CTS · Technology(printed circuit boards) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
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CTS Corp reported revenue of $541.3 million in fiscal 2025, after growing 3.5% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin held steady at about 15.3% from 2016. Of the $801.1 million its operations generated over 10 years, 49.5% went to acquisitions and 24.9% to buybacks; the share count fell 10.4%. On the accounting screens, it passes 7 of 8 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 7.72 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; 1 of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 2025541.3M+3.5% a year over 9 years
Operating margin15.3%gross margin 38.4%
Return on invested capital—
Free cash flow86.4M16.0% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDA—net debt —
Piotroski F-score7/8tests of improvement passed
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
0200.0M400.0M600.0M
2016Revenue 396.7MOperating income 63.2M
2017Revenue 423.0MOperating income 38.5M
2018Revenue 470.5MOperating income 61.0M
2019Revenue 469.0MOperating income 53.8M
2020Revenue 424.1MOperating income 45.1M
2021Revenue 512.9MOperating income 76.5M
2022Revenue 586.9MOperating income 93.0M
2023Revenue 550.4MOperating income 75.1M
2024Revenue 514.8MOperating income 71.2M
2025Revenue 541.3MOperating income 82.6M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
-2.7%
+5.0%
+3.5%
Operating income
-3.9%
+12.9%
+3.0%
Net income
+3.1%
+13.5%
+7.4%
Earnings per share
+5.8%
+15.5%
+8.7%
Free cash flow per share
-4.4%
+8.8%
+15.3%
Dividend per share
+0.0%
+0.1%
+0.1%
Shares
-2.6%
-1.8%
-1.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 10.2%
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Needs a cost of capital, which comes from the valuation below.
Return on equity
11.8%
Return on assets
8.5%
Asset turnover
0.71×
Research & development
4.7% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
18.2% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
Net incomeFree cash flowAfter stock-based pay
-50.0M050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Net income 34.4MFree cash flow 26.7M
2017Net income 14.4MFree cash flow 40.0M
2018Net income 46.5MFree cash flow 29.7M
2019Net income 36.1MFree cash flow 42.7M
2020Net income 34.7MFree cash flow 61.9M
2021Net income -41.9MFree cash flow 70.5M
2022Net income 59.6MFree cash flow 106.9M
2023Net income 60.5MFree cash flow 74.1M
2024Net income 55.5MFree cash flow 79.6M
2025Net income 65.3MFree cash flow 86.4M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
801.1M generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 23%182.8M
Acquisitions 50%396.8M
Dividends 6%51.2M
Share buybacks 25%199.2M
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -4%-28.8M
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$-2.00$0.00$2.00$4.00
2016Earnings per share $1.03Free cash flow per share $0.80Dividend per share $0.16
2017Earnings per share $0.43Free cash flow per share $1.20Dividend per share $0.16
2018Earnings per share $1.39Free cash flow per share $0.88Dividend per share $0.16
2019Earnings per share $1.09Free cash flow per share $1.29Dividend per share $0.16
2020Earnings per share $1.06Free cash flow per share $1.90Dividend per share $0.16
2021Earnings per share $-1.30Free cash flow per share $2.18Dividend per share $0.16
2022Earnings per share $1.85Free cash flow per share $3.31Dividend per share $0.16
2023Earnings per share $1.92Free cash flow per share $2.35Dividend per share $0.16
2024Earnings per share $1.81Free cash flow per share $2.59Dividend per share $0.16
2025Earnings per share $2.19Free cash flow per share $2.90Dividend per share $0.16
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
29.0M30.0M31.0M32.0M33.0M34.0M
2016Diluted shares 33.3M
2017Diluted shares 33.4M
2018Diluted shares 33.6M
2019Diluted shares 33.1M
2020Diluted shares 32.6M
2021Diluted shares 32.3M
2022Diluted shares 32.2M
2023Diluted shares 31.6M
2024Diluted shares 30.7M
2025Diluted shares 29.8M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
—
Interest coverage
19× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
2.30 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
64 days collects in 59d, stock 58d, pays in 53d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
7of 8 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✓Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforepassed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
–Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fell — not reportedno data
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✓Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforepassed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
7.72safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.19 × 6.56+1.23
Retained earnings ÷ assets 0.93 × 3.26+3.04
Operating income ÷ assets 0.11 × 6.72+0.73
Equity ÷ liabilities 2.60 × 1.05+2.73
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.68below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 1.08+0.99
Gross margin slipping 0.95+0.50
Soft assets 0.99+0.40
Sales growth 1.05+0.94
Slower depreciation 0.89+0.10
Overheads vs sales 1.06-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.05-0.23
Leverage rising 1.12-0.36
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
Capital spending (16M) is well below depreciation (35M).
Benign
Mature assets, or a business that has become less capital-intensive.
Worrying
Under-investing: today's profit is being held up by consuming tomorrow's capacity.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$39.26discounted at 10.2% a year · 50% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
17.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
10.0×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.2×
Free cash flow yield
7.4%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today590.2M
Everything after, today579.8M
The whole business1.2B
Minus net debt-0
What belongs to shareholders1.2B
Divided among 29.8M shares: <strong>$39.26</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
050.0M100.0M150.0M
2016Reported 26.7M
2017Reported 40.0M
2018Reported 29.7M
2019Reported 42.7M
2020Reported 61.9M
2021Reported 70.5M
2022Reported 106.9M
2023Reported 74.1M
2024Reported 79.6M
2025Reported 86.4M
2026Projected 83.1M
2027Projected 87.0M
2028Projected 90.9M
2029Projected 94.6M
2030Projected 98.3M
2031Projected 101.9M
2032Projected 105.3M
2033Projected 108.5M
2034Projected 111.5M
2035Projected 114.3M
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
568.4M
595.2M
621.7M
647.6M
672.8M
697.1M
720.3M
742.3M
762.9M
782.0M
Growth
5.0%
4.7%
4.4%
4.2%
3.9%
3.6%
3.3%
3.1%
2.8%
2.5%
Cash margin
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
14.6%
Free cash flow
83.1M
87.0M
90.9M
94.6M
98.3M
101.9M
105.3M
108.5M
111.5M
114.3M
Worth today
75.4M
71.7M
67.9M
64.2M
60.6M
57.0M
53.4M
50.0M
46.6M
43.4M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
9.2%
41
43
45
48
52
9.7%
38
40
42
45
47
10.2%
36
37
39
41
44
10.7%
34
35
37
39
41
11.2%
32
33
35
36
38
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
7.0%
9.0%
11.7%
28
31
33
36
39
13.2%
31
34
36
39
43
14.6%
33
36
39
43
46
16.1%
36
39
42
46
50
17.5%
38
42
45
49
53
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.2%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$30.12
Median$39.35
90th percentile$52.71
$40.00$60.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$34.05</b> and <b>$45.42</b>; one in ten below $30.12, one in ten above $52.71.
Does the long run make sense?
9.0×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 9.0 times that year's EBITDA.
Free growthIn year 10 free cash flow is at or above after-tax operating profit, yet the model grows 2.5% forever. Growth needs reinvestment; this assumes it comes for free, which flatters the terminal value.
50%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
What lenders charge, after the tax saving on interest: 6.67% × (1 − 22.0%) = <strong>5.20%</strong>.
Weighted by how much of each the company uses (book value (no price given)): <strong>10.17%</strong>, the rate every future cash flow is discounted at.
What it has filed lately
The last twelve months at the SEC, most important first: annual and quarterly reports, events, large holders and insiders.
Every Form 4 filed in the last twelve months, read line by line: 6 filings by 5 people. Open-market purchases and sales are counted apart from awards, option exercises and shares withheld for taxes.
Bought on the open market—none in the period
Sold on the open market$8.5M3 sale(s) by 1 insider(s)
Under pre-arranged plans100%of the sales followed a 10b5-1 plan set months earlier
A Form 4 says what happened, when, how many shares and at what price. It does not say why: a sale can be diversification, a tax bill or a plan fixed months earlier, and an award is pay, not a purchase. Nothing here is a reason to buy or sell anything.
Which large funds report holding it
From the Form 13F of the 28 institutions followed on this site, as of the end of their last reported quarter. A 13F is filed up to 45 days later and shows only long positions in US-listed shares.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.