ADP · Technology(services-computer processing & data preparation) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2026-06-30
Automatic Data Processing Inc reported revenue of $21.9 billion in fiscal 2026, after growing 6.6% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 21.8% in 2017 to 28.2%, and it earned 43.4% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $35.3 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 48.6% went to dividends and 37.5% to buybacks; the share count fell 10.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 2.42 is in the grey zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 202621.9B+6.6% a year over 9 years
Operating margin28.2%gross margin 46.4%
Return on invested capital43.4%48.9% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow—
Net debt ÷ EBITDA0.1×net debt 735.0M
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
010.0B20.0B30.0B
2017Revenue 12.4BOperating income 2.7B
2018Revenue 13.3BOperating income 2.4B
2019Revenue 14.1BOperating income 3.1B
2020Revenue 14.6BOperating income 3.3B
2021Revenue 15.0BOperating income 3.4B
2022Revenue 16.5BOperating income 3.9B
2023Revenue 18.0BOperating income 4.7B
2024Revenue 19.2BOperating income 5.2B
2025Revenue 20.6BOperating income 5.8B
2026Revenue 21.9BOperating income 6.2B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+6.8%
+7.9%
+6.6%
Operating income
+9.7%
+12.6%
+9.7%
Net income
+9.0%
+11.2%
+10.6%
Earnings per share
+10.1%
+12.5%
+11.9%
Dividend per share
+12.5%
+12.1%
+12.8%
Shares
-1.0%
-1.2%
-1.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%
2017Gross 41.4%Operating 21.8%Net 14.5%
2018Gross 41.6%Operating 18.0%Net 14.2%
2019Gross 43.2%Operating 22.2%Net 16.2%
2020Gross 42.1%Operating 22.5%Net 16.9%
2021Gross 42.4%Operating 22.8%Net 17.3%
2022Gross 42.6%Operating 23.6%Net 17.9%
2023Gross 44.7%Operating 26.0%Net 18.9%
2024Gross 45.4%Operating 27.3%Net 19.5%
2025Gross 46.0%Operating 28.0%Net 19.8%
2026Gross 46.4%Operating 28.2%Net 20.1%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Return on invested capital
Return on invested capital
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%
2017Return on invested capital 30.8%
2018Return on invested capital 29.2%
2019Return on invested capital 32.3%
2020Return on invested capital 32.9%
2021Return on invested capital 30.6%
2022Return on invested capital 48.5%
2023Return on invested capital 55.5%
2024Return on invested capital 53.5%
2025Return on invested capital 43.6%
2026Return on invested capital 43.4%
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Economic profit
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
73.2%
Return on assets
7.0%
Asset turnover
0.35×
Research & development
4.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
20.1% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2017Net income 1.8B
2018Net income 1.9B
2019Net income 2.3B
2020Net income 2.5B
2021Net income 2.6B
2022Net income 2.9B
2023Net income 3.4B
2024Net income 3.8B
2025Net income 4.1B
2026Net income 4.4B
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2017–2026
35.3B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 0%0
Acquisitions 6%2.1B
Dividends 49%17.2B
Share buybacks 38%13.3B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 8%2.8B
Over the same years it paid 2.0B in stock. The share count fell 10.4%. 11.3B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00
2017Earnings per share $3.97Dividend per share $2.21
2018Earnings per share $4.25Dividend per share $2.40
2019Earnings per share $5.24Dividend per share $2.95
2020Earnings per share $5.70Dividend per share $3.40
2021Earnings per share $6.07Dividend per share $3.68
2022Earnings per share $7.00Dividend per share $3.94
2023Earnings per share $8.21Dividend per share $4.58
2024Earnings per share $9.10Dividend per share $5.30
2025Earnings per share $9.98Dividend per share $5.87
2026Earnings per share $10.94Dividend per share $6.51
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
400.0M420.0M440.0M460.0M
2017Diluted shares 450.3M
2018Diluted shares 443.3M
2019Diluted shares 437.6M
2020Diluted shares 432.7M
2021Diluted shares 428.1M
2022Diluted shares 421.1M
2023Diluted shares 415.7M
2024Diluted shares 412.2M
2025Diluted shares 408.7M
2026Diluted shares 403.3M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-1.0B01.0B2.0B
2017Net debt -770.2M
2018Net debt -165.1M
2019Net debt 55.5M
2020Net debt 96.1M
2021Net debt 411.0M
2022Net debt 1.6B
2023Net debt 906.7M
2024Net debt 79.0M
2025Net debt 627.9M
2026Net debt 735.0M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
0.1×
Interest coverage
13× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.05 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 59d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✕Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellfailed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
2.42grey zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.04 × 6.56+0.26
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.43 × 3.26+1.39
Operating income ÷ assets 0.10 × 6.72+0.66
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.11 × 1.05+0.11
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.63below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.92+0.85
Gross margin slipping 0.99+0.52
Soft assets 0.89+0.36
Sales growth 1.07+0.95
Slower depreciation 0.99+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.02-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.02-0.08
Leverage rising 1.03-0.34
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
The SEC accounts lack the lines needed for revenue, free cash flow or the share count, so there is no DCF for this company.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.