenue 1.9BOperating income 306.0M
2025Revenue 2.0BOperating income 354.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+4.7%
+8.2%
+3.5%
Operating income
+23.1%
+8.8%
+1.9%
Net income
+7.6%
+8.3%
+3.9%
Earnings per share
+3.9%
+4.6%
+1.2%
Dividend per share
+3.6%
+3.9%
+4.1%
Shares
+3.5%
+3.5%
+2.7%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow
-20%-10%0%10%20%30%
2016Operating 20.8%Net 9.5%Free cash flow -3.4%
2017Operating 20.2%Net 8.0%Free cash flow -0.1%
2018Operating 18.7%Net 9.8%Free cash flow -4.5%
2019Operating 15.6%Net 14.6%Free cash flow -3.3%
2020Operating 17.6%Net 9.8%Free cash flow -5.5%
2021Operating 15.9%Net 10.2%Free cash flow -12.0%
2022Operating 11.1%Net 9.1%Free cash flow -19.2%
2023Operating 14.7%Net 9.8%Free cash flow -3.0%
2024Operating 15.8%Net 9.3%Free cash flow 0.1%
2025Operating 18.0%Net 9.8%Free cash flow -5.1%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Return on invested capital
Return on invested capital
0%5%10%15%
2016Return on invested capital 10.8%
2017Return on invested capital 9.3%
2018Return on invested capital 11.2%
2019Return on invested capital 4.7%
2020Return on invested capital 5.5%
2021Return on invested capital 4.9%
2022Return on invested capital 3.6%
2023Return on invested capital 7.8%
2024Return on invested capital 11.6%
2025Return on invested capital 10.2%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
7.1%
Return on assets
2.3%
Asset turnover
0.23×
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-400M-200M0200M
2016Net income 137.2MFree cash flow -48.4MAfter stock-based pay -56.3M
2017Net income 115.9MFree cash flow -2.0MAfter stock-based pay -9.4M
2018Net income 136.4MFree cash flow -62.5MAfter stock-based pay -67.8M
2019Net income 197.0MFree cash flow -44.3MAfter stock-based pay -55.7M
2020Net income 129.5MFree cash flow -73.3MAfter stock-based pay -79.1M
2021Net income 147.3MFree cash flow -172.6MAfter stock-based pay -177.3M
2022Net income 155.0MFree cash flow -328.0MAfter stock-based pay -337.0M
2023Net income 171.0MFree cash flow -52.0MAfter stock-based pay -60.0M
2024Net income 180.0MFree cash flow 1.0MAfter stock-based pay -8.0M
2025Net income 193.0MFree cash flow -101.0MAfter stock-based pay -110.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
3.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 124%4.6B
Acquisitions 0%0
Dividends 32%1.2B
Share buybacks 0%0
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -56%-2.1B
Over the same years it paid 77.5M in stock. The share count rose 26.8%.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
-$6-$4-$2$0$2$4
2016Earnings per share $2.15Free cash flow per share $-0.76Dividend per share $1.36
2017Earnings per share $1.79Free cash flow per share $-0.03Dividend per share $1.43
2018Earnings per share $2.07Free cash flow per share $-0.95Dividend per share $1.49
2019Earnings per share $2.97Free cash flow per share $-0.67Dividend per share $1.55
2020Earnings per share $1.90Free cash flow per share $-1.08Dividend per share $1.62
2021Earnings per share $2.10Free cash flow per share $-2.46Dividend per share $1.69
2022Earnings per share $2.12Free cash flow per share $-4.49Dividend per share $1.76
2023Earnings per share $2.24Free cash flow per share $-0.68Dividend per share $1.84
2024Earnings per share $2.28Free cash flow per share $0.01Dividend per share $1.90
2025Earnings per share $2.38Free cash flow per share $-1.25Dividend per share $1.96
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
60M65M70M75M80M85M
2016Diluted shares 63.9M
2017Diluted shares 64.8M
2018Diluted shares 65.9M
2019Diluted shares 66.3M
2020Diluted shares 68.1M
2021Diluted shares 70.1M
2022Diluted shares 73.1M
2023Diluted shares 76.5M
2024Diluted shares 78.8M
2025Diluted shares 81.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Debt and liquidity
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-1B01B2B3B
2016Net debt 111.5M
2017Net debt 89.2M
2018Net debt 175.3M
2019Net debt 1.9B
2020Net debt 2.0B
2021Net debt 2.1B
2022Net debt 2.3B
2023Net debt -20.0M
2024Net debt -30.0M
2025Net debt 369.0M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.6×
Interest coverage
— operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
0.83 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
—
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
4of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
1.02distress zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets -0.02 × 6.56-0.12
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.11 × 3.26+0.35
Operating income ÷ assets 0.04 × 6.72+0.28
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.48 × 1.05+0.50
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Inventory is growing 22% against revenue growing 1%.
Benign
Stocking up for a launch, or securing supply.
Worrying
Demand is softening; discounts or write-downs tend to follow.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
With a free cash flow margin at or below zero in year ten, the business never generates cash for its owners and a DCF says nothing useful. Set a positive margin for year ten to see what it would take.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 6 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market—none in the period
Under pre-arranged plans—of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.