TEVA · Health care(pharmaceutical preparations) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd reported revenue of $17.3 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 0.9% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin widened from 10.8% in 2021 to 12.5%, and it earned 18.9% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $6.7 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 39.6% went back into the business; the share count rose 5.1%. On the accounting screens, it passes 8 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of -0.41 is in the distress zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 2 of the six cross-checks between its statements fire.
Revenue, fiscal 202517.3B+0.9% a year over 9 years
Operating margin12.5%gross margin 51.8%
Return on invested capital18.9%5.7% on average over 3 years
Free cash flow after stock pay991.0M5.7% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash1.8B more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score8/9tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
-5.0B05.0B10.0B15.0B20.0B
2021Revenue 15.9BOperating income 1.7B
2022
2022
2022Revenue 14.9BOperating income -2.2B
2023
2023
2023
2023Revenue 15.8BOperating income 433.0M
2024Revenue 16.5BOperating income -303.0M
2025Revenue 17.3BOperating income 2.2B
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
—
—
+0.9%
Operating income
—
—
+2.6%
Net income
—
—
+14.5%
Earnings per share
—
—
+13.9%
Free cash flow per share
—
—
+18.6%
Shares
—
—
+0.5%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.4%
-40.0%-20.0%0.0%20.0%
2021Return on invested capital 10.0%
2022
2022
2022Return on invested capital -26.7%
2023
2023
2023
2023Return on invested capital 4.8%
2024Return on invested capital -6.5%
2025Return on invested capital 18.9%
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-4.0B-2.0B02.0B
2021Economic profit -46.3M
2022
2022
2022Economic profit -3.7B
2023
2023
2023
2023Economic profit -512.1M
2024Economic profit -1.2B
2025Economic profit 832.2M
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
17.8%
Return on assets
3.5%
Asset turnover
0.42×
Research & development
5.9% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
7.5% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-3.0B-2.0B-1.0B01.0B2.0B
2021Net income 417.0MFree cash flow 236.0MAfter stock-based pay 117.0M
2022
2022
2022Net income -2.4BFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 918.0M
2023
2023
2023
2023Net income -559.0MFree cash flow 842.0MAfter stock-based pay 721.0M
2024Net income -1.6BFree cash flow 749.0MAfter stock-based pay 626.0M
2025Net income 1.4BFree cash flow 1.1BAfter stock-based pay 991.0M
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2021–2025
6.7B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 40%2.6B
Acquisitions 0%22.0M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 0%0
Kept, or used to pay down debt 60%4.0B
Over the same years it paid 644.0M in stock. The share count rose 5.1%.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-3.00$-2.00$-1.00$0.00$1.00$2.00
2021Earnings per share $0.38Free cash flow per share $0.21
2022
2022
2022Earnings per share $-2.20Free cash flow per share $0.94
2023
2023
2023
2023Earnings per share $-0.50Free cash flow per share $0.75
2024Earnings per share $-1.45Free cash flow per share $0.66
2025Earnings per share $1.21Free cash flow per share $0.99
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
1.1B1.1B1.1B1.2B1.2B
2021Diluted shares 1.1B
2022
2022
2022Diluted shares 1.1B
2023
2023
2023
2023Diluted shares 1.1B
2024Diluted shares 1.1B
2025Diluted shares 1.2B
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-2.0B-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0
2021Net debt -762.0M
2022
2022
2022Net debt -715.0M
2023
2023
2023
2023Net debt -1.6B
2024Net debt -1.5B
2025Net debt -1.8B
2021202220222022202320232023202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.6×
Interest coverage
2× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
1.04 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
208 days collects in 78d, stock 139d, pays in 10d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
8of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✓More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforepassed
✕No new sharesShare count did not growfailed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
-0.41distress zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.01 × 6.56+0.08
Retained earnings ÷ assets -0.34 × 3.26-1.10
Operating income ÷ assets 0.05 × 6.72+0.36
Equity ÷ liabilities 0.24 × 1.05+0.25
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.38below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.16+1.07
Gross margin slipping 0.94+0.50
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.04+0.93
Slower depreciation 0.95+0.11
Overheads vs sales 1.06-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.01-0.03
Leverage rising 1.01-0.33
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Receivables are growing 21% against revenue growing 4%.
Benign
A shift towards larger customers on longer terms, or sales concentrated at the end of the period.
Worrying
Sales are being made on looser credit, or revenue has been booked that may never be collected.
Capital spending (501M) is well below depreciation (1,002M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$17.37discounted at 10.4% a year · 48% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
14.3×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
5.8×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
1.1×
Free cash flow yield
4.9%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today9.5B
Everything after, today8.9B
The whole business18.4B
Plus net cash1.8B
What belongs to shareholders20.2B
Divided among 1.2B shares: <strong>$17.37</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B2.0B
2021Reported 117.0M
2022
2022
2022Reported 918.0M
2023
2023
2023
2023Reported 721.0M
2024Reported 626.0M
2025Reported 991.0M
2026Projected 1.4B
2027Projected 1.4B
2028Projected 1.5B
2029Projected 1.5B
2030Projected 1.6B
2031Projected 1.6B
2032Projected 1.7B
2033Projected 1.8B
2034Projected 1.8B
2035Projected 1.8B
2021202220232023202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
18.0B
18.8B
19.6B
20.3B
21.1B
21.8B
22.5B
23.1B
23.7B
24.3B
Growth
4.5%
4.3%
4.1%
3.8%
3.6%
3.4%
3.2%
2.9%
2.7%
2.5%
Cash margin
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
Free cash flow
1.4B
1.4B
1.5B
1.5B
1.6B
1.6B
1.7B
1.8B
1.8B
1.8B
Worth today
1.2B
1.2B
1.1B
1.0B
973.4M
911.8M
852.3M
794.9M
739.8M
687.0M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.4%
18
19
20
21
22
9.9%
17
18
18
19
21
10.4%
16
17
17
18
19
10.9%
15
16
16
17
18
11.4%
14
15
16
16
17
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
0.5%
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
6.1%
13
14
15
16
17
6.8%
14
15
16
17
19
7.6%
15
16
17
19
20
8.3%
16
17
19
20
22
9.1%
17
18
20
21
23
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.0%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$12.64
Median$17.41
90th percentile$23.78
$10.00$20.00$30.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$14.76</b> and <b>$20.44</b>; one in ten below $12.64, one in ten above $23.78.
Does the long run make sense?
5.4×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 5.4 times that year's EBITDA.
9%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 29% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 9% on the new capital — it has earned 6% on average over the last five years.
48%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 13.18% × (1 − 14.7%) = <strong>11.24%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.38%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.