REGN · Health care(pharmaceutical preparations) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. reported revenue of $14.3 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 12.8% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 27.4% in 2016 to 24.9%, and it earned 9.3% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $36.1 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 50.2% went to buybacks and 15.9% back into the business; the share count fell 6.6%. On the accounting screens, it passes 5 of 8 Piotroski tests and its Altman Z'' of 9.21 is in the safe zone; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 202514.3B+12.8% a year over 9 years
Operating margin24.9%gross margin —
Return on invested capital9.3%17.8% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay3.1B21.5% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash1.1B more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score5/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
05.0B10.0B15.0B20.0B
2016Revenue 4.9BOperating income 1.3B
2017Revenue 5.9BOperating income 2.1B
2018Revenue 5.1BOperating income 2.5B
2019Revenue 6.6BOperating income 2.2B
2020Revenue 8.5BOperating income 3.6B
2021Revenue 16.1BOperating income 8.9B
2022Revenue 12.2BOperating income 4.7B
2023Revenue 13.1BOperating income 4.0B
2024Revenue 14.2BOperating income 4.0B
2025Revenue 14.3BOperating income 3.6B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+5.6%
+11.0%
+12.8%
Operating income
-8.9%
+0.0%
+11.6%
Net income
+1.3%
+5.1%
+19.7%
Earnings per share
+2.8%
+6.3%
+20.6%
Free cash flow per share
-1.2%
+16.6%
+18.2%
Shares
-1.5%
-1.2%
-0.8%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.8%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%
2016
2017
2018
2019Return on invested capital 17.4%
2020Return on invested capital 25.4%
2021Return on invested capital 37.3%
2022Return on invested capital 17.2%
2023Return on invested capital 13.6%
2024Return on invested capital 11.8%
2025Return on invested capital 9.3%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-2.0B02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016
2017
2018
2019Economic profit 833.7M
2020Economic profit 2.0B
2021Economic profit 5.7B
2022Economic profit 1.8B
2023Economic profit 1.1B
2024Economic profit 600.9M
2025Economic profit -189.1M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
14.4%
Return on assets
11.1%
Asset turnover
0.35×
Research & development
40.8% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
18.8% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
02.5B5.0B7.5B10.0B
2016Net income 895.5MFree cash flow 974.0MAfter stock-based pay 414.1M
2017Net income 1.2BFree cash flow 1.0BAfter stock-based pay 527.2M
2018Net income 2.4BFree cash flow 1.8BAfter stock-based pay 1.4B
2019Net income 2.1BFree cash flow 2.0BAfter stock-based pay 1.5B
2020Net income 3.5BFree cash flow 2.0BAfter stock-based pay 1.6B
2021Net income 8.1BFree cash flow 6.5BAfter stock-based pay 5.9B
2022Net income 4.3BFree cash flow 4.4BAfter stock-based pay 3.7B
2023Net income 4.0BFree cash flow 3.9BAfter stock-based pay 3.0B
2024Net income 4.4BFree cash flow 3.7BAfter stock-based pay 2.7B
2025Net income 4.5BFree cash flow 4.1BAfter stock-based pay 3.1B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
36.1B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 16%5.7B
Acquisitions 1%305.0M
Dividends 1%370.3M
Share buybacks 50%18.1B
Kept, or used to pay down debt 32%11.6B
Over the same years it paid 6.6B in stock. The share count fell 6.6%. 11.6B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$20.00$40.00$60.00$80.00
2016Earnings per share $7.70Free cash flow per share $8.37
2017Earnings per share $10.34Free cash flow per share $8.93
2018Earnings per share $21.29Free cash flow per share $15.78
2019Earnings per share $18.46Free cash flow per share $17.46
2020Earnings per share $30.52Free cash flow per share $17.41
2021Earnings per share $71.97Free cash flow per share $58.19
2022Earnings per share $38.22Free cash flow per share $38.99
2023Earnings per share $34.77Free cash flow per share $34.08Dividend per share $0.00
2024Earnings per share $38.34Free cash flow per share $31.84Dividend per share $0.00
2025Earnings per share $41.48Free cash flow per share $37.57Dividend per share $3.41
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
108.0M110.0M112.0M114.0M116.0M118.0M
2016Diluted shares 116.3M
2017Diluted shares 115.9M
2018Diluted shares 114.8M
2019Diluted shares 114.6M
2020Diluted shares 115.1M
2021Diluted shares 112.2M
2022Diluted shares 113.5M
2023Diluted shares 113.7M
2024Diluted shares 115.1M
2025Diluted shares 108.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-2.0B-1.5B-1.0B-500.0M0
2016
2017
2018
2019Net debt -1.6B
2020Net debt -215.2M
2021Net debt -905.6M
2022Net debt -1.1B
2023Net debt -747.1M
2024Net debt -503.8M
2025Net debt -1.1B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-0.3×
Interest coverage
82× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
4.13 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
— collects in 146d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
5of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
–Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year before — not reportedno data
✕Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforefailed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
9.21safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.34 × 6.56+2.21
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.88 × 3.26+2.88
Operating income ÷ assets 0.09 × 6.72+0.59
Equity ÷ liabilities 3.36 × 1.05+3.53
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
The accounts lack too many of the lines it needs.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$380.46discounted at 9.8% a year · 53% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
9.2×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
9.7×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.8×
Free cash flow yield
7.5%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today18.8B
Everything after, today21.4B
The whole business40.2B
Plus net cash1.1B
What belongs to shareholders41.3B
Divided among 108.6M shares: <strong>$380.46</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
02.0B4.0B6.0B
2016Reported 414.1M
2017Reported 527.2M
2018Reported 1.4B
2019Reported 1.5B
2020Reported 1.6B
2021Reported 5.9B
2022Reported 3.7B
2023Reported 3.0B
2024Reported 2.7B
2025Reported 3.1B
2026Projected 2.3B
2027Projected 2.5B
2028Projected 2.7B
2029Projected 2.9B
2030Projected 3.2B
2031Projected 3.4B
2032Projected 3.5B
2033Projected 3.7B
2034Projected 3.8B
2035Projected 3.9B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
15.9B
17.5B
19.1B
20.7B
22.2B
23.6B
24.8B
25.9B
26.8B
27.5B
Growth
11.0%
10.1%
9.1%
8.2%
7.2%
6.3%
5.3%
4.4%
3.4%
2.5%
Cash margin
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
Free cash flow
2.3B
2.5B
2.7B
2.9B
3.2B
3.4B
3.5B
3.7B
3.8B
3.9B
Worth today
2.1B
2.1B
2.1B
2.0B
2.0B
1.9B
1.8B
1.7B
1.6B
1.5B
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.8%
393
416
442
472
509
9.3%
367
387
409
435
465
9.8%
344
361
380
402
428
10.3%
324
339
356
374
396
10.8%
306
319
334
350
368
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
7.0%
9.0%
11.0%
13.0%
15.0%
11.4%
277
299
323
348
375
12.8%
301
326
352
380
409
14.2%
326
352
380
411
444
15.7%
350
378
409
442
478
17.1%
374
405
438
474
512
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.1%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$291.52
Median$381.05
90th percentile$513.11
$400.00$600.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$329.31</b> and <b>$441.86</b>; one in ten below $291.52, one in ten above $513.11.
Does the long run make sense?
6.9×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 6.9 times that year's EBITDA.
7%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 34% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 7% on the new capital — it has earned 18% on average over the last five years.
53%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.